Italian Serie A Week 35 Inter Milan vs Lazio

  • Thursday, May 7th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: Four fixtures remain in the Serie A campaign, and we have two battles at the top of the table that come with European qualification. Juventus clinched the Scudetto, and Roma, Lazio and Napoli are fighting for Champions League, while five clubs battle for Europa League entry.

    The round kicks offon Saturday, as AC Milan hosts Roma at the San Siro, and Juventus hosts Cagliari at Juventus Stadium. Juventus Stadium was certainly the place to be on Tuesday this week, as the crowd was in full throat in support of the club's first leg of the Champions League semifinals.

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    Our featured match of the weekend comes at Stadio Olimpicoon Sunday, where Lazio hosts Inter Milan with both needing a result for different reasons. Lazio is a simple point behind Roma for the group stage entry that the two position in the table provides, and Inter Milan is now within two points of Europa League entry.

    The round comes to a closeon Monday with a match at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, as Genoa hosts Torino and each club comes off tough losses.

    Let's see what we can expect this weekend on the Italian pitch, and see if we can provide some profitable predictions for this weekend.

    Saturday, May 9- 2 Matches

    AS Roma vs AC Milan

    3-Way: 1: Roma -105 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Milan +310 Home

    Spread: Roma -0.5 -105 ; Milan +0.5 -115

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Roma has gotten back in shape recently, regaining the second position in the table which comes with Champions League group stage entry. The Giallorossi held Genoa and Sassuolo to clean sheets in their last two outings.

    Milan is without Jeremy Menez and Riccardo Montolivo for the rest of the campaign, and we know Milan is already playing to finish out the season and will probably do just enough to stay in top flight and muddle in the middle of the table when it is all said and done. We are suggesting this Under 2.5 at -115, simply because it is hard to expect anything from Milan, and Roma can rely on their defense as usual.

    Cagliari vs Juventus

    3-Way: 1: Cagliari +515 Away ; X: +320 Draw ; 2: Juventus -180 Home

    Spread: Cagliari +1 -115 ; Juventus -1 -105

    Total 2.5: Over -130 ; Under +110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Juventus Stadium was an absolute madhouse in this week’s Champions League match with Real Madrid, and it lifted them to a 2 - 1 win in the first leg of the semifinals. Naturally, they benefited from a call in the box that gave them a penalty kick to take the 2 - 1 lead, and it seems they always manage to get those calls at home.

    Not to say that the call was not right, because Tevez was tripped in the box after all, but he also knows how to get those calls when the club needs them.

    Cagliari comes off a resounding 4 - 0 win last weekend, albeit against Parma who has seemingly now accepted their fate to Serie B. Juventus will likely sit the big names for this one, with a second leg in Madrid on decknext Wednesday, but they will still enjoy three points at home without a doubt.

    Move the total to a straight 3, and get a lovely price of +120 or so, because Juventus is going to score four goals even with a second team on the pitch.

    Sunday, May 10- 7 Matches

    Featured Match Inter Milan vs Lazio

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Inter +335

    Lazio -115

    Draw +270


    Inter +0.5 -105

    Lazio -0.5 -115

    Total 2.5:

    Over -130

    Under +110

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Inter Milan needs to make up a mere two points to manage a Europe League berth and, if they finish out the way they have been playing, they can certainly catch Sampdoria or Fiorentina, with both clubs struggling to find results.

    Lazio continued to let their road issues be a factor again last weekend, and had to settle for a draw against a weak Atalanta club who is barely staying alive in top flight.

    This has a low-scoring draw feel to it, so the +0.5 handicap on Inter Milan makes our board in our featured match of the weekend. Lazio is feeling the pressure, and you can see this club is not the same confident club they were just weeks ago.

    Sassuolo vs Cesena

    3-Way: 1: Sassuolo +185 Away ; X: +240 Draw ; 2: Cesena +150 Home

    Spread: Sassuolo Pk +105 ; Cesena Pk -125

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Cesena is likely headed right back to Serie B, and they really never showed much of a fight in top flight this year. Four wins on the campaign is simply not going to keep you around, and any match without points down the stretch will seal their fate. Sassuolo is not exactly playing well and has a -13 goal ratio, allowing 52 goals on the campaign.

    These two should have no problem finding three goals, so the -110 action on the Over 2.5 makes the board in this one.

    Fiorentina vs Empoli

    3-Way: 1: Fiorentina +150 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Empoli +180 Home

    Spread: Fiorentina Pk -125; Empoli Pk +105

    Total 2.5: Over -120 ; Under +100

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Fiorentina will have a mid-week Europa League match with Spanish side Sevillaon Thursday, and is likely in over their heads and are not going to fare well. Sevilla is on a mission, and is going to move on in our opinion. That will give Fiorentina only a couple of days to prepare for a road match with Empoli, who walked in to Torinoon Wednesday and found a 1 - 0 win.

    We are taking the Empoli Pk Draw no Bet line of +105, because the Viola has been playing so poorly in league play lately and is slowly giving away their position in the table. They will not maintain their status, and we do not expect Fiorentina to end up with a Europa League entry for next year.

    Napoli vs Parma

    3-Way: 1: Napoli -330 Away ; X: +430 Draw ; 2: Parma +1085 Home

    Spread: Napoli -1.5 -115 ; Parma +1.5 -105

    Total 3: Over -110 ; Under -110

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well it is over, and we thought Parma might have had some fight left when they faced lowly Cagliari last weekend.

    After seeing that performance, we now know that Parma has given up and Napoli is likely to score more than enough to cash this Over 3 by themselves.If $10 worth of juice is all the line setters ask, then we can gladly pay the fee to expect more than three goals here.

    Sampdoria vs Udinese

    3-Way: 1: Sampdoria +180 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Udinese +165 Home

    Spread: Sampdoria Pk -105 ; Udinese Pk -115

    Total 2.5: Over +110 ; Under -130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Sampdoria is also giving away their run at Europa league entry, and the poor results of late, has everyone wondering what they have left to give this campaign.

    Udinese is always difficult to figure out, because they have been nothing but a middle-of-the-pack club the entire year.

    Figuring out who wants these three points is a coin-flip if there ever was one, so we will suggest the draw at +225, because neither club will do enough to gain three points.

    Atalanta vs Palermo

    3-Way: 1: Atalanta +265 Away ; X: +230 Draw ; 2: Palermo +115 Home

    Spread: Atalanta +0.5 -135 ; Palermo -0.5 +115

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Atalanta put up a nice fight against Lazio last weekend, finding a point in a 1 - 1 draw at home. They have simply settled for entirely too many draws this year, and is why they are barely clear of the drop zone.

    Palermo came up to Serie A this year, and has only proven that they can do one thing, and that is play well at home.

    This is another draw waiting to happen, and the +230 on the action is more than reasonable to expect another 1 - 1 type of match at Renzo Barbera.

    Hellas Verona vs Chievo Verona

    3-Way: 1: Hellas +240 Away ; X: +230 Draw ; 2: Chievo +125 Home

    Spread: Hellas Pk +140 ; Chievo Pk -165

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Does that say +115?

    Why the line setters are expecting a low-scoring derby in Verona is beyond us, and this is not likely to be another 1 - 0 type of match for these two.

    The away side has won the last three matches with a 1 - 0 result, and all that hopefully comes to an end this weekend. There is absolutely no significance to this result, and they can both just go out and let it all hang out.

    The Over 2.5 goes in the books as our suggestion, simply out of a gut feeling that we will see some balls in the back of the nets.

    Monday, May 11- 1 Match

    Torino vs Genoa

    3-Way: 1: Torino +200 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Genoa +145 Home

    Spread: Torino Pk +115 ; Genoa Pk -135

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Our third draw call of the weekend comes on the final match of the weekend, as we expect absolutely nothing to happen in this one.

    This Under 2.5 is a great play as well, as we see a 1 - 1 result coming to fruition at Luigi Ferraris.

    Play the draw, or play the Under 2.5, because either way you will likely cash your tickets. We will leave it to you to decide which of the two plays tickles your fancy.

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