The Indiana Hoosiers (2-2) will be at home in Assembly Hall when they take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2). Indiana opened as a 12.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 153 points. Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 22, 2017.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Indiana Hoosiers ATS Preview
The Red Wolves were victorious over the Howard Bison in their last game, 92-78. Ty Cockfield led Arkansas State in scoring with 25 points on 10-for-15 shooting. Arkansas State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 34.5 (above their season average of 33.0) and a free throw rate of 0.345 (above their season average of 0.287). Howard was 21.1 and 0.238, respectively, for those same stats.
In the Hoosiers last game, they topped the South Florida Bulls, 70-53. Indiana was led by Juwan Morgan, who finished with 15 points and 10 rebounds. Indiana dominated every stat category in the game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.388 (above their season average of 0.267) and a turnover percentage of 16.7 (better than their season average of 20.2). For those same stats, South Florida recorded marks of 0.280 and 22.8, respectively.
The elite offense of Indiana will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Arkansas State. Since the 2016-17 season, the Hoosiers offense ranks 22nd in effective field goal percentage (0.552), while the Arkansas State defense ranks 136th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.492). The Hoosiers should have the advantage on that end of the court.
Since last season, the Red Wolves have had records of 22-14 straight up (SU) and 16-13 against the spread (ATS). Games including Arkansas State have had a tendency to finish under the O/U total since last season (55.2 percent).
The Hoosiers have had a respectable 20-17 SU record since last season, but are just 14-20-2 ATS. Over that same stretch, Indianas games have had a tendency to finish over the projected point total (55.6 percent).
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Indiana Hoosiers Betting Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indiana, ATS Winner – Arkansas State, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
- The Hoosiers rank 50th in rebounds per game (38.3) while the Red Wolves rank 138th (36.4).
- Indiana ranks 42nd in blocks per game (4.7) while Arkansas State ranks 225th (2.6).
- The Hoosiers rank 109th in three pointers attempted per game (22.4) while the Red Wolves rank 284th (18.1).
- Indiana ranks 107th in assists per game (14.4) while Arkansas State ranks 251st (12.1).