Italian Serie A Week 27 Sampdoria vs AS Roma

  • Friday, March 13th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr

    Sampdoria-vs-AS-Roma odds

    Soccer Betting @ BetDSI: Juventus now finds themselves 11 points clear of all clubs in Serie A and holding all the cards to ensure they take home their fourth consecutive Italian Scudetto. It would be their 31st in club history dating back to 1905.

    Roma continues to fail in keeping pace with the Bianconeri, and has now let Napoli and Lazio nip at their heels for second place in the table. The difference between 2nd and 3rd holds Champions League implications and a free pass to the Group Stage for second, with third place entry to the qualifying stages of the largest European club event there is.

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    Roma will appear in our featured match of the weekend, coming off a 1 - 1matchThursdaywith Fiorentina in Europa League's first leg of the Round of 16. They will host Sampdoria at Stadio Olimpico in a match that was moved toMonday, due to theThursdayEuropa outing.

    However, the weekend starts on Saturday with Juventus looking to extend their 11-point lead when they take on Palermo in Sicily in the first match of the weekend.Empoli travels to Sardinia to take on Cagliari inSaturday'sother match.

    On Sunday, we see 5 matches on the schedule, with Parma included in this weekend's events, and we will discuss the Parma situation in their game preview this week with Sassuolo.

    We close out the Roundon Monday with three days of football to be played, so let's get to the pitch.

    Saturday, March 14- 2 Matches

    Juventus vs Palermo

    3-Way: 1: Juventus -145 Away ; X: +275 Draw ; 2: Palermo +450 Home

    Spread: Juventus -0.5 -145 ; Palermo +0.5 +125 Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Juventus will be without Paul Pogba who picked up a yellow card which reserves his spot on the bench this weekend from suspension. His goal to salvage a 1 - 0 win last weekend against Sassuolo has many already talking like the Scudetto may be all but clinched for the Zebras, and no one is really threatening that right now.

    With an 11-point lead in the table and only a dozen matches left on the campaign, it sure will take something extremely disastrous to happen down the stretch for Juve to relinquish their lead.

    At least Palermo does play a different style at home than they do on the road, being the only club in Serie A sitting with one home loss on the campaign, with a 21 - 13 scoring ratio at Renzo Barbera.

    Palermo still won't be able to stop Juventus even without Pogba on the pitch, and it will open up more opportunities for Llorente and Tevez to work with Morata and Pereyra, who can create trouble for any defense. We know Chiellini and Evra will push from the back line and be in the zone for corners and free kicks, making this have an Over feel to it.

    Juventus should eke this victory out, and we hope they do it by scoring, so if 2 - 1 is all they ask to cash this Over 2.5 at a lovely +115, then so be it and it goes on the board.

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    Empoli vs Cagliari

    3-Way: 1: Empoli +195 Away ; X: +240 Draw ; 2: Cagliari +145 Home

    Spread: Empoli Pk +110 ; Cagliari -130 Total 2.5: Over -115 ; Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Andrea Cossu and Fernando Avelar will be out for Cagliari, after Avelar picked up two yellows last weekend in being sent off, and Cossu accumulated enough yellows to draw a one-match suspension. The Sardinians find themselves holding on to the third relegation spot that could end up seeing them demoted to Serie B at year's end.

    Empoli has gone six straight without a loss in Serie A, but only has 10 points to show for their efforts and still only have a nine-point cushion from relegation.

    We actually had a Francesco Tavani sighting last weekend for Empoli, with all of us questioning what his role is going to be down the stretch of the campaign. They certainly could use his leadership, with he and Maccarone trying to figure things out up front.

    We don't put this out there too often with Cagliari matches, but this Under might be the best suggestion we can make in this spot. Both teams need points, but Empoli leads the league in draws, with many of them being 1 - 1 or 0 - 0. The Under makes the board, with the 2.5 at -105.

    Sunday, March 15- 5 Matches

    Udinese vs Atalanta

    3-Way: 1: Udinese +225 Away ; X: +220 Draw ; 2: Atalanta +140 Home

    Spread: Udinese Pk +125 ; Atalanta Pk -145

    Total 2: Over -135 ; Under +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Atalanta and Parma actually ended up playing their match last weekend, and most of us wish they hadn't. Their 0 - 0 draw was like watching paint dry, and you could see early on that was going to be a long evening of uneventful football.

    Udinese comes off a much-needed victory over Torino, who has been playing some of the best football in Italy lately.However, that was at home, and we have often discussed how different Udinese is away from home.

    We will suggest this Under 2 at +115, with a nice price that comes with it.

    Matches like these make Italian football hard to watch, and we expect this will be one to forget when it is all said and done.

    Chievo Verona vs Genoa

    3-Way: 1: Chievo +320 Away ; X: +230 Draw ; 2: Genoa +100 Home

    Spread: Chievo +0.5 -120 ; Genoa -0.5 +100

    Total 2: Over -125 ; Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Chievo Verona did what we expected again last weekend, which was playing to a stone cold under in another 0 - 0 outing against Roma last weekend. They now have played back to back 0 - 0 matches, and have only put up 7 shots on goal their last 3 times out, which makes it tough to score with such limited attempts.

    We know that Genoa has Mattia Perin between the pipes, which will once again make it difficult for Chievo to find the back of the net.

    We expect this Under to come in again, with a 1 - 0 Genoa win in the end, so the +105 offered on the total to go Under 2 makes the board.

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    Napoli vs Hellas Verona

    3-Way: 1: Napoli -125 Away ; X: +275 Draw ; 2: Verona +350 Home

    Spread: Napoli -0.5 -125 ; Verona +0.5 +105

    Total 2.5: Over -125; Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Napoli had plenty of success in Europa League this week, finding the net 3 times at home against Dynamo Moscow, to go up on aggregate for their second leg to come next week in Russia.

    Verona pulled off a last-second miracle against AC Milan to snatch a 2 - 2 draw last weekend, adding further questions to Filippo Inzaghi's status at Milan. They now have to make a similar effort against a Napoli club with the hope of stealing Roma's second slot in the table.

    This is one of those spots that we have to drink the juice on the total and pay the -125 for the Over 2.5.

    There will be goals here, and the 'yes' side of the both to score prop is up there at -150 at many books that offer that prop bet. Let's hope they do just that, and a third goal finds the net to cash this Over play.

    Cesena vs Inter Milan

    3-Way: 1: Cesena +730 Away ; X: +375 Draw ; 2: Inter -245 Home

    Spread: Cesena +1 +130 ; Inter -1 -150

    Total 2.5: Over -125 ; Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Cesena's lone away win on the campaign came when they faced lowly Parma back onJanuary 25at Stadio Tardini.

    Since finding the net twice against Juventus and coming off a 0 – 0 match against Palermo last weekend, Cesena has only one goal in their last 3 outings. This makes it difficult to climb out of the relegation hole they are currently in while trying to stay in top flight Serie A.

    Inter Milan comes off their 2 - 2 match with Napoli last weekend and lost their Europa League matchon Thursday3 - 1 in Germany to Wolfsburg.

    We have tried taking Cesena and the handicap +1 before and, if memory serves, they did not come through for us the last time, but we will give them one more opportunity to come through for us and grab that +1 handicap on the away side, with a highly attractive +130 on the action.

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    Parma vs Sassuolo

    3-Way: 1: Parma +500 Away ; X: +285 Draw ; 2: Sassuolo -160 Home

    Spread: Parma +1 -130 ; Sassuolo -1 +110

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    The Parma situation is still unsettled, and there will be a major bankruptcy hearing onMarch 19, that will inevitably decide the future of the club. There is still an outside chance that this could be Parma's last appearance in Serie A this year, so naturally we will try to keep you as up to date as we possibly can. The Parma players claim that they simply want to play regardless of the financial situation of the club, but from what we see on the pitch and what they are putting out there, this isn't worth much.

    Sassuolo has now lost four straight outings, and has only one goal to show over that time, making it difficult on themselves to maintain positioning. For the most part, they played well last weekend against Juventus, but Paul Pogba ripped out their hearts with a late strike that left them reeling.

    These two offenses are more than lethargic and, once again, we expect nothing at all from Parma, so the Under 2.5 comes in to play here, at a marginal -115.

    Monday, March 16- 3 Matches

    Featured Match Sampdoria vs AS Roma

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Sampdoria +500

    Roma -165

    Draw +285


    Sampdoria +1 -130

    Roma -1 +110

    Total 2.5:

    Over +100

    Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We discuss two clubs who desperately need all the points they can get, both being in the fight for every, or any, spot behind Juventus. Only 8 points separate them in the table, and Roma continues to only find 1 point at a time with four straight draws. They have drawn in 6 of their last 7 overall matches in all competitions. Since we already know that Francesco Totti might play his weekly happy hour, that puts all the pressure on the Gervinhos and Ljiajics of the world to help Pjanic and Nainggollin create shots, with maybe a late appearance from the 18-year-old phenom Verde. That is about all you get with Roma right now, so what do we get with Samp?

    Sampdoria has still only lost four times this campaign and, along with Juve and Roma, has not lost at home yet.

    What else can we do but keep recommending the Roma Under as we have been doing for a while now. It is easy to see that Roma is just not the offensive juggernaut that people still make them out to be. Luckily, we know better around here, so the Under 2.5 at -120 makes our sheet this weekend.

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    AC Milan Vs Fiorentina

    3-Way: 1: Milan +310 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Fiorentina -105 Home

    Spread: Milan +0.5 -115 ; Fiorentina -0.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Fiorentina and Roma locked heads in their first leg of Europe Leaguethis Thursday and settled for a 1 - 1 draw after Fiorentina took an early 1 - 0 lead. Fiorentina remains at home to take on a reeling AC Milan club who comes off a disheartening draw that should never have happened. How they will rebound from it will be key. All of us in the media are still wondering how much longer Inzaghi can hold on to his job, but that still has not come to fruition and, with only a dozen matches left to play they might just have to stay invested at this point.

    Milan is seven points out of Europa League qualifying for next year and, in fact, is chasing Fiorentina for that spot.

    Fiorentina also comes off an ugly 4 - 0 loss to Lazio in Rome last weekend in league play, but they should have that behind them already.

    We will suggest this AC Milan +0.5 handicap at -115 in this spot. Milan can score, and should have some success finding the net, and if a draw is the best result they can come up with, then we will cash our +0.5 tickets.

    Lazio vs Torino

    3-Way: 1: Lazio +160 Away ; X: +220 Draw ; 2: Torino +190 Home

    Spread: Lazio Pk -120 ; Torino Pk +100

    Total 2: Over -150 ; Under +130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Torino got cooled off last weekend, losing 3 - 2 to Udinese, and followed it up with a 2 - 0 loss in their Europe League tie with Zenit St PetersburgThursday.

    As we mentioned, Lazio ripped Fiorentina apart for four goals last weekend. Lazio has seemed to shake their poor away performances we have seen over the year, now having lost only two of their last 11 away fixtures, but not including a 2 - 0 record in Coppa Italia matches away from home during that span.

    We certainly cannot suggest the Over 2 at -150, so we suggest moving it to the handicap Over 2 and 2.5 to get much closer to even money on the action, sitting at -110 currently.

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