SERIE A NEWS SECTION

Italian Soccer Serie A Week 9 Featuring Sampdoria Vs Inter Milan

  • Monday, October 27th, 2014

    By  Ej Garr

    2014-Sampdoria-vs-Inter-Milan-Oct-28-Betting-Lines

    Soccer Betting: Serie A wraps up the weekend and has to get right back at it with mid-week fixtures, and another full weekend after these. Three matches for everyone in a span of 10 days. Inter Milan and Fiorentina will headline the weekend, as it is one of only 2 matches with clubs in the top 10 of the table facing each other. The other match is Hellas Verona and Lazio on the 30th to wrap up the round.

    Juventus got back on track this weekend and took over 1st place in the table, while Roma took a step back after the Champions League debacle vs Bayern Munich, settling for a scoreless draw at Sampdoria.

    Udinese and Sampdoria are now tied with 16 points behind Roma and Lazio. A Milan sits with 15 points.

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    Tuesday, October 28- 1 Match

    Empoli vs Sassuolo

    3-Way: 1: Empoli +230 Away X: +230 Draw 2: Sassuolo +120 Home

    Spread: Empoli +0.5 -140 Sassuolo -0.5 +120

    Total : Over 2.5 -105 Under 2.5 -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    It's amazing what a couple of results can get you. Sassuolo was sitting at the bottom of the table with Parma not 2 weeks ago, and now a Draw with Juventus and a 3 - 1 win over Parma brings them within a win of 11th place just like that.

    These two are plenty familiar with each other from Serie B, and they both played their friendly schedule before the season and met twice then as well.

    I will gladly expect some goal scoring to be done here. This Over 2.5 is -110 and that is $5 juice I will pay for the 2 - 2 type match I expect we'll see.

    Wednesday, October 29- 8 Matches

    Featured Match Sampdoria vs Inter Milan

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Sampdoria +360

    Inter Milan -125

    Draw +250

    Spread:

    Sampdoria +0.5 +100

    Inter Milan -0.5 -120

    Total 2.5: Over +105 Under -115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Sampdoria has gone 7 matches without a win vs Inter Milan, but if there was ever a time we might see that come to an end, it could be right here. Sampdoria still is the only club, beside Juventus, to not have lost yet this campaign, and Inter Milan is certainly not even close to the respected club they have been for the last 6-7 years. Everyone is talking about a relatively weak schedule Samp has gotten to face the start of the season. But define a weak schedule; this is Serie A, not Panama!

    Sampdoria +0.5 is feasible to me. Until they lose, I will try to put myself in a position to make bets that can make money, and -120 is not ridiculous at all to test the waters.

    Cesena vs AS Roma

    3-Way: 1: Cesena +1200 Away X: +525 Draw 2: AS Roma -500 Home

    Spread: Cesena +2 -125 AS Roma -2 +110

    Total 3: Over -110 Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    I almost feel bad for Cesena for having to deal with a furious Rudy Garcia and having to face Roma after what they have been through the last week – a champions League humiliation to Bayern at home, and a frustratingly scoreless match with Sampdoria. Actually, no I don't feel bad because we are betting the Handicap -2 with Roma and getting paid when they dump 4 goals on Cesena and beat them down to get the funk out of their system.

    Napoli vs Atalanta

    3-Way: 1: Napoli -110 Away X: +250 Draw 2: Atalanta +280 Home

    Spread: Napoli -0.5 -110 Atalanta +0.5 -110

    Total 2.5: Over -110 Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Atalanta is slowly falling into the relegation zone, be it as early as we are in the campaign. Three goals scored in 8 matches is not conducive to finding points.

    Napoli comes off a 6 goal outpour against Verona which, if your math is correct and it is, they scored twice as many goals in one match as Atalanta has all season.

    Atalanta used to be that team at home that scored almost every match in front of their fans, and that has changed tremendously -- a single goal in 4 home matches to get the campaign started. Napoli at -110 on the 3-Way line is so valuable to anyone who pays attention to what goes on in Italy.

    AC Milan vs Cagliari

    3-Way: 1: AC Milan +100 Away X: +250 Draw 2: Cagliari +270 Home

    Spread: AC Milan -0.5 +100 Cagliari +0.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over -140 Under +130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    If you have followed Serie A the last couple of years, Cagliari was never considered a scoring club. Boy how that has changed lately. Cagliari hasn't scored 13 goals through 8 matches in a season in years, and now throw in AC Milan who has scored 17 through 8 matches. The addition of Torres has actually worked out nicely for both himself and AC Milan, not just for his own game, but the guys around him have benefitted as well. Now El Shaarawy is back and healthy and Menez and Honda have more space. I love this Over of course, but I would obviously rather see you lift it to 2.5 and 3 or even straight 3 if the possibility shows itself.

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    Udinese vs Fiorentina

    3-Way: 1: Udinese +110 Away X: +250 Draw 2: Fiorentina -120 Home

    Spread: Udinese +0.5 +110 Fiorentina -0.5 -120

    Total 2.5: Over +115 Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    I was going to start with how impressive Udinese has been on the defensive side of the ball, but then it hit me that Fiorentina has also only allowed 6 goals this year. I don't make draw recommendations, and I mentioned in a few of my write-ups that I just find it difficult to predict a match where no one wins. Sure the draws come, but I am the type who likes to play handicaps for 2 reasons. In this case, its Udinese +0.5. Reason I love playing these is they win, we win, they draw, we win, and when you can have two of the three possibilities we could see to make money, I am all over it! I will do it here and take Udinese +0.5 expecting a 1 - 1 type match.

    Juventus vs Genoa

    3-Way: 1: Juventus -200 Away X: +300 Draw 2: Genoa +600 Home

    Spread: Juventus -1 -120 Genoa +1 +110

    Total 2.5: Over -110 Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Over the weekend you read my words that I said about the Genoa GK Mattia Perin. In my opinion, he will be the heir apparent to Gigi Buffon when he retires from International Play. We had a nice play on Genoa over the weekend and cashed that, and we will look to the Under here to cash this one -- Under 2.5 -110 is the play. Juventus can't score and will struggle again, and Genoa is just fine defensively. Think about a 1st-half Under 1 as well.

    Chievo Verona vs Palermo

    3-Way: 1: Chievo Verona +280 Away X: +230 Draw 2: Palermo -110 Home

    Spread: Verona +0.5 -110 Palermo -0.5 -110

    Total 2: Over -130 Under +110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Palermo being at home really doesn't make much a difference here. Neither club has stopped anyone all season and they sit at the bottom of the table next to each other just out of last place. The line setters calling this Over with juice makes no sense either. Two bad defenses facing each other does not necessarily mean that scoring will be a given, especially since both offenses are not exactly doing much. I will enjoy this Under 2.5 at +Money.

    Parma vs Torino

    3-Way: 1: Parma +280 Away X: +240 Draw 2: Torino -110 Home

    Spread: Parma +0.5 -110 Torino -0.5 -110

    Total 2.5: Over +125 Under -130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    If you need cheese, you go to Parma! Are you looking for an actual football club? Look elsewhere, because Parma is headed for Serie B at the end of the campaign, and they might not even be able to afford the fee to stay there either.20 goals against them, no one to do anything about it.

    Torino is ugly too, as they brought over Fabio Quagliarella from Juventus thinking he has something left in the tank, and he has been dreadful. The only team with a semblance of talent is Torino, so we are being walked in to the 3-Way line on them since it is only -110, but there is nothing wrong with laying off this match too.

    Thursday, October 30- 1 Match

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    Lazio vs Hellas Verona

    3-Way: 1: Lazio +125 Away X: +240 Draw 2: Verona +220 Home

    Spread: Lazio Pk -140 Verona Pk +140

    Total 2.5: Over -110 Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Lazio played a reasonably boring match with Torino this weekend, but did enough to get a 2 - 1 result and 3 points for the 4th straight match.

    Verona got completely dismantled by Napoli, giving up 6 goals and now will only have a couple of days to get it together.

    That will not happen, and we will go right back to the well and take this Over 2.5 at reasonable juice of -110.

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