Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The No. 22 Texas A&M Aggies (+27) are set to pay a visit to their SEC counterpart No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium. This vital daytime game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on CBS.

Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide

Texas A&M is a heavy live dog here and is currently receiving 27 points from bookmakers. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 61.5 points, and it appears that there should be some solid in-game betting scenarios for this matchup.

This game’s total has not changed after it was initially set at 61.5. Having said that, the line opened at -24 and has recently moved down to -27.

The Aggies are down 1.0 unit so far and 3-0 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Crimson Tide have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-0 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.

The Aggies have gone 2-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any SEC competition yet. The Crimson Tide are 3-0 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play.

The Aggies are coming off a resounding 48-10 victory over Louisiana-Monroe last week. Kellen Mond completed 16-of-24 passes for 210 yards and one touchdown. Trayveon Williams (128 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) and Jashaun Corbin (64 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the running attack while Jhamon Ausbon (four receptions, 59 yards) and Quartney Davis (four catches, 53 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Alabama just earned a big 62-7 win over Ole Miss. The team’s defense let the Rebels rush for 115 yards on 37 attempts. D.K. Metcalf had a productive outing in the defeat for Ole Miss, accounting for 92 yards on two catches. As a group, the Tide collectively completed 19-of-28 passes for 306 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Tua Tagovailoa went 11-for-15 for 191 yards and two touchdowns while Jalen Hurts was seven-of-10 for 85 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Brian Robinson Jr. (32 yards on 10 rush attempts) spearheaded the running game as Harris (four receptions, 23 yards) and Henry Ruggs III (three catches, 25 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the win.

Texas A&M has run the ball on 57.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Alabama has an overall rush percentage of 61.0 percent. The Aggies have rushed for 285.0 yards/game and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tide are logging 236.7 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Tide ought to be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has given up just three sacks while their D-line has registered nine sacks. The Aggies O-line has allowed seven sacks and their defense has logged only five sacks.

The Aggies offense has averaged 311.3 yards in the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Tide have put up 308.0 pass yards per game and have 12 total pass scores.

Texas A&M has let opponents run for an average of 79.7 yards and throw for 251.0 yards per game. The Alabama defense has allowed 201.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 101.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Tide are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.47 to opponents, while the Aggies have allowed an 8.07 ANY/A.

Offensively, Mond has amassed 394 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 67 percent of his 49 attempts with three passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Mond has an 8.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 10.34 over the last two games.

In the other locker room, Tua Tagovailoa has completed 23-of-31 passes for 418 yards, four TDs and zero INTs. Tagovailoa’s ANY/A sits at 15.38 for the season and 15.20 across his past two outings.

These two programs met last year with the final outcome being a 27-19 victory for Alabama.

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Alabama, ATS Winner: Texas A&M, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Aggies offense has registered one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Crimson Tide have put up four such plays.
  • The Texas A&M defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while Alabama has given up two such plays.
  • The Texas A&M offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Alabama has created four such runs.
  • Both defenses have allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Aggies have given up nine running plays of 10+ yards while the Crimson Tide have given up 13 such plays.
  • The Alabama D has registered nine sacks on the year while Texas A&M has five.
  • Texas A&M has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last two matchups.
  • Alabama has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last two.