Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Preview

Jose VasquezBaseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks are heading east to square off against their NL West nemesis Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona is in line to televise the action.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Arizona (+105) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-115). Gamblers are able to bet on the game’s total with odds posted at +110 for over 7 runs and -130 for under 7. The game’s runline odds sit at -200 for taking the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +170 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Diamondbacks have gone 23-11 SU this year and are 19-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 14.6 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season and 5.3 units ATS. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 15-19 SU and 12-22 ATS. They’ve lost 17.6 units for moneyline bettors and 12.4 units ATS.

Los Angeles games have a 17-16-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 14-18-2.

The left-handed Patrick Corbin will get the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Corbin is 4-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 0.68 ERA against Los Angeles this year (two starts).

The Dodgers are turning to lefty Alex Wood (0-3, 3.83 ERA), who has 38 strikeouts and five walks as well as a WHIP of 0.93. Wood is 0-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 3.27 ERA over two starts against Arizona this year.

Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.04 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.19, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .227/.312/.401 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been led by outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta, who collectively have blasted 16 home runs. Pollock is slashing .306/.362/.669 with 10 home runs, 29 RBIs, 22 runs and eight stolen bases, while Peralta is hitting .295 with six homers, 19 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

Pollock seemed to take a step back when hitting lefties on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .192/.253/.356 across 79 such plate appearances (his total season line was .268/.333/.475).

For the home team, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.34 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.52 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 26 games against divisional opponents, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.34 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.28.

The Los Angeles hitters have produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .248/.333/.388 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers’ batters have been led by outfielder Matt Kemp and catcher Yasmani Grandal. Kemp is hitting .344/.379/.563 with five home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Grandal’s line sits at .272/.372/.476 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .276/.318/.463, Kemp did not perform very well against lefties at home in 2017, slashing .256/.347/.326 over 49 such plate appearances.

The Diamondbacks have gained 8.4 units and are 9-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 3.9 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to 10 that’ve cashed the under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in five of Arizona’s last seven games.
  • Los Angeles has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit eight over their last 10.