Italian Serie A Week 14 Fixtures Featuring AC Milan vs Genoa

  • Friday, December 5th, 2014

    By  Ej Garr

    AC-Milan-vs.-Genoa odds

    Soccer Betting: There are some interesting matches this weekend in Italy, but the match in Genoa against AC Milan should be the match of the weekend when they face off on Sunday, December 7. It will be our featured discussion this weekend and will also be the 2nd of 3 Serie A matches shown on Beinsports at9 AMEastern. Who doesn't love triple header football in Italy?

    That will certainly make it easier for you to know what is going on around the league, because they are actually showing 5 of the 10 matches around Serie A this weekend live.

    That gives us the opportunity to see 10 of the 20 clubs in action over the three-day stretch.

    Juventus and the Viola get our weekend started early, with aFridaymatch at Artemio Franchi. It is also one of the matches being shown on Beinsports and it is expected to be a physical match with plenty of contested 'hard fouls', as we will call them.

    AS Roma heads home to Olimpicoon Saturdayto host a hot Sassuolo club, who are coming off a Coppa Italia win mid-week as well.

    Let's break it all down, and see what else we can find in Italy.

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI

    Friday, December 5- 1 Match

    Juventus vs Fiorentina

    3-Way: 1: Juventus +115 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Fiorentina +270 Home

    Spread: Juventus Pk -190 ; Fiorentina Pk +160

    Total 2.5: Over +120 ; Under -140

    Analysis and Prediction:

    This is going to be a battle of old school football reborn.We can look at the table and see Fiorentina, sitting in 8th spotwith 19 points, not imposing much of a threat to anyone.

    If you have read our previews lately, you all know who Juventus is. We have determined their results just out of seeing them about to break out in a scoring spree. With 12 goals in their last 3, and the 5 goals in Champions League the last 2 matches of group play, they have simply found the net and, we can say, we saw it coming.

    Fiorentina may have been able to slow down Serie A to only 11 GA in 13 matches, but none of those matches were against Juventus, and it will not be as easy to pull off again. Throw in who was announced as the referee, and we might see some yellow cards from all the physical play expected here.

    These two have played 5 times in the last 2 years, including a Europa League meeting last year, so there is no love lost here. They know each other, and Fiorentina knows they are a pretty big home underdog at +270, which will not go unnoticed around camp.

    We certainly predict this match to come in Over the 2.5, with a splendid +120 sitting there to boot.

    There will be yellow cards here, so play that prop if you happen to have it available at your own book.

    Saturday, December 6- 2 Matches

    Sassuolo vs AS Roma

    3-Way: 1: Sassuolo +850 Away ; X: +385 Draw ; 2: Roma -270 Home

    Spread: Sassuolo +1.5 -130 ; Roma -1.5 +110

    Total 2.5: Over -140; Under +120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Sassuolo did enough to get by Pescara in the Coppa Italia mid-week, which is in correlation with a resounding run that sees them in 10th place in the table. You might remember, when we were talking about Sassuolo onOctober 10, we were talking about a club that looked like they wanted to go back to Serie B. They had 3 points through the first 6 matches of the campaign, but have since been in form, to say the least.

    Throw in the Coppa Matchon Tuesday, and Sassuolo has gotten a result in 8 straight matches. It is all because the defense finally figured it out, with only 4 GA over this run and, the last we heard, when you keep the ball out of your own net, you give yourself a damn good chance to get points on a weekly basis.

    Now the real test comes, because trying to score in Rome is like facing the lions in 2014 BC, not AD.

    Seven matches, seven wins, and 2 GA at Olimpico, both of which came last weekend at the hands of Inter, be it a 4 - 2 Roma win.

    Roma has 3 big home games in a row. The first was played last weekend which gave them 3 points. Today's match is a prelude to Champions League Match Day 6 in Group play. Luckily they are hosting Manchester City tied at 5 points for that all-important slot in the round of 16 with a win.

    There is no doubt Roma is looking ahead to Champions League, but they have enough in place to keep this Sassuolo team in sight.Zaza is back from suspension which will aid the Sassuolo cause, but they won't slow down even a B Roma club long enough.

    There are really no user-friendly lines here, as every play I would like to suggest has a bit of juice to drink.

    I do think Sassuolo will score, and so do the line setters in Europe, with even money on the yes or no prop, so I will go with Yes they both will score and we will move the Total to Over 2.5 and 3 on the handicap to get closer to even money.

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI

    Palermo vs Torino

    3-Way: 1: Palermo +360 Away ; X: +230 Draw ; 2: Torino -110 Home

    Spread: Palermo +0.5 -110 ; Torino -0.5 -110

    Total 2.5: Over -145 ; Under +125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Oh, Torino! Well, they did play a nice match at least with Juve, but Andrea Pirlo ripped their hearts out in extra time, with subtle control, and a magisterial long-range finish. He is the maestro, and if you don't know why, then you have not watched Italian football in about 20 years. Let's just say this, "Do not commit a foul within 10 yards of the box, because Andrea Pirlo can kill you from anywhere on the pitch with his free kick ridiculousness!"

    So many of those 1 - 0 matches you see in the 4 years he has been at Juventus, and before that Milan, and with the Italian National Team, ended that way because Pirlo hit some outrageous free kick to end the night with 3 points.

    So now Torino needs to rebound from what they saw as an opportunity to take a point from Juve, from just being the same club who finds ways to not score when they need it. We know who is upfront for Torino, and the crap shoot you get with Torino's offense. Now they get Palermo, who we did indeed predict to win over Parma, but this will be a much different match.There will be some goal scoring here, and the line setters see it too, with the -145 on the 2.5. This will be another situation you move the line to Over 2.5 and 3 on the handicap, to get a better price.

    Sunday, December 7- 5 Matches

    Featured Match AC Milan vs Genoa

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Milan +140

    Genoa +220

    Draw +220


    Milan Pk -140

    Genoa Pk +120

    Total 2.5:

    Over +115

    Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Expecting a great match, and they happen to be a couple of points apart in the table, near enough to the top of it. Well at least in line for the third spot, because Roma and Juve are clearly running away with the first two spots as we sit today.

    Regardless, this should be a fun match to watch, and I will do just that at9 AM on Sunday, before NFL pregame shows kick off. Nothing better than waking up to breakfast in Italy with some football and pancetta-filled omelets.

    We have covered the Genoa GK plenty, and we know he makes a difference in any match, but Lopez in the net instead of sieve Abbiati changes things too. We definitely questioned the re-signing of Abbiati in Milan. When he came out and said, "I will retire if Milan does not re-sign me," it was apparently enough. Now he sits and watches Lopez in his net, and Lopez can hold his own.

    These lines scream that a draw could happen here, and it is the type of match where you will see many outlets screaming they have fixed tips information. Draws are not fixed as often as people suspect.

    Regardless this has a 1 - 1 feel to it for some reason. I do not lay draws but a spot or two a year, so +220 seems fair enough to risk some lunch money here on the draw.

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI

    Empoli vs Napoli

    3-Way: 1: Empoli +1015 Away ; X: +425 Draw ; 2: Napoli -315 Home

    Spread: Empoli +1.5 -115 ; Napoli -1.5 -105

    Total 3: Over +110 ; Under -130

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Hot Napoli heads home with 1 loss in their last 14 matches in Europe.Empoli looked like they were in the wrong stadium playing the wrong sport last weekend vs Atalanta. All of us in the studio watching that match fell asleep, as there was only one real chance the entire match that the net would be found. Atalanta put up 1 official shot on goal.

    Now, Empoli needs to face a club that is playing this well, but they could catch Napoli looking forward to Europa League. Napoli has the opportunity onThursday, December 11,to host Bratislava to clinch top spot in Group I. Bratislava hos lost every match and does not belong in Europa.

    We doubt Napoli will sit anyone major to prepare for the worst club in their group coming here next week for Europa, so they should be fine against Empoli. The line setters told us that with the +1000 line.

    It is amazing that they tell us they have no shot to win, but you have to pay $15 at -115 to take them to keep it within a goal? Really? No thank you, as I will take Napoli and the -1.5 handicap at closer to even money.

    Cesena vs Atalanta

    3-Way: 1: Cesena +525 Away ; X: +255 Draw ; 2: Atalanta -150 Home

    Spread: Cesena +0.5 +130 ; Atalanta -0.5 -150

    Total 2: Over -140 ; Under +120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    As we said, 1 shot on goal against Empoli last weekend for Atalanta and that is not a formula for success.

    Cesena hasn't found much away from home this campaign, sitting at 0 - 5 - 1 in their 6 matches away from Stadio D' Manuzzi. Atalanta has at least scored 1 goal in each of their last 4 home matches, and Cesena really has not stopped anyone this year at all.

    I really do not think this Over 2 at -140 makes sense, despite the issues for Atalanta. They can score at home, and probably will score both of those 2 goals to push it. Yes, I said they will score two goals against Cesena, it is ok, and I won't be struck my lightening!The Over 2 and 2.5 handicap would be the best option here to bring it closer to even money.

    Lazio vs Parma

    3-Way: 1: Lazio +115 Away ; X: +240 Draw ; 2: Parma +255 Home

    Spread: Lazio -0.5 +115 ; Parma +0.5 -135

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Lazio on the road, always a concern. Now we have to wonder why they struggled with Chievo last weekend at home. The 0 - 0 result had to seem like a world of success for Chievo and a huge let down for Lazio. Now Lazio gets to face the worst club in the league. It is also in Parma, so that is why the line setters are saying they might, could, sort of win here, but we are not so sure.

    Lazio had a great Coppa Italia win early in the week, a 3 - 0 result, but now they have to ask themselves if the backups can be more of a factor. Their B squad played the Coppa match, and they had enough success to look ok. It was not some outrageous effort -- they did get the help of an own goal -- but they found the net twice.

    If Lazio can't beat this Parma team because they are playing it in Parma, than I will never let Lazio lose the stigma of being an absolute horrible away club. Lazio it is, grab the +115, and if they don't do it, we fade Lazio on the road the rest of the season maybe!

    Udinese vs Inter Milan

    3-Way: 1: Udinese +750 Away ; X: +305 Draw ; 2: Inter Milan -210 Home

    Spread: Udinese +1 +105 ; Inter -1 -125

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Udinese is another one of those clubs who has mega away issues, and we have discussed that plenty over the time we have been offering these extended previews. To refresh your memory, Udinese has one win in their last 20 away matches, including domestic, friendly, and European club matches. We weren't kidding about their issues, and now it going to start building to some crazy number.

    Naturally, the line setters are on to it, as +750 says enough about the road woes, but Inter Milan at -210? That is not going to happen at the price, and now that Inter has a new head man, they are scoring. They may not be winning, but they are scoring.

    I will take this Over 2.5 however, expecting a 2 - 1 match.

    Bet on the Italian Serie A at BetDSI

    Monday, December 8- 2 Matches

    Chievo Verona vs Cagliari

    3-Way: 1: Chievo +360 Away ; X: +255 Draw ; 2: Cagliari -120 Home

    Spread: Chievo +0.5 +100 ; Cagliari -0.5 -120

    Total 2.5: Over -120; Under +100

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well, do we finally have a match Cagliari can win? On paper you may think so, but I am not buying one thing this club is selling. They have no ability to keep up with anyone who scores first, and if Chievo score first, we are in business here. That is because the play here is the Chievo +0.5 at Even money.

    Sampdoria vs Hellas Verona

    3-Way: 1: Sampdoria +175 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Verona +170 Home

    Spread: Sampdoria Pk -110 ; Verona Pk -110

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Sampdoria is still that quiet club with only 1 loss on the campaign, and Verona is simply putting nothing together.Verona did manage a 1 - 0 victory in the mid-week Coppa Italia win over Perugia, but that is still a newly upgraded Serie B club. I will take Sampdoria Pk at -110 until someone shows me they can beat them.

    View the latest Serie A Soccer Betting Odds @ Diamond Sportsbook