Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

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Eduardo Escobar and the Arizona Diamondbacks will be taking the field against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in a Wednesday showdown. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Las Vegas has Arizona (+130) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-140). The total currently stands at 9 runs and bettors can play the over for -105 or the under for -115. This game currently has a runline of Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170) and Phillies -1.5 (+150).

The Diamondbacks are 35-33 SU and have gone 41-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.6 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 38-29 SU and 34-32 ATS. They’ve gained 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 30-34-2 so far in 2019. Arizona has an over/under record of 32-32-3.

Right-hander Merrill Kelly is projected to start for Arizona. Kelly (6-6, 4.12 ERA) has racked up 58 strikeouts in 74.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Zach Eflin (6-5, 2.88 ERA, 1.19 WHIP), who has 57 strikeouts and 18 walks. Eflin did not register a start against the Diamondbacks in 2018.

Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.20, along with a K-per-9 of 8.61.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .258/.325/.458 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Eduardo Escobar and Ketel Marte continue to lead Arizona’s offense. Escobar is hitting .295/.354/.587 with 17 home runs, 55 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Marte has a .280 average with 17 homers, 47 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have a 4.32 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .259/.330/.469 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Segura is slashing .289/.336/.461 with six home runs, 27 RBIs and 41 runs scored, and Hoskins has put up a line of .276/.397/.523 with 14 homers, 47 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 4.0 units and are 27-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 10.7 units and are 26-23 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, compared to 26 that went under the total.

Diamondbacks at Phillies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 16 over their last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have a team OPS of .783 this season and an OPS of .731 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .748 overall and .738 versus righties.