Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets are prepared to battle against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Citi Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be showing this NL matchup. The opening pitch will be at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets Odds

Arizona (+175) is the underdog against New York (-185) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 7 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-125) and Mets +-1.5 runs (+105).

The Mets are 22-19 SU and 18-22 ATS. They’ve gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.9 units against the spread (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks have gone 25-20 SU this year and are 21-23 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 7.8 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, but have lost 2.9 units ATS. Arizonahas covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

New York games have had an over/under record of 19-20-1 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 19-23-2.

The right-handed Clay Buchholz is projected to start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Buchholz is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 23.14 ERA and two strikeouts across 2.1 innings).

The Mets will send righty Noah Syndergaard (3-1, 3.14 ERA) to the mound. Syndergaard has 61 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Syndergaard did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.49 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

New York’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .281/.351/.443 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Brandon Nimmo have paced the Mets hitters so far. Cabrera is slashing .316/.364/.525 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Nimmo is batting .269 with 18 hits, five RBIs and 15 runs.

Cabrera didn’t perform very well at home last year. Across 241 plate appearances, he slashed .245/.315/.366 (compared to his total season line of .280/.351/.434).

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.80 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.49 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.52, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .219/.298/.379 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 2.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

A.J. Pollock and Daniel Descalso have led Arizona’s offense. Pollock is hitting .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases, while Descalso is hitting .267/.364/.517 with five homers, 22 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Descalso didn’t do as well hitting against righties on the road last year. Over 141 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .197/.291/.328 (compared to his overall season line of .235/.332/.399).

The Diamondbacks have lost 0.8 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 0.2 units and are 12-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
  • New York has posted 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 10 games SU.