Italian Serie A Week 7 Fixtures featuring AC Milan vs Hellas Verona

  • Friday, October 17th, 2014

    By  Ej Garr

    AC-Milan-vs-Hellas-Verona odds

    Soccer Betting: AC Milan visits Stadio Marc Antonio Bentagodi to take on Hellas Verona in this weekend's featured match, and all teams are coming back from a week off from the International and Euro 2016 break.

    Juventus continues their dominance in Italy as the only team not to surrender a point to anyone and have a 6 - 0 record coming off a 3 - 2 win over 2nd place Roma last time out. Both Roma and Juve have the proverbial 'cupcake' this weekend, facing two clubs near or at the bottom of the table.

    This is good for them, since they both will have Champions League Group Stage matches during the week. They will both kick off the weekend withSaturdaymatches.

    Let's get to the schedule with Game Odds @ BetDSI

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI

    Saturday, October 18(2 matches)

    Chievo Verona vs AS Roma

    3-Way Lines: 1 +950 Away X +450 Draw 2 -320

    Spread: Verona +1.5 -110 Roma -1.5 -115

    Total 2.5 3: Over -115 Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Roma is extremely banged up and without a good chunk of what they normally like to have on the pitch. DeRossi is still questionable and GK Morgan DeSanctis is still a game-time decision, but both could potentially return this weekend. Chievo has struggled with scoring and only has one win on the young season, although it did come vs Napoli. Since that win, they have a 4-match winless streak and Stadio Olimpico is not a place that is easy to get your scoring funk fixed.

    With that said, I will still take this Over 2.5 3 at -115, expecting some success from Chievo, but even more success from Roma in what could be a 3 - 1 result.

    Juventus vs Sassuolo

    3 Way Lines: 1 -250 Away X +340 Draw 2 +700 Home

    Spread: Juventus -1 1.5 -110 Sassuolo +1 1.5 -110

    Total 2.5: Over -120 Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Seriously, the winless Sassuolo takes on undefeated Juventus, and in watching Serie A for over 30 years, I have seen some strange things happen. Call it a fix, call it a trap, call it what you want, but there have been results over the years where a team that is in or close to last place will muster up the match of their lives and get a result they had no right getting. That will not happen here even with Juve looking ahead to Champions League mid-week. GiGi Buffon is still utterly ridiculous in net, and Sassuolo will just go down as another team that was frustrated all day.

    Take the Handicap -1 1.5 on Juve and splash in the Over 2.5 with some juice, but not enough to take us off it.

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI

    Sunday, October 19(7 matches)

    Featured match

    AC Milan vs Hellas Verona Betting @ BetDSI

    1x2 3 Way Lines:

    AC Milan +110 (2.10)

    Verona +250 (3.50) Draw +235 (3.35)

    Handicap/Spread: AC Milan -0.5 +115 (2.15)

    Verona +0.5 -125 (1.80)

    Total 2.5

    Over -110 (1.91)

    Under -110 (1.91)

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Filippo Inzaghi has a much better football knowledge than anything Clarence Seedorf was going to be able to instill on the pitch for AC Milan. In his first season as manager at the San Siro (and his last 11 years as a player), he has them in the Top 5 of the table. Early as it is, they are certainly not where they were last year, with no identity, or even seen as a middle-of the pack club like they were.

    They have brought in Spanish National Fernando Torres in hopes of rejuvenating his career, to work with Keisuke Honda, Stephan El Shaarawy, Jeremy Menez and Giacomo Bonaventura who all have unquestioned talent and a desire to find the net.

    Hellas Verona, since coming up from Serie B after the 2012-13 season, immediately sought out veteran experience to keep them in Top Flight Serie A, and Luca Toni fell right in their lap. That worked out well for them last year and is what they count on night in and night out to find the net, but he is not alone. Argentinian Juanito came back after they loaned him to Gubbio andNico Lopez, the Uruguayan Youth National, is over on loan from Udinese to gain experience up front.

    There should be some goal scoring here, as GK Christian Abbiati was considering retiring unless Milan re-signed him and he has not been exactly stellar in the net this year. Play the Over 2.5 at -110 and we should cash our tickets.

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI


    Lazio vs Fiorentina

    3-Way Lines: 1 +270 Away X +225 Draw 2 +105 Home

    Spread: Lazio +0.5 -120 Fiorentina -0.5 +105 Total 2.5: Over +130 Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Since giving up 2 goals opening day to Roma, Fiorentina has only been scored on once, but have also only scored 5 goals all season.

    Lazio away from home have always been a different team who under achieve time and time again.

    Until any of that changes, the Under 2.5 with marginal juice is the play to make.

    Parma vs Atalanta

    3-Way Lines: 1 +290 Away X +215 Draw 2 +150 Home

    Spread: Parma Pk +125 Atalanta Pk -120

    Total 2.5: Over +130 Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Atalanta and Parma are both at the bottom of the table in the early campaign, but for two entirely different reasons. Atalanta can't find the net, with only 2 goals scored through 6 matches, and Parma can't stop anyone, giving up 16 goals over the same time span.

    Atalanta can usually score at home, but so far they have not found the net once here in Bergamo. Parma will fix those scoring issues. This Over at a crazy price of +130 is a great value play.

    Sampdoria vs Cagliari

    3-Way Lines: 1 +175 Away X +220 Draw 2 +160 Home

    Spread: Sampdoria Pk +105 Cagliari Pk -110

    Total 2.5: Over -105 Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Sampdoria finds themselves in the 3rd position in the table early in the campaign, and they are doing it with old school Italian defense. Only two goals allowed through 6 matches. Meanwhile, Cagliari has lost 4 of their last 5 and sit near the bottom of the table with a handful of teams at 4 points.

    Sampdoria has tremendous value on the Pk Draw no Bet play at +105 despite being on the road.

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI

    Cesena vs Palermo

    3-Way Lines: 1 +420 Away X +250 Draw 2 -140 Home

    Spread: Cesena +0.5 +140 Palermo -0.5 -135

    Total 2.5: Over +130 Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Palermo got sent down to Serie B two seasons ago and blasted their way right back to Top Flight dominating everyone in 2nd tier last year.

    Cesena was down there with them, as they both are now back in Serie A, and it has simply been a disaster through 6 matches of the campaign.

    Palermo is winless and Cesena won their opening match of the season vs Parma and has not won since.

    These two have familiarity with each other over the last 5 years or so, and I am surprised this total has that price on it. I would gladly play that Over 2.5 at +Money.

    Udinese vs Torino

    3-Way Lines: 1 +240 Away X +220 Draw 2 +125 Home

    Spread: Udinese Pk +0.5 -110 Torino Pk -0.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over 2 2.5 -105 Under 2 2.5 -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Goals? What goals? Torino thought Fabio Qaugliarella would help replace the losses Torino took in the off season and that has simply not worked out. Amauri and Quagliarella have not been able to muster up a lick of offense this year.

    Udinese on the road always struggles showing up, so this match could easily end 0 - 0. Play the Under 2 2.5. It would be a miracle if it was 1 - 1, and if it is, we will still see something out of it.

    Napoli vs Inter Milan

    3-Way Lines: 1 +185 Away X +225 Draw 2 +145 Home

    Spread: Napoli Pk +120 Inter Milan Pk -120

    Total 2.5: Over -105 Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Inter Milan is just not feared like they were years ago, and there is no one there to make it change. GK Samir Handanovich his hit a wall lately, giving up 7 goals to teams that just do not have the ability to light him up. Cagliari and Fiorentina have done nothing offensively this campaign, and the only numbers either have put up came against Inter.

    Take this Over all day, 2.5 goals at -110 is one of those gift-horse-in-the-mouth sayings that apply here!

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI

    Monday, October 20(1 Match)

    Empoli vs Genoa

    3-Way Lines: 1 +260 Away X +225 Draw 2 +110 Home

    Spread: Empoli +0.5 -120 Genoa -0.5 +115

    Total 2: Over -130 Under +125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Empoli was also one of the three clubs who came up to Top Flight Serie A this season, and they have really held their own so far. Nothing outrageous to speak of, but they have certainly made an impression, drawing with AC Milan and coming off a 3 - 0 impressive win over Palermo.

    Amazingly, Genoa has not lost an away match this year and are most likely seeing this fresh up from Serie B club as a means to continue that trend.

    I will go with this total Over, but I will move it to 2 2.5 with the handicap to get a better price of around even money or so.

    View the latest Serie A Betting Odds @ Diamond Sportsbook