Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will pay a visit to Milwaukee to face off against the Brewers at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona is in line to televise this NL showdown.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Arizona (+140) as the dog to Milwaukee (-150). If you think the game’s total will go under 9.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -110 odds. Playing the over will give you -110 odds. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -155 for the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +135 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.

The Brewers are 65-62 straight up (SU) and 54-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.2 units for moneyline bettors and 25.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks have gone 64-64 SU this year and are 70-58 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 0.9 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 7.3 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 58-65-4 in 2019. Diamondbacks games have gone over 60 times, gone under 58 times and pushed on 10 instances.

The right-handed Merrill Kelly is projected to start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Kelly is 9-12 with a 4.63 ERA and 114 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are turning to righty Jordan Lyles (7-8, 4.88 ERA), who has 108 strikeouts and 44 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.42. Lyles is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .294/.374/.528 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ hitters have been led by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas. Yelich is slashing .332/.424/.689 with 41 home runs, 89 RBIs, 89 runs and 24 stolen bases, while the line for Moustakas stands at .264/.334/.533 with 31 homers, 74 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.40 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.57 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.46, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .258/.329/.450 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Arizona’s offensive production has been led by Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar. Marte is slashing .319/.381/.574 with 27 home runs, 75 RBIs and 85 runs scored, while Escobar is slashing .271/.325/.528 with 28 homers, 100 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 5.5 units and are 50-40 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.7 units and are 38-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 45 of those games, compared to 40 which went under the total.

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven outings.
  • The Diamondbacks have a total OPS of .780 this season and an OPS of .743 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .776 overall and .785 versus righties.
  • Milwaukee has posted 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29.6 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 16 over their last 10.