Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be squaring off against their divisional rival Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be airing the action.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Odds

Colorado (-115) is favored over Arizona (+105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-200) and Rockies -1.5 runs (+170).

The Diamondbacks are 77-68 SU and are 72-72 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 4.4 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 79-65 SU and 74-69 ATS. They’ve gained 15.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.2 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Colorado games have an over/under record of 61-76-6 in 2018. The Diamondbacks have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 65-73-6.

Patrick Corbin is getting the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. The left-handed Corbin (11-5, 2.96 ERA) has recorded 223 strikeouts in 179.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Colorado this year (two starts).

The Rockies are handing the ball to righty Jon Gray (11-7, 4.69 ERA), who has 168 strikeouts and 45 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.29. Gray is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.30, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.87 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 65 games against divisional opponents, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.08 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.18.

The Colorado offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .293/.332/.540 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Rockies’ batters have been led by shortstop Trevor Story and right fielder Charlie Blackmon. Story is hitting .293/.347/.558 with 32 home runs, 100 RBIs, 78 runs and 25 steals, and Blackmon’s line is .286/.352/.493 with 26 homers, 62 RBIs, 107 runs and 12 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.73 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.42, along with a K/9 of 8.11.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .238/.318/.398 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta, who have combined to belt 60 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .299/.403/.558 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 91 runs scored, while Peralta is hitting .297/.356/.523 with 27 homers, 78 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 2.8 units and are 48-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 44 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 5.7 units and are 31-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 33 that went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of Arizona’s last seven outings.
  • Arizona has posted 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 18 over their last 10.