Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks will square off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising this NL showdown.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-135) is favored over Arizona (+125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). The games most recent runline odds stand at -170 for betting the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.

The Brewers are 29-19 SU and 28-19 ATS. They’ve gained 11.4 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are 25-22 SU and have gone 21-25 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 5.5 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year, but have lost 5.2 units ATS. Arizona has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 18-27-2 thus far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 20-24-2.

The right-handed Matt Koch is projected to start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Koch is 2-2 with a 4.06 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 16.62 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jhoulys Chacin (3-1, 3.63 ERA), who has 36 punchouts and 23 walks, as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Chacin is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA over one starts against Arizona this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.58, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 10.3.

The Milwaukee offense has produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .263/.317/.539 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Brewers batters have been led by Lorenzo Cain and Jesus Aguilar. Cain is slashing .276/.383/.448 with six home runs, 15 RBIs, 29 runs and 10 stolen bases, and Aguilar’s line is .321/.382/.585 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 20 runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .265/.331/.505, Aguilar did not do very well against righty pitching at home last year, slashing .171/.244/.366 across 90 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.81 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.61, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 7.98.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .217/.296/.372 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 2.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).

A.J. Pollock and Daniel Descalso have led Arizona’s hitters. Pollock is hitting .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases, while Descalso is hitting .258/.354/.500 with five homers, 22 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .235/.332/.399, Descalso didn’t perform especially well against right-handed pitching on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of just .197/.291/.328 across 141 such plate appearances.

The Diamondbacks have lost 1.8 units and are 11-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 16 that have hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 10.2 units and are 23-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 13 of those games, compared to 21 that have gone under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The Diamondbacks have lost 11 of their last 12 games SU while the Brewers have won four of their last five SU.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 24.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.8 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.