Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at SunTrust Park. The game gets underway 1:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be airing this NL matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Arizona (-110) is favored over Atlanta (+100) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the games spread with the current runline odds standing at +135 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -155 for the Braves +1.5 runs.

The Diamondbacks have gone 53-43 SU this year and are 49-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.3 units ATS. Arizona’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 51-42 SU and 48-43 ATS. The team has gained 13.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.7 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Braves games have a 45-42-4 over/under record so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 44-46-5.

Patrick Corbin is getting the nod for the D-backs. The southpaw Corbin is 6-3 with a 3.02 ERA and 146 strikeouts. He has yet to face Atlanta this year, but he made two starts against the Braves in 2017, posting a 1-0 record against them with a 3.27 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

The Braves will send righty Julio Teheran (6-6, 4.26 ERA) to the mound. Teheran has 92 punchouts and 48 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Teheran did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Atlanta’s hitters have put up 4.8 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.306/.339 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Braves offense has been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .323/.388/.489 with 10 home runs, 60 RBIs and 55 runs scored, and Freeman is batting .315 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 58 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.07 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.27 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.84, along with a K/9 of 7.78.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .230/.310/.395 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Arizona’s offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta, who’ve collectively belted 37 home runs. Goldschmidt is hitting .281/.387/.537 with 21 home runs, 52 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Peralta is slashing .285/.348/.500 with 16 homers, 53 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 0.7 units and are 32-29 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 30 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 2.8 units and are 12-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 11 which went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Arizona has logged 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Atlanta has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit six over their last 10.
  • Arizona has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Braves have lost four of their last five games SU.