Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Saturday night game. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will showcase this NL matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Sportsbooks have Arizona (+100) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-110). The total currently stands at 9.5 runs and bettors can play the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. This game currently has a runline of Diamondbacks +1.5 (-210) and Brewers -1.5 (+175).

The Diamondbacks have gone 64-65 SU this year and are 70-58 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 7.3 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 66-62 SU and 54-73 ATS. They’ve lost 8.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 25.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 58-65-4 in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 60-58-10.

Zac Gallen is getting the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. Gallen is 2-3 with a 2.45 ERA and 60 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Brewers will be sending righty Chase Anderson (5-3, 4.54 ERA) to the mound. Anderson has 99 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Anderson only made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2018 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and three strikeouts across six innings).

Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.43, along with a K/9 of 8.74.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .257/.328/.448 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been paced by Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar. Marte is slashing .318/.380/.571 with 27 home runs, 76 RBIs and 85 runs scored, while Escobar is hitting .269 with 28 homers, 100 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.71 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.72 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .282/.365/.460 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ batters have been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is hitting .329/.422/.683 with 41 home runs, 89 RBIs, 90 runs and 24 steals, while the line for Moustakas stands at .264/.333/.533 with 31 homers, 76 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 5.5 units and are 50-40 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

Diamondbacks at Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Arizona’s last seven outings.
  • Milwaukee has posted 25.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 17 over their last 10.