The Indiana Pacers (22-13) visit State Farm Arena to clash against the Atlanta Hawks (7-28). The Hawks are 6.5-point underdogs and can snap a five-game home losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222 points and it will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 4, 2020.
Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds
Both teams fell in their last matchup. The Hawks (10.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 109-106, while the Pacers (1-point underdogs) fell to the Denver Nuggets, 124-116. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game finished 6 points over the projected point total of 209, while the Indiana game went 32 points over the projected point total of 208.
Indiana had a better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 9.2) while Atlanta held Boston to an effective field goal percentage of 0.473 (below their season average of 0.527). Trae Young led the way for Atlanta, finishing with 28 points, 10 assists and five rebounds. Jeremy Lamb, meanwhile played a key role for Indiana with 30 points and six rebounds.
In their two contests this year, the Pacers have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 210 points, well under the projected point total of 225. Indiana won 110-100, covering as a 6-point favorite. Indiana had a better effective field goal percentage (0.538 vs. 0.447). Atlanta, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.1 vs. 13.6). Malcolm Brogdon recorded a double-double with 19 points and 12 assists.
Pacers games have gone under the total 54.3 percent of the time. Indiana holds records of 22-13 straight up (SU) and 18-15-2 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Indiana, a little over half of Hawks games have finished over the projected point total. Additionally, Atlanta is 7-28 SU and 14-20 ATS.
It will be a matchup of conflicting styles as the up-tempo Hawks will look to push the more grind-it-out Pacers. The Hawks rank second in possessions per game while the Pacers are 23rd.
Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers average 12.9 fast break points per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Hawks rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
- Indiana ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.6) while Atlanta ranks 27th (9.1).
- The Pacers average 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Hawks rank 27th in blocks allowed per game (6.7).
- Indiana averages 47.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks last in points allowed in the paint per game (53.8).
- Indiana ranks eighth in assists per game (25.7) while Atlanta ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.5).
- The Pacers rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.4) while the Hawks rank 29th (20.3).
- The Pacers rank 14th in rebounds allowed per game (45.4) while the Hawks rank 25th (47.1).
- Indiana ranks 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (14.0) while Atlanta ranks 25th (14.4).
- Atlanta ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (35.0) while Indiana ranks 29th (27.8).
- Indiana is 6-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Atlanta is 3-0.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Pacers are 22-7 and the Hawks are 7-22.
- Atlanta is 8-7 ATS at home, while Indiana is 8-8 ATS on the road.
- The Pacers have 9 unders and 7 overs in 16 road games.
- The Hawks have 10 unders and 5 overs in 15 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pacers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under, while Atlanta has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Pacers have been outscored by an average of 1.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Indiana has defeated opponents by an average of 3.3 points.
- During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 98.4 points per game (8.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.2 points per game (7.1 below their season average).
