Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks are making a road trip to Milwaukee to play the Brewers at Miller Park. The game gets underway 7:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to showcase this NL matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers have placed equal -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds standing at +140 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.

The Brewers are 28-19 SU and 28-18 ATS. They’ve gained 12.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are 25-21 SU and have gone 21-24 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 6.5 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year, but have lost 3.9 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 18-26-2 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 20-23-2.

Right-hander Zack Greinke is getting the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. Greinke is 3-2 with a 3.46 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers will turn to righty Chase Anderson (3-3, 3.97 ERA) to the mound. Anderson has 30 strikeouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Anderson hasn’t faced the Diamondbacks yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, posting a 1-1 record with a 0.69 ERA and 19 strikeouts.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.09 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.62, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.3.

Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .254/.311/.491 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Jesus Aguilar and Lorenzo Cain have led the charge for the Brewers offense this year. Aguilar is hitting .333/.395/.608 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Cain’s line is .270/.381/.428 with five homers, 14 RBIs, 27 runs and 10 stolen bases.

Aguilar did not seem to enjoy hitting against righties at home last year, slashing .171/.244/.366 in 90 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .265/.331/.505).

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.37 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.64, along with a K-per-9 of 7.97.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .219/.297/.375 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 1.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Arizona’s offensive production been powered by A.J. Pollock and Daniel Descalso, who collectively have swatted 16 home runs. Pollock is hitting .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine steals, while Descalso is hitting .258/.354/.500 with five homers, 22 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .235/.332/.399, Descalso appeared to have a little trouble hitting right-handed pitching on the road last year, putting up a slash line of only .197/.291/.328 across 141 such plate appearances.

The Diamondbacks have lost 0.8 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 11.2 units and are 23-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The Diamondbacks have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
  • Arizona has recorded 13.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 12.8 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.