Anaheim Ducks at Arizona Coyotes Free Pick 3/5/19

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Ryan Getzlaf, Adam Henrique, and the Anaheim Ducks will face off against Alex Galchenyuk, Clayton Keller, and the Arizona Coyotes at Gila River Arena in a divisional matchup. The match gets going at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 5, and it will be broadcasted live on Fox Sports Arizona.

Anaheim Ducks at Arizona Coyotes Odds

With a moneyline of -155, Arizona heads into the contest as the heavy favorite. The line for Anaheim sits at +135, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 6 goals. The odds for betting the total sit at -135 for the under and +115 for the over.

Arizona is 32-33 straight up (SU) and has earned moneyline bettors 6.4 units this year. That early-season winning percentage is a surprising improvement over the 29-53 record from last year’s regular season campaign. Of the team’s 65 games this season, 28 have gone under the total, while 28 have gone over and just three have pushed. The team is 15-17 SU at home this year.

The Coyotes have converted on just 17.2 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s ranked 24th overall in the NHL. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked third overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 85.5 percent of all penalties.

Averaging 28.4 saves per game with a .918 save percentage, Darcy Kuemper (20-19-5) has been the most dependable goalkeeper for Arizona this year. If the Coyotes decide to rest him, however, Arizona could turn to Antti Raanta (6-6-6 record, .906 save percentage, 2.88 goals against average).

On the other hand, Anaheim is 25-41 straight up (SU) and has lost 13.0 units for moneyline bettors this year. A total of 41 of its games have gone under the total, while 22 have gone over and just three have pushed. As an away team, the Ducks are 12-22 SU.

The Ducks have converted on just 15.1 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a figure that’s ranked 27th in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 18th overall and it’s successfully killed off 80.0 percent of all penalties.

John Gibson (.916 save percentage and 2.87 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Anaheim. Gibson is averaging 28.5 saves per game and has 19 wins, 29 losses, and eight OT losses to his credit.

Anaheim Ducks vs. Arizona Coyotes Free Picks

Free Pick: SU Winner – Ducks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes

  • Seven of Arizona’s last ten games have been decided by two or more goals. The team is 5-2 overall in those games.
  • Penalties and power plays could be critical in the outcome of this game. The Ducks are 5-11 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 15-29 when they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 minutes, in total. The Coyotes are 13-20 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 20-26 when they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.
  • Two of Arizona’s last ten games have ended in a shootout. The team is 2-0 in those games and 4-1 overall in shootouts this year.
  • The under has hit in four of Anaheim’s last five outings.
  • Anaheim has averaged 7.8 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 11.3 giveaways per game (ranked 21st).
  • Arizona skaters have averaged 9.6 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 8.4 giveaways per game (ranked 6th in the league).
  • The Coyotes this season have recorded the ninth-most hits in the NHL (23.7 per game).