Memphis Tigers at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks – 10/5/2019 Free Betting Pick

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The Memphis Tigers (-14) are heading southwest to battle the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at JPS Field at James L. Malone Stadium. This key daytime matchup starts at 3:45 p.m. ET and ESPNU is in line to televise the action.

Betting Preview: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Memphis Tigers

Louisiana-Monroe is a live dog and is currently getting 14 points in this matchup. The Tigers are also receiving -735 moneyline odds while the Warhawks are +500. If one team finds paydirt early it will create a nice live betting scenario. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 65 points.

The line opened at 13.5. The game’s over/under has not changed since it was set initially at 65.

The Tigers are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-2.

The Warhawks have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 1-3 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Tigers have gone 4-0 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Warhawks are 2-2 SU.

The Tigers are hoping to stay undefeated after a 35-23 win over Navy last week in which Brady White completed 14-of-18 passes for 196 yards and three touchdowns. Kenneth Gainwell (104 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Kedarian Jones (four receptions, 36 yards, one TD) and Antonio Gibson (three catches, 105 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Louisiana-Monroe enters this one having just earned a 30-17 win over South Alabama. The defense allowed the Jaguars to run for 263 yards on 52 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Tra Minter had a good showing in the loss for South Alabama, accounting for 150 rushing yards on 19 attempts, along with 32 yards on four catches. For Louisiana-Monroe, Caleb Evans completed 17-of-25 passes for 286 yards and three touchdowns. Josh Johnson (93 rushing yards on 15 attempts) and the signal-caller Evans (27 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the running game as Pederson (four receptions, 55 yards, one TD) and Brandius Batiste (three catches, 62 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Memphis has run the ball on 62.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Louisiana-Monroe has a rush percentage of 54.4 percent. The Tigers have run for 196.5 yards/game and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Warhawks are totaling 211.3 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.

The Tigers offensive scheme has tallied 246 yards per contest through the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Warhawks have produced 232 pass yards per contest and also have eight total pass TDs.

Memphis should have an edge in both areas of the defense. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 160 yards and throw for 103 yards per game. The Louisiana-Monroe defense has allowed 251 yards per game to opposing passers and 248.8 yards per game on the ground. The Tigers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.38 to opponents, while the Warhawks have allowed a 6.7 ANY/A.

White has been more productive than Evans of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 9.47for the year and 10.76 over the past two games. Evans’ ANY/A is 8.43 for the year and 7.93 across his last two outings.

Memphis Tigers vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Prediction

SU Winner: Memphis, ATS Winner: Memphis, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Memphis defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks nine times this year. Louisiana-Monroe has registered six sacks.
  • The Louisiana-Monroe offense has lost two fumbles in 2019 while the Memphis offense has lost three.
  • The Tigers offense has produced seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Warhawks have accounted for one such play.
  • The Memphis defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Louisiana-Monroe has given up four such plays.
  • The Memphis offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Louisiana-Monroe has created 10 such runs.
  • Both teams have allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Tigers have given up 20 running plays of 10+ yards while the Warhawks have given up 36 such plays.
  • The Over/Under for Louisiana-Monroe’s last game was set at 59. The under cashed in the team’s 30-17 victory over South Alabama.
  • Over its last three matches, Louisiana-Monroe is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Over its last three matches, Memphis is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Memphis’ previous game going into it was 54.5. The over cashed in the team’s 35-23 victory over Navy.
  • As a team, Memphis has produced 5.3 yards per carry across its past three games and 6.0 over its last two.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its last two.