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Soccer Odds: Italian Serie A Week 12 Fixtures Featuring Juventus vs. Lazio

  • Wednesday, November 19th, 2014

    By  Ej Garr

    Juventus-vs-Lazio odds

    Soccer Betting: This weekend in Italy we get back from the International break with 2 matches onSaturday, November 22, with our featured match of the weekend in Rome. Juventus will take on Lazio in a top 5 battle atop the table. The bulk of the fixtures will be playedon Sundaythe 23rd, which includes The Derby of Milan. Week 12 will wrap up in at Luigi Ferraris with Palermo headed to Genoa onNovember 24.

    As we begin the holiday stretch, Juventus sit 3 points clear of Roma for the top spot in the table. Everyone will play 5 matches before the break, so clubs will be aware that there are 15 available, and valuable, points in front of them.

    Napoli is quietly moving up the table, playing in form and getting points, it seems, every week lately.

    Empoli and Cesena are the last two remaining clubs to not have found 3 points away from home. Empoli will be at Parma this weekend, so they might have their best opportunity this weekend to hope to end the winless streak.

    We thought about highlighting the Derby in Milan with Inter and AC, but the rivalry has taken a dip to those outside of Milan. Naturally it is a big deal at the San Siro though, so we can expect that to be an emotional match.

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    Let's see what else is out there this weekend, and open up our Diamond Sportsbook Italian Serie A Betting Lines page.

    Saturday, November 22- 2 Matches

    Featured Match Juventus vs. Lazio

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Juventus +100

    Lazio +290

    Draw +250

    Spread:

    Juventus -0.5 +100

    Lazio +0.5 -120

    Total 2.5:

    Over +100

    Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    There is some argument that the Derby in Milan should have been our featured match this weekend, but Juve and Lazio do represent the top 5 match up of the weekend.Lazio sits in the 5th spot, tied at 19 points with Genoa, and they have been scoring plenty lately. With 17 goals in their last 7 matches, they have not been held scoreless since the 1 - 0 loss to Udinese nearly two months ago.

    All of a sudden, Juventus is become a scoring team. Maybe those days of another 1 - 0 Juventus match might be coming to an end. Granted, it was Parma the last time out, but 7 goals makes your confidence shoot up just a bit, no matter the competition, really. They know Lazio is not Parma, and Stadio Olimpico is still no easy place to play, if you are Lazio or Roma.

    We can expect a rather festive and lively crowd when these two get together. When Juventus travels to big venues, the air just seems to change.

    Having not been a fan of the tiresome 1 - 0 matches Juventus seemed to play every week, it has driving me nuts when I take their Over expecting it to change. It has changed for now, and Lazio will not sit back and let Juventus take all the shots. I expect at worst a 2 - 1 match here, so I will make a play on this Over 2.5 at even money.

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    AS Roma vs Atalanta

    3-Way: 1: Roma- 120 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Atalanta +375 Home

    Spread: Roma -0.5 -120; Atalanta +0.5 +100

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Atalanta couldn't score if they played 11 V 8 with no goalie in the opposition's net! Yes, it is that bad. Roma has actually given up more goals away from home than they have scored themselves, with 5GF / 6 GA in their travels. Luckily, they will face Atalantathis Saturdayand the line setters offer a -120 that Roma could win this match. I say could win this match, because -120 is a bargain in my opinion. The last club you need to face when you have scoring issues as bad as this is Morgan DeSanctis and the Roma defense.I will drink this juice and digest it well, with -120 on the Roma 3-Way 1x2 line.

    Sunday, November 23- 7 Matches

    Sassuolo vs Torino

    3-Way: 1: Sassuolo +350 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Torino -115 Home

    Spread: Sassuolo +0.5 -105; Torino -0.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over +125 ; Under -145

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Do you remember October 10, 2014? It was the day Sassuolo lost again and it seemed like a choice needed to be made and soon. We are 5 matches later, and Sassuolo has gotten a result in all 5, including a 1 - 1 Draw with the mighty Juventus. The problem is, other than Juventus, none of these clubs that they have done well against were expected to do much either. They are coming off of two scoreless draws, which are points, but when you know you don't need to worry if Atalanta or Chievo scoring, that 1 goal could have been found.

    Torino does not make scoring any easier. We have already discussed plenty about this Torino club around here. They do not have anything but two washed up senior citizens up front in Quagliarella and Amauri.This is a 0 - 0 Halftime - 1 - 0 or 1 - 1 type of match from my viewpoint. That is why the line is -145 on the Under 2.5. That is simply too much juice to pay for a low-scoring match, even if it is expected. The Under 1 in the first half might be the best bet to look at here.

    Sampdoria vs Cesena

    3-Way: 1: Sampdoria -105 Away ; X: +230 Draw ; 2: Cesena +340 Home

    Spread: Sampdoria -0.5 -105 ; Cesena +0.5 -115

    Total 2: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    This is a tough one. Sampdoria is terrible away from home, and Cesena has not made an impression in top flight at all since coming up from Serie B. Cesena has at least held their own at home, with only 1 loss in 5 matches.

    Samporia can score, but they can only seem to do it at home. They have scored 10 of their 14 goals this year in Genoa, but now they get Cesena. I think -110 on this Over 2.5 is more than fair to take a peek at and throw on the board.

    Empoli vs Parma

    3-Way: 1: Empoli +260 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Parma +110 Away

    Spread: Empoli +0.5 -130 ; Parma -0.5 +110

    Total 2.5: Over +100 ; Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We spoke of Empoli being one of the last winless away clubs, and now they get Parma, who just gave up 7 goals to Juventus last time out.Empoli is coming off a nice win vs Lazio, which we told you was to be expected with how Lazio always find that match to lose away from home. Empoli hasn't come up from Serie B and really hasn't done all that much more than Cesena has. They are only 3 points apart near the bottom of the table. We certainly can't take a Parma Under and, to be honest, when I saw even money on this Over 2.5, I smiled nice and big. Hopefully it is a sign that it will help us all smileon Sunday! Take the Over.

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    Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona

    3-Way: 1: Fiorentina +110 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Verona +260 Home

    Spread: Fiorentina -0.5 +110; Verona +0.5 -130

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Hellas Verona had a fun International break. They took on a Swiss club in a friendly and enjoyed a 5-goal day.Luca Toni loves playing the Viola, having spent time there from 2005 - 07, and of course being there just two years ago again. We know he will be aggressive and we like to say each week that he might take a dive in the box to get a call, just sayin’! Hey listen, in all honesty, he is a legend in Italy for the most part. He is not a cheap or classless player. He does, however, let's say, 'get a crucial call' in his favor when his club needed it.

    Fiorentina looked lethargic at best vs Napoli last weekend. You would think with some of the talent over there that they would not make scoring seem as tough as it is. The line setters are showing -140 on the Both-teams-to-score Prop Bet in Europe, and I understand why they want us to pay for it. They will both score and I expect a 2 - 2 type match here. Grab the Over 2.5 at -105.

    Cagliari vs Napoli

    3-Way: 1: Cagliari +675 Away ; X: +400 Draw ; 2: Napoli -250 Home

    Spread: Cagliari +1.5 -125; Napoli -1.5 +105

    Total 3: Over -115 ; Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    SinceSeptember 9,after suffering the loss to Udinese, Napoli has found a result in their last 8 Serie A matches. Not to mention that Napoli is 6W - 0L - 4D the last 10 vs Cagliari.The loss of Jorginho for Napoli is actually significant. He picked up his 4th yellow vs Fiorentina and will be suspended, and that takes some of the control and time of possession away from Napoli. They were out possessed 60 - 40 in the Fiorentina match, but because Fiorentina could not finish anything, Napoli won 1 - 0. Today, I expect them both to score here as well, and you can find that prop bet at about -125. I would pay that, and take the Over 3 at -115.

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    Chievo Verona vs Udinese

    3-Way: 1: Chievo +375 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Udinese -120 Home

    Spread: Chievo +0.5 -120 ; Udinese -0.5 -120

    Total 2: Over -140 ; Under +120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    It's amazing that Chievo beat Napoli in their away opener to start the campaign, and have since lost all 4 matches away from home.

    To say the season is not going well would be an understatement for Chievo, sitting near the bottom of the table, but they are at least coming off a win vs Cesena the last time out.

    Udinese has always done most of their damage at home. Their 4 - 1 - 1 record here represents that statement nicely and this won't hurt either. In the two campaigns of 2011-12 and 2012-13, Udinese lost 3 total matches at home in 38 played. That is called using your home pitch advantage.

    Hopefully all this talk about Udinese at home gets us paid, with Udinese 3-Way 1x2 at -120.

    Inter Milan vs AC Milan

    3-Way: 1: Inter +175 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Milan +170 Home

    Spread: Inter Pk -105 ; Milan Pk -115

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    The Derby! As mentioned, this came in a close second to be our featured match of the day. Matches like this make the whole city of Milan shut down and, considering this is the night match, we can expect most Italians to be sitting around the TV for theSundaynight match of the week with a pasta and meatballs dinner. It will make this match that much better, with everyone being able to see it around the league and country. It is still the Derby, so there will be plenty to take from it after it is done. There is no love lost here, and Manager Filippo Inzaghi is no stranger to these. We can assume he will have his club fired up, since they really are the better team if you break it down.

    To see AC Milan and the 0/PK DNB at -115, really makes that play worth having. There is even a good reason to take this Over 2.5 with a price like +115 attached to it. So there are 2 plays worth some action.

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    Monday, November 24- 1 Match

    Palermo vs Genoa

    3-Way: 1: Palermo +245 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Genoa +125 Home

    Spread: Palermo Pk +150 ; Genoa Pk -175

    Total 2: Over -130 ; Under +110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We head to Stadio Luigi Ferraris for the wrap up of the weekend's matches. It is pretty safe to say if you have been reading the Italian Football threads around here, you know a thing or two about the Genoa GK Mattia Perin. If you have been reading these, you have played Genoa on a few occasions and were glad you did.

    We all knew Palermo would be back in Serie A after the demotion last year, and here they are, holding their own and playing the best of all 3 clubs who came up from Serie B. They were clearly and easily only spending one year in 2nd Tier, and that is now in the past. Palermo is one of those classic home and away clubs in Italy. Can't find much away, can do plenty at home.

    Going to Genoa is no picnic, but the prices are so nice to stab at some kind of upset here. Genoa is +125 3-Way, and I can see the value in it, but they are not just going to plow people over. I see this Palermo 0/Pk Draw no Bet as high as +165 at some sites, like they just have no chance against Genoa away from home. We have +150 at Diamond and that will do just fine, grazie!

    Take this with you, and do not forget it. No one is as bad as you think they are, and no one is as great as you think they are. Most of these clubs are so evenly matched, that anything can happen 'On any given day'. Hey, they even made a movie about it!

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