Italian Soccer Serie A Week 8 Featuring Roma Vs Sampdoria

  • Wednesday, October 22nd, 2014

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: As Roma and Sampdoria get the weekend started in a crucial match at the top of the Serie A table. Roma is coming off a complete dismantling by Bayern Munich during their mid-week Champions League match, and now have to travel to Genoa to take on upstart Sampdoria who has surprised everyone with their hot start to the campaign.

    AC Milan hosts Fiorentina at the San Siro in another match that has some importance, as Milan sits in 4th place alone with 14 points.

    Juventus has to atone for their disappointing result with lowly Sassuolo last weekend, and also have a mid-week Champions League in Greece with Olympiacos.

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    Saturday, October 25(3 Matches)

    Featured Match - AS Roma vs Sampdoria

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Roma -110

    Sampdoria +350 Draw +240


    Roma -0.5 -110 Sampdoria +0.5 -110

    Total 2.5:

    Over +110

    Under -130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Roma considers themselves one of the best clubs in not only Italy, but in Europe as a whole. Then walked in Bayern Munichon Tuesdayand put all that to rest. Humiliated is not even the proper word to denote the type of loss in Champions League this week. Sampdoria has quietly risen to the top of the table and sit only 3 points back of Roma and will look to hope to catch Roma at their lowest confidence point in years.

    How will Roma rebound from such a demonstrative let down?

    Fiorentina has played stellar old-school Italian defense to get this campaign started, only letting 5 goals in their net all season. But on the flip side, they have only put in 5 of their own goals, and are coming off a loss to Lazio, 2 - 0 last weekend.

    Fiorentina would be wise to frustrate Roma's offense and give them that feeling of another long day if they want to keep themselves in this match. The problem is they have no one up front to really intimidate De Sanctis and the Roma defense.

    I will take Roma to rebound from the mid-week embarrassment and take these 3 points at -110 3-Way.

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    Cagliari vs Empoli

    3-Way: 1: Cagliari +260 Away X: +235 Draw 2: Empoli +115 Home

    Spread: Cagliari Pk +155 Empoli Pk -180

    Total : Over 2.5 -110 Under 2.5 -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Empoli looked terrible this past weekend, and got away with a draw after a hand-driven goal by Tonelli that should have been seen by the linesmen or referee, but went unnoticed.

    Cagliari has gotten off to a horrible campaign. With only 1 win so far, they have looked dysfunctional up front, outside of the Inter Milan match which they found some success.

    These two should have some success against each other though, as Empoli does actually have a decent offense and Cagliari hasn't kept a clean sheet away from home since the first match of the calendar year back in January of last year’s campaign.

    I am grabbing this over 2.5 at -110 expecting a bit of a wide open match.

    Sassuolo vs Parma

    3-Way: 1: Sassuolo +375 Away X: +250 Draw 2: Parma -120 Home

    Spread: Sassuolo +0.5 +100 Parma -0.5 -120

    Total : Over 2.5 -110 Under 2.5 -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Analysis? How do you analyze the worst two clubs in the league?

    Sassuolo found a draw last weekend with Juventus, as we all know, and that will be their biggest accomplishment since getting promoted to Serie A. Well, maybe the second biggest, they did bet AC Milan 4 - 3 last year and that was big for them too.

    Anyway, trying to figure out what these two clubs will do is a coin flip at best. Take your quarter, if it comes out heads you take the Over 2.5 at -110, if it's tails you don't go near this game at all!

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    Sunday, October 26(7 Matches)

    Palermo vs Juventus

    3-Way: 1: Palermo +1250 Away X: +575 Draw 2: Juventus -450 Home

    Spread: Palermo +1.5 +120 Juventus -1.5 -140

    Total : Over 2.5 -140 Under 2.5 +125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Palermo barely snuck by Cesena this past weekend with a miracle goal off a corner kick in extra time, but 3 points is 3 points and it gives them a bit of momentum to face Juventus. We already mentioned how bad Juve looked last weekend vs Sassuolo, and maybe it was because they got caught looking ahead to Champions League.

    I rarely buy that excuse, especially when it is Sassuolo who barely belong in Serie A right now.

    This will be a tight match as long as Palermo cannot feel intimidated by the so-called best club in Italy. Palermo can score, and I do think they will find the net and contribute to this Over, but 2.5 is too juicy for me at -140. Jack it up to 2.5 and 3 and get a better price. This will not be a 0 - 0 score. It might seem like it could happen when no one has scored for 25 minutes, but the goals will come.

    Torino vs Lazio

    3-Way: 1: Torino +350 Away X: +250 Draw 2: Lazio -130 Home

    Spread: Torino +0.5 +115 Lazio -0.5 -125

    Total : Over 2.5 +125 Under 2.5 -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Torino really has no offensive talent whatsoever. Quagliarella and Amauri are both so washed up and useless that I personally cannot believe Torino puts their hopes of this season on their shoulders. Of course Quagliarella scored their only goal in a 1 - 0 last weekend. I will tell you right now they will not score on Lazio in Rome. Take Lazio 3-way and pay whatever juice you have to!

    Inter Milan vs Cesena

    3-Way: 1: Inter Milan -155 Away X: +275 Draw 2: Cesena +500 Home

    Spread: Inter Milan -1 +115 Cesena +1 -135

    Total : Over 2/5 +115 Under 2.5 -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    This is one of those respect factors. Everyone who casually follows Italian football sees Inter Milan and Cesena and will immediately think that Inter Milan is still so good, how could Cesena hang around with them. Wake up people, this is not your father's Inter Milan anymore. In fact, this is one of the worst Inter Milan team they have had in 20 years. Take the Cesena +1 at -135. Even if they do lose by a goal, so what? No one will take your money if that happens.

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    Genoa vs Chievo Verona

    3-Way: 1: Genoa +220 Away X: +210 Draw 2: +145 Home

    Spread: Genoa Pk +125 Verona Pk -145

    Total : Over 2 -135 Under 2 +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Genoa's GK Mattia Perin is ridiculous, and I mean that in the best way possible. When Gigi Buffon decides to walk away from International competition, he will be the guy we will all be talking about for years to come. How do I know? Oh, just trust me. Like I've said before, this is my 31st year following all things Italian Football. He deserved the clean sheet vs Empoli and it should have been 1 - 0.

    Chievo is terrible, to see +125 on the Genoa Pk Draw no Bet is a gift from the line setters. Merry Christmas in October!

    Fiorentina vs AC Milan

    3-Way: 1: Fiorentina +205 Away X: +230 Draw 2: AC Milan +105 Home

    Spread: Fiorentina +0.5 -125 AC Milan -0.5 +105

    Total : Over 2.5 +100 Under 2.5 -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Fiorentina is not about to try to get in to a shootout with Milan. They just do not have the fire power to hope to outscore them. Milan has certainly benefited from what Inzaghi is selling as a manager who brings a ton of knowledge and intensity to get Milan motivated.

    Regardless,I am taking the Viola on the Handicap +0.5 even with the juice of -125. There is a great chance of a low-scoring draw and since I don't play draws, the next best thing is this Handicap line.

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    Hellas Verona vs Napoli

    3-Way: 1: Verona +600 Away X: +350 Draw 2: Napoli -210 Home

    Spread: Verona +1 +115 Napoli -1 -135

    Total : Over 3 +105 Under 3 -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Tied with 11 points, they sit together in the table and what the hell Napoli is doing favored at -200 is beyond me. There is so much value in Hellas Verona +1 at +115 I can't even stand it! As the old DirecTV commercial says ... I jump in it!

    Atalanta vs Udinese

    3-Way: 1: Atalanta +350 Away X +235 Draw 2: Udinese -110 Home

    Spread: Atalanta +0.5 -110 Udinese -0.5 -110

    Total : Over 2 -145 Under 2 +125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Goals? What goals? We took the Udinese Under last weekend and that was a cake walk. Atalanta can't score either, so now put them together on the same pitch, and you have your play. Under 2 at a lovely +125.

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