Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks will head east to take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. This NL showdown will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Arizona (+130) is hosting this one as the underdog against Washington (-140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-110 for both the over and the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -170 for the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +150 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 17-7 SU and have gone 13-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 9.8 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 4.5 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 11-14 SU and 11-14 ATS. They’ve lost 8.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.0 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Washington games have an 11-12-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 11-11-1.

Zack Godley is getting the start for Arizona. The right-handed Godley is 3-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 6.35 ERA and 10 strikeouts over 5.2 innings).

The Nationals are turning to righty Stephen Strasburg (2-2, 2.97 ERA), who has 36 strikeouts and eight walks to his credit as well as a 0.99 WHIP. Strasburg only made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and two strikeouts across two innings).

Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.52 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.70 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 1.77, along with a K/9 of 8.85.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .230/.317/.411 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta have led Arizona’s hitters. Goldschmidt is slashing .279/.410/.547 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Peralta is hitting .317 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .264/.368/.462 across 250 plate appearances, Goldschmidt seemed to take a step back when hitting right-handed pitchers on the road last season (compared to his total season line of .298/.405/.560).

In the home-team dugout, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.44 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.28 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.

Washington’s hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .237/.321/.349 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Right fielder Bryce Harper and shortstop Trea Turner have paced the Nationals’ batters this year. Harper is slashing .260/.460/.584 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Turner’s line sits at .267/.362/.366 with 27 hits, six RBIs, 12 runs and 10 steals.

Turner appeared to enjoy facing righties at home last year. Across 155 such plate appearances, he slashed .312/.374/.532 (compared to his overall season line of .285/.340/.455).

The Diamondbacks have lost 0.6 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to six that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 1.3 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Washington has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.