Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction 02/23/19

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The Phoenix Suns (11-49) and the Atlanta Hawks (19-40) battle at State Farm Arena. The Suns are 3-point underdogs and look to snap their 16-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 233 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 23, 2019.

Phoenix Suns at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The Hawks (7.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Detroit Pistons, 125-122, while the Suns (1-point underdogs) fell to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 111-98. The Atlanta game finished 19 points over the projected point total of 228, while the Phoenix game went 12.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5.

Phoenix did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (18-25; 72.0 percent) while Atlanta was lights out from beyond the arc (20-42; 47.6 percent). Atlanta was led by Trae Young, who put up 30 points and 10 assists. Kelly Oubre Jr., meanwhile had a good outing for Phoenix, contributing 23 points.

In their first matchup this year, John Collins led the Hawks to a 118-112 win. He notched a double-double with 35 points and 16 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 230 points, which was just under the projected point total of 234.5, and Atlanta covered as a 2-point underdog. Getting to the free throw line was one of Atlanta’s largest advantages. They made 26 trips to the line, while Phoenix went 18 times.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Suns are involved, as 55.0 percent of their games have ended under the projected point total. Phoenix heads into the game with records of 11-49 straight up (SU) and 25-35 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Phoenix, Hawks games have a tendency to go over the total (55.2 percent). Moreover, Atlanta owns records of 19-40 SU and 25-33 ATS.

It could be a mistake-prone game for the Atlanta offense. Atlanta ranks 30th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 16.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Phoenix forces the sixth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.9 percent).

Phoenix Suns vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Hawks rank 19th in rebounds per game (45.0) while the Suns rank last (40.1).
  • Phoenix ranks second in steals per game (9.0) while Atlanta ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (10.4).
  • The Hawks rank seventh in points in the paint per game (50.9) while the Suns rank 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.6).
  • Atlanta ranks eighth in second chance points per game (13.7) while Phoenix ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (15.0).
  • Atlanta ranks 10th in assists per game (25.4) while Phoenix ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
  • The Suns average 18.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Hawks rank last in points off turnovers allowed per game (22.6).
  • The Suns average 14.8 fast break points per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Hawks rank last in fast break points allowed per game (17.4).
  • Phoenix averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
  • Phoenix ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while Atlanta ranks 27th (33.4).
  • Phoenix is 4-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Atlanta is 3-2.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Hawks are 18-32 and the Suns are 10-31.
  • Atlanta is 8-18 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 12-19 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Suns’ 31 road games, they have 16 unders and 15 overs.
  • The Hawks have 14 overs, 11 unders and 1 push in 26 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Phoenix and Atlanta are both 1-4 ATS.
  • The Suns have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Hawks have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 100.8 points per game (5.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 119.0 points per game (3.0 above their season average).
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 7.5 for the season.