College Football Betting Free Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

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The No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide and South Carolina Gamecocks are ready to collide on the grass at Williams-Brice Stadium. This key afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.

Betting Preview: South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 25 points to South Carolina. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 60 points, and if one squad can catch a lucky break in the early stages, it’ll likely result in a decent live betting opportunity.

The betting odds have swayed a hair from when they were initially posted. The opening line was 25.5 while the game’s total was originally set at 59.5.

The Crimson Tide are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 0.0 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 1-1.

The disappointing Gamecocks have lost 4.7 units this season. The team is 1-1 ATS and also has an O/U record of 1-1.

The Crimson Tide have gone 2-0 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any SEC competition yet. The Gamecocks are 1-1 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.

The Crimson Tide are hoping to remain undefeated after a 62-10 win over New Mexico State last week. the Crimson Tide completed 21-of-33 passes for 285 yards and four touchdowns. Tua Tagovailoa went 16-for-24 for 227 yards and three touchdowns while Mac Jones completed five-of-nine for 58 yards and one touchdown. Najee Harris (68 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and Brian Robinson Jr. (57 yards on 11 carries) provided the running attack while Jerry Jeudy (eight receptions, 103 yards, three TDs) and Devonta Smith (five catches, 47 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

South Carolina just got a 72-10 win over Charleston Southern. Ryan Hilinski completed 24-of-30 passes for 282 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Rico Dowdle (87 rushing yards on 10 attempts, two TDs) and Mon Denson (118 yards on nine carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Bryan Edwards (five receptions, 112 yards, two TDs) and Kyle Markway (four catches, 37 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

In terms of offensive play-calling, each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Alabama has run the ball on 51.7 percent of its offensive possessions while South Carolina has a rush percentage of 53.1. The Crimson Tide have produced 231.5 rush yards per game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Gamecocks are totaling 310.5 rush yards per game and have nine total rushing TDs.

The Tide offense has averaged 326 yards through the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Gamecocks have recorded 212 pass yards per contest and have three total pass TDs.

Defensively, Alabama should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 104 yards and throw for 129 yards per game. The South Carolina defense has given up 220 yards per game to opposing passers and 155.0 yards per game on the ground. The Tide are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 1.81 to opposing QBs, while the Gamecocks have given up a 4.53 ANY/A.

Tagovailoa probably has the edge over Hilinski in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 11.96for the season (and 12.45 over the past two games). Hilinski’s ANY/A is 9.23 for the year.

These two SEC foes did not get a chance to face each other in 2018.

Alabama Crimson Tide at South Carolina Gamecocks NCAA Pick

SU Winner: South Carolina, ATS Winner: South Carolina, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • Each team has lost one fumble this season.
  • The Crimson Tide offense has tallied zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Gamecocks have accounted for one such play.
  • The Alabama defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while South Carolina has given up zero such plays.
  • The Alabama offense has created four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while South Carolina has created nine such runs.
  • The Crimson Tide defense has allowed one rushing play of 20+ yards, while the Gamecocks have given up six such runs.
  • Each team defense has produced four sacks this year.