Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be taking on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Arizona will be airing this NL showdown and the game gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Both teams have equal -105 moneyline odds and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at +140 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -160 for the Braves +1.5.

The Braves are 51-41 straight up (SU) and 48-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.7 units (ATS). Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks are 52-43 SU and have gone 48-46 ATS. In total, the teams gained 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Atlanta games have an over/under record of 45-41-4 so far in 2018. Diamondbacks games have gone under 45 times, gone over 44 times and pushed on five occasions.

Right-hander Zack Greinke is projected to start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Greinke is 9-5 with a 3.39 ERA and 117 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.25 ERA and six strikeouts over eight innings).

The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Sean Newcomb (8-4, 3.44 ERA), who has 95 strikeouts and 49 walks, as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Newcomb did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.

Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starters have a 3.59 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Atlanta offense has produced 4.9 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.335/.374 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Nick Markakis and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led the Braves batters this year. Markakis is hitting .324/.389/.492 with 10 home runs, 60 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while the line for Albies stands at .285/.322/.524 with 20 homers, 54 RBIs, 73 runs and nine stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.13 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.29 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.85, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 7.70.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .230/.310/.396 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta have led Arizona’s offense. Goldschmidt is hitting .284/.389/.542 with 21 home runs, 52 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Peralta (.286/.347/.503) is up to 16 homers, 53 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 5.3 units and are 17-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 12.0 units and are 36-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 30 that’ve cashed the under.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Arizona has posted 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit eight over their last 10.