Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. UNLV Rebels

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Red Wolves (-7) are gearing up to welcome the UNLV Rebels to Arkansas State. ESPN 3 will televise the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: UNLV Rebels at Arkansas State Red Wolves

In this Saturday game, Arkansas State is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. If they want to play the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to put up $300 in order to win $100 back on the Red Wolves (-300). The Rebels are getting +220 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 68 points, and if one squad can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it will likely generate a worthwhile betting opportunity in-game.

This game’s opening line was -8, while the total hasn’t changed since it opened at 68.

The Rebels have gained 0.0 units so far and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 2-0.

The Red Wolves have gained 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-1.

The Rebels have gone 2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Red Wolves are also 2-1 SU.

The Rebels are coming off a resounding 46-17 win over Prairie View A&M last week. Armani Rogers completed only 11-of-21 passes for 130 yards, as well as a TD and an interception. Lexington Thomas (124 rushing yards on 30 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Rogers (122 yards on 17 carries, four TDs) mounted the ground attack in the win. Tyleek Collins (two receptions, 29 yards) and Kendal Keys (two catches, 24 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Arkansas State are coming off of a 29-20 win over Tulsa. The defensive unit allowed the Golden Hurricane to run for 167 yards on 42 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Shamari Brooks had a good showing in the defeat, recording 115 rushing yards on 21 attempts for Tulsa. For Arkansas State, Justice Hansen completed 20-of-33 passes for 191 yards. Hansen (80 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Warren Wand (61 yards on 13 carries) mounted the ground game in the win while Justin McInnis (six receptions, 66 yards) and Kirk Merritt (three catches, 28 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

UNLV has run the ball on 72.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arkansas State has a rush percentage of 49.0 percent. The Rebels have produced 346.7 rush yards per game and have 10 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Red Wolves are logging 188.7 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Red Wolves ought to own the advantage in the trenches. Their offensive line has given up just five sacks while the D-line has logged eight sacks. The Rebels offensive line has allowed eight sacks and their defense has sacked opposing signal-callerss just six times.

The Rebels offensive scheme has averaged 115.3 yards in the air overall and has six passing scores so far. The Red Wolves have put up 302.0 pass yards per contest and have eight total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, UNLV has allowed 194.3 rush yards and 204.3 pass yards per game. The Arkansas State defense has allowed 218.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 189.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Rebels are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.50 to opposing QBs, while the Red Wolves have given up a 7.80 ANY/A.

Offensively, Rogers is up to 227 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 23-of-48 attempts with three scores through the air and one interception. He has a 4.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.27 over the past two outings.

In the other huddle, Justice Hansen has completed 46-of-69 passes for 614 yards, six TDs and one INT. Hansen’s ANY/A sits at 9.35 for the year and 3.78 over his last two outings.

UNLV Rebels at Arkansas State Red Wolves NCAA Pick

SU Winner: Arkansas State, ATS Winner: Arkansas State, O/U: Over

Betting Trends,

  • The Arkansas State offense has lost two fumbles this season while UNLV has let three get away.
  • The Arkansas State defense has created eight sacks on the year while UNLV has six.
  • As a team, UNLV has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its last two games.
  • Arkansas State has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last two.