Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Free Pick

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on their division rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The matchup will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona to catch the action.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog against Arizona (-125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +120 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -140 for the Padres +1.5.

The Padres are 48-76 straight up (SU) and 57-66 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 13.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.9 units (ATS). The Diamondbacks have gone 67-55 SU this year and are 61-60 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 2.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.1 units ATS.

Padres games have had an over/under record of 59-59-5 in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 56-59-6.

Robbie Ray is getting the start for Arizona. The southpaw Ray is 3-2 with a 4.83 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and an 8.31 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Joey Lucchesi (6-6, 3.45 ERA), who’s got 93 strikeouts and 31 walks, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Lucchesi is 0-3 with 12 strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA across three starts against Arizona this year.

Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.83 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.14, along with a K/9 of 7.87.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .238/.317/.404 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta continue to lead Arizona’s hitters. Goldschmidt is slashing .284/.387/.533 with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Peralta has a .300 average with 22 homers, 64 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 49 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.21.

San Diego’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .213/.272/.369 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .255/.320/.389 with 11 home runs, 49 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while the line for Galvis stands at .237/.295/.364 with 10 homers, 50 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 0.6 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 10.1 units and are 13-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve cashed the under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends,

  • The over has cashed in only two of Arizona’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have dropped five of their last six games SU.
  • Arizona has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.