Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

Jose VasquezBaseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-120) is favored over Arizona (+110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (-130 for the under and +110 for the over). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-190) and Phillies +-1.5 runs (+165).

The Diamondbacks have gone 16-6 SU this year and are 12-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 4.1 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 14-8 SU and 8-13 ATS. The team has gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 7.7 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 8-10-3 so far in 2018. Diamondbacks games have gone under 11 times, gone over nine times and pushed on one occasion.

Zack Greinke is getting the nod for the D-backs. The right-handed Greinke is 2-1 with a 4.13 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.80 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jake Arrieta (2-0, 2.04 ERA), who’s got 16 strikeouts and six walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. Arrieta made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 1.38 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.18, a WHIP of 1.14 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .239/.330/.337 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies’ hitters have been led by outfielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Hoskins is slashing .328/.495/.612 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Hernandez is hitting .291 with 23 hits, 10 RBIs, 16 runs and five steals.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.36 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.79 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 1.89, along with a K/9 of 8.84.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .229/.314/.409 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder A.J. Pollock. Goldschmidt is hitting .273/.417/.545 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Pollock is slashing .282/.345/.603 with five homers, 17 RBIs, 14 runs and six steals.

Putting up a slash line of .264/.368/.462 across 250 plate appearances, Goldschmidt seemed to have a little trouble hitting righties on the road last year (his total season line was .298/.405/.560).

The Diamondbacks have lost 0.5 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to six that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.9 units and are 4-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to nine that went under.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit five over their last 10.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 21 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20 over its last five.