Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks will head east to Dodger Stadium to take on their divisional rival Los Angeles Dodgers. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to televise the action and the opening pitch will be at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-135) is favored against Arizona (+125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-170) and Dodgers +-1.5 runs (+150).

The Diamondbacks are 23-11 SU and have gone 19-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 14.6 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year and 5.3 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 15-19 SU and 12-22 ATS. The team’s lost 17.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Dodgers games have a 17-16-1 over/under record thus far in 2018. Diamondbacks games have gone under 18 times, gone over 14 times and pushed on two occasions.

Right-hander Zack Godley is projected to start for Arizona. Godley is 4-2 with a 3.41 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 12 strikeouts and a 3.71 ERA against Los Angeles this year (three starts).

The Dodgers are handing the ball to lefty Rich Hill (1-1, 6.00 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and seven walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.60. Hill is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 12.60 ERA over one starts against Arizona this year.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.34 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.52 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 26 divisional games, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.34 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.28.

Los Angeles’ offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .248/.333/.388 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Matt Kemp and catcher Yasmani Grandal have led the Dodgers’ offense this year. Kemp is slashing .344/.379/.563 with five home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Grandal’s line sits at .272/.372/.476 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 16 runs.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.04 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.19, along with a K/9 of 8.37.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .227/.312/.401 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta have led Arizona’s hitters. Pollock is slashing .306/.362/.669 with 10 home runs, 29 RBIs, 22 runs and eight stolen bases, while Peralta is hitting .295/.389/.518 with six homers, 19 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .268/.333/.475, Pollock didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching on the road in 2017, putting up a slash line of .192/.253/.356 across 79 such plate appearances.

The Diamondbacks have gained 8.4 units and are 9-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to eight that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 13.7 units and are 7-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Los Angeles has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit eight over their last 10.