Anaheim Ducks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Free Pick

In their final head-to-head meeting of the regular season, the Anaheim Ducks and the Toronto Maple Leafs face off at Air Canada Centre in a cross-continent showdown. The match will get started at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 5, and you can watch the game live on Prime Ticket.

Anaheim Ducks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The Maple Leafs are 30-24 straight up (SU) and have lost 0.9 units for moneyline bettors thus far. That winning percentage, the third-best in the Atlantic Division in this young season, is a welcome improvement over the 40-42 record from the 2016-17 season campaign. Among its 54 games this season, 23 have gone under the total, while 23 have gone over and just four have pushed. The teams 14-10 SU at home this year. Toronto’s converted on 20.5 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked seventh overall, and it’s successfully killed off 82.7 percent of all penalties. Toronto, as a collective unit, has been penalized just 3.5 times per game overall this season, and 1.6 per game over its last five contests home outings. The team has had to defend opposition power plays for just 5.4 minutes per game over its last 10 outings, overall. With a .921 save percentage and 30.9 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (25-19-4) has been the best goalkeeper for the Maple Leafs this season. If they decide to give him the night off, however, the team might turn to Curtis McElhinney (5-4-4 record, .932 save percentage, 2.26 goals against average). The Leafs will continue looking for leadership from Auston Matthews and William Nylander. Matthews (40 points) has produced 23 goals and 17 assists and has recorded two or more points in 12 different games this year. Nylander has 10 goals and 28 assists to his name and has notched a point in 30 games. Anaheim is 25-28 straight up (SU) and has lost 2.8 units for moneyline bettors thus far. Through 53 regular season outings, 32 of its games have gone under the total, while 20 have gone over and just one has pushed. Anaheim’s 11-16 SU as the away team this season. Anaheim has converted on 17.7 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 16th overall and it’s successfully killed off 81.2 percent of all opponent power plays. Anaheim’s skaters have been penalized 4.6 times per game this season, and 5.8 per game over their last five road outings. The teams had to kill penalties 15.0 minutes per game over their last five road outings. John Gibson (.922 save percentage and 2.63 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Anaheim. Gibson is averaging 29.4 saves per game and owns a 19-21-6 record. Leading the offensive attack for the visiting Ducks will be Rickard Rakell, who has 19 goals and 22 assists this season.

Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs Free Picks

Prediction: SU Winner – Ducks, O/U – Under

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in each of Toronto’s last five outings.
  • Anaheim has managed 31.8 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Toronto is averaging 39.2 shots per game over its last five at home.
  • The Ducks are 17-15 SU when they serve more penalty minutes than their opponent while the Maple Leafs are 16-10 SU in games where they serve more minutes than the opposition.
  • Toronto is 4-1 in games decided by a shootout this season while Anaheim is 3-5 in shootouts.
  • Toronto skaters have created 11.8 takeaways per game over its last five home games, an improvement over its season average of 8.3 takeaways per game (ranked 10th in the league).
  • Anaheim skaters have created 4.6 takeaways per game over its last five road games, a drop-off from its season average of 6.2 takeaways per game (ranked 24th in the NHL).