The Alabama State Hornets (10-13, 8-4 SWAC) will be at David L. Whitney Gymnasium to challenge the Alcorn State Braves (8-17, 4-9 SWAC) in a SWAC matchup. Action gets underway at 6:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 23, 2019.
Alabama State Hornets at Alcorn State Braves ATS Odds
In their last game, the Braves lost to the UAPB Golden Lions, 73-62, while the Hornets defeated the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, 68-62.
Alabama State played a nearly perfect game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.333 (above their season average of 0.233) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.6 (below their season average of 33.1). Alabama A&M was 0.086 and 25.7, respectively, for those same stats. Alcorn State, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (16.9 vs. 17.9). Maurice Howard played a pivotal role for Alcorn State with 13 points. Reginald Gee had a solid performance for Alabama State, recording 17 points and seven rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Tobi Ewuosho led the Hornets to a 74-59 win. He produced 17 points and eight rebounds. Alabama State’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Alcorn State. The Hornets had a rate of 0.553 while the Braves posted a mark of 0.384.
It might be an error-filled game for the Alcorn State offense. Alcorn State ranks 326th in the country in ball protection (turnover percentage of 22.3 percent), while the disruptive defense of Alabama State forces the 31st-most turnovers in the country (22.4 percent). Also, the Hornets could control the offensive glass in this showdown as they rank 54th in the NCAA in offensive rebounding percentage at 33.0 percent. The Braves, meanwhile, rank 289th at securing defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 69.1 percent.
Alabama State Hornets at Alcorn State Braves Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Alabama State, ATS Winner – Alabama State, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Alcorn State ranks 31st in steals per game (7.9) while Alabama State ranks 172nd in steals allowed per game (7.1).
- The Braves rank 170th in assists per game (12.9) while the Hornets rank 262nd (10.3).
- Alabama State ranks 111th in rebounds per game (36.5) while Alcorn State ranks 196th in rebounds allowed per game (35.8).
Bettings Trends:
- The Braves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 4.6 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 69.0 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.6 points per game (1.1 below their season average).
