Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction 03/09/19

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The Brooklyn Nets (34-33) will travel to State Farm Arena to square off against the Atlanta Hawks (22-44). The Hawks opened as 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 235 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 9, 2019.

Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Nets (9.5-point favorites) defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers, 113-107, while the Hawks (5.5-point underdogs) fell to the San Antonio Spurs, 111-104. The Brooklyn game finished 7.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5, while the Atlanta game finished 18.5 points under the projected point total of 233.5.

Brooklyn dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a turnover percentage of 12.0 (better than their season average of 12.6) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.538 (above their season average of 0.522). Cleveland had marks of 14.6 and 0.494, respectively, for those same stats. Atlanta, on the other hand, held San Antonio to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 21.1). John Collins led the way for Atlanta, contributing 18 points and 10 rebounds. Spencer Dinwiddie played a pivotal role for Brooklyn with 28 points and five assists.

In their two contests this year, the Nets have won both. The two teams combined to put up 216 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 226.5. Brooklyn won 116-100, covering as a 9-point favorite. Brooklyn’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Atlanta. The Nets had a rate of 0.505 while the Hawks posted a mark of 0.394. In the loss, Collins recorded a double-double with 30 points and 14 rebounds.

A little over half of the Nets’ games have finished over the total. Brooklyn heads into the contest with records of 34-33 straight up (SU) and 36-31 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Hawks are involved, as 37 of their 67 games have gone over the total. Further, Atlanta is 22-44 SU and 31-35 ATS.

Atlanta should have an edge on the offensive glass in this contest. The Hawks are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking sixth in offensive rebounding percentage at 24.9 percent. Meanwhile, Brooklyn ranks 19th in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.7 percent.

Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks Odds Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hawks rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (17.2) while the Nets rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
  • Brooklyn ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (10.9) while Atlanta ranks last (17.0).
  • The Hawks average 50.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Nets rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.3).
  • Atlanta averages 13.8 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Brooklyn ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.2).
  • Atlanta ranks 16th in blocks per game (5.1) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (4.2).
  • The Nets rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (35.5) while the Hawks rank 27th in three pointers allowed per game (33.8).
  • The Hawks rank 10th in steals per game (8.2) while the Nets rank 26th (6.5).
  • Atlanta averages 45.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (45.5).
  • Brooklyn ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (23.5) while Atlanta ranks last (27.2).
  • Atlanta is 3-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Brooklyn is 9-1.
  • The Hawks are 21-36 when they reach 100 points, while the Nets are 33-23.
  • Atlanta is 11-20 ATS at home, while Brooklyn is 19-12 ATS on the road.
  • The Nets have 15 overs, 15 unders and 1 push in 31 road games.
  • The Hawks have 17 overs, 13 unders and 1 push in 31 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nets are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Atlanta has 4 overs and 1 under, while Brooklyn has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 6.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (0.3 below their season average).