Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

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The Tampa Bay Rays are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in Game 1 of an AL East doubleheader. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are 27-63 straight up (SU) and 37-52 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 17.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.1 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, have gone 53-39 SU this year and are 48-43 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 1.9 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 1.4 units ATS. Baltimore games have an over/under record of 45-39-5 so far in 2019. The Rays have been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-47-6. The left-handed Brendan McKay is getting the start for the visiting Rays. McKay is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and six strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either. The Orioles will turn to righty Aaron Brooks (2-3, 5.01 ERA), who’s got 43 strikeouts and 14 walks, along with a 1.25 WHIP. Brooks is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Tampa Bay this year. Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 6.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.39, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 6.25 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 40 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.91 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.79. Baltimore’s hitters have put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .224/.290/.406 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch. The Orioles’ batters have been led by Trey Mancini, who is hitting .288/.348/.512 with 17 home runs, 40 RBIs and 56 runs scored. In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.00 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.07 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.74, along with a K/9 of 9.01. Rays hitters have slashed .256/.329/.426 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU). Tommy Pham has led Tampa Bay’s offense and is hitting .283/.381/.468 with 14 home runs, 40 RBIs, 44 runs and eight steals. The Rays are coming off a 16-4 victory in the prior game of the series.

Rays at Orioles Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
  • The Rays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 15 over their last 10.
  • The Rays have a team OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .768 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .704 overall and .690 versus righties.
  • Tampa Bay has recorded 26.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.4 over its last five.