Soccer Odds - English Premier League Week 12 Fixtures Featuring Swansea at Manchester City Nov 22

  • Friday, November 21st, 2014

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting at BetDSI: We get startedon Saturday at 10 AMEastern time, as 6 of the 7 scheduled matches will go onNovember 22.

    Our featured match of the weekend comes in the form of Swansea and Manchester City. A battle of two top 5 clubs in the table, which is usually how we determine what match to highlight each week. Another reason it works out well, is that we might be expecting a shootout here with a nice suggestion on the Total for everyone.

    Alsoon Sunday, Chelsea sits 4 points clear of Southampton at the top of the table, still the only club without a scar in the loss column on the campaign. Scoring 28 goals through 11 matches can usually help the cause, and they take on West Brom at home, who certainly need to find some consistency.

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    Manchester U heads to Chelsea in another big matchon Sunday. They both sit a single point apart in the table, so any points right now are crucial, especially two clubs still looking for some identity as a whole.

    We have a Liverpool debacle to discuss forSunday, as one of the two matches onNovember 23.

    Southampton will face Aston Villaon Monday, which will be the match to close out the weekend. With only 5 Goals Allowed through 11 matches, Southampton have easily put up the best defensive numbers in all of Premier League.

    We have matches to discuss as we come off the International Break and are headed to the Holiday Break, so let's open up the Diamond Sportsbook English Premier Odds Page, and see if we can have some pudding with our meat.

    Saturday, November 22- 7 Matches

    Featured Match Swansea vs Manchester City

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Swansea +750

    Man City -265 Draw +400


    Swansea +1.5 -125

    Man City -1.5 +105

    Total 3:

    Over -120 Under +100

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We start with what we consider the best match of the weekend in ManchesterNovember 22. Do any of you remember an incident in an NFL post-game interview where Dennis Green threw a fit after a loss, and said, "They were who we thought they were, and we let ‘em off the hook".

    We know who Manchester City is, and it has been the same story most of the year. They better start shoring the defensive side of the pitch, and do it now, because it is going to cost them something bigger up the road if they don't.

    We will assume you would know why this total sits at a straight 3. Until Man City comes out and impresses someone with the play of the back line, they will always be suspect to have at least one, if not upwards of 3 or 4, breakdowns that they have already gotten caught standing and watching the ball, not taking their man. We have seen it in their Champions League matches and plenty this campaign in the Premiership.

    I will take this 3 to go over, and some people may shy away from it, being that a 2 - 1 match does nothing for them. I simply do not trust Man City to come close to keeping a clean sheet, even at home. Swansea is certainly not walking in here scared of anything. They have scored 2 goals in what seems every match. When you think of Swansea results this year, I can remember them getting 2 goals quite often. Six of the 11 matches they have scored 2 or more. This has shootout written all over it, and It should be 2 - 1 at Halftime, much less waiting for a 4th in the second half to clinch it! Take the Over 3.

    West Brom vs Chelsea

    3-Way: 1: West Brom +1215 Away ; X: +550 Draw ; 2: Chelsea -430 Home

    Spread: West Brom +1.5 +125 ; Chelsea -1.5 -145

    Total 3: Over -105 ; Under -115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    West Brom is going to stop Chelsea today. Thank you, I'll be here all week!

    That is called comedy, and this Total of 3 reminds me of a clown face holding a winning ticket that says, "Total Over 3 -105" and Bozo won enough money to get out of the circus. West Brom is certainly NOT going to have a clue what to do with the Chelsea madness of pressure. They don't just beat you, they leave you standing there with a white flag begging for it to end.

    Gladly will take this Over 3 at some easy line of -105.

    West Ham vs Everton

    3-Way: 1: West Ham +345 Away ; X: +265 Draw ; 2: Everton -120 Home

    Spread: West Ham +0.5 +100 ; Everton -0.5 -120

    Total 2.5: Over -140 ; Under +120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    West Ham is another one of those clubs who doesn't seem to settle for just one goal. They have had 7 matches with 2 GF or better, and both these clubs are playing well lately. Neither club has lost since the first weekend of October. We know why this total sits at -140 to go over of course, so it is tough to find some meat on the bone there. I would hate to say I have a hunch on this Draw, but for some reason I think this might be a 2 - 2 type match. If they under achieve all day, it could certainly be 1 - 1, so you might consider a play on the draw for some value.

    Sunderland vs Leicester City

    3-Way: 1: Sunderland +255 Away ; X: +240 Draw ; 2: Leicester +115 Home

    Spread: Sunderland +0.5 -135 ; Leicester City -0.5 +115

    Total 2.5: Over +100; Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    These two clubs have 2 things in common. With only 2 wins a piece on the campaign they can't find wins, and they both have been suspect on the defensive side of the ball with 37 goals allowed between them. At least Sunderland is showing some kind of life lately. Leicester has not found the net once in their last 4 matches. Last we heard, if you can't score, you can't win. It is isn't rocket science, its football!

    I see the Sunderland price is beautiful at +255 on the 3-Way 1x2, but I have always liked to put myself in a position of having a safety net when we see tempting high lines. I would look at Sunderland and the 0/Pk Draw No Bet play, being that it is also user friendly at +150, and it is nice to have an away club who finds value in away points of any nature.

    Queens Park vs Newcastle

    3-Way: 1: QPR +375 Away ; X: +275 Draw ; 2: Newcastle -130 Home

    Spread: QPR +0.5 +110 ; Newcastle -0.5 -130

    Total 2.5: Over -115 ; Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    So who thinks QPR took a week off to bring in four defenders and maybe a goalie? Well, I didn't see any of that happen so if nothing is going to change, than why would we stop betting it? We won't, because we are taking the Over 2.5 with minimal juice of -115. There is nothing to over analyze until something changes.

    Burnley vs Stoke City

    3-Way: 1; Burnley +425 Away ; X: +275 Draw ; 2: Stoke -140 Home

    Spread: Burnley +0.5 +120 ; Stoke -0.5 -140

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    So Burnley finally ends the drought of being winless, and now the line setters say they could never back it up with any type of result. Even the +0.5 is being given away at +120, so what are the chances Burnley wins back to back matches?

    Stoke has certainly played well lately, with 3 results in their last 4, and not a weak schedule behind it. They've beaten Tottenham, Swansea and Drew with West Ham, so they should be fine here at home. You might hope to find the -1 handicap at a lovely + 125 or so, if it is offered. The -140 is just a bit out of my range when it comes to juice. I would rather push a -1 at +125, then lay $40 hoping they simply win.

    Manchester United vs Arsenal

    3-Way: 1: Man U +230 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Arsenal +120 Home

    Spread: Man U +0.5 -140 ; Arsenal -0.5 +120

    Total 2.5: Over -135 , Under +115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    This is also a meeting of two teams looking for an identity. Manchester United and Arsenal do however sit in the 6 and 7 spots of the table, which makes this match almost worth a feature story. Almost! Manchester is getting back to full complement with injuries, suspensions and all they have been through this year, so things should be getting better over there as time goes by. They are however one of 3 clubs who have yet to win an away match.

    Arsenal will of course also be looking forward to hosting Dortmund in Champions League during the week, so they can rely on some home cooking to take on both Man U and Dortmund three days apart.

    I certainly don't like the fact that Man U is still winless away from home. We know that will eventually have to come to an end. How much better of a price will we see up the road if they remain winless than +230?

    Call it a hunch, or just hoping to find value in a match they could surely find a way to win. Manu U +230 3-Way is the bold call of the weekend.

    Sunday, November 23- 2 Matches

    Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

    3-Way: 1: Liverpool -120 Away ; X: +265 Draw ; 2: Crystal Palace +350 Home

    Spread: Liverpool -0.5 -120 ; C. Palace +0.5 +100

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Ahh Liverpool. Doesn't get old saying the same thing about Balotelli? What is the next plan of an attack for the Reds. It was also just announced that Daniel Sturridge will be out with a thigh injury. There is gossip that Nathaniel Clyne of Southampton, and/or Xherdan Shiqiri are being considered astransfers, and they could use either of them. They also have to travel to Bulgaria for Champions League during the week, and they really need help there too.

    Luckily for them, Crystal Palace has only two wins on the campaign, so if things could ever start to look up, it would behoove them to start now. I hate to do it, but Liverpool should be able to get the result they need here, so the Reds on the 3-Way at -120, even away from home, is the play.

    Tottenham vs Hull City

    3-Way: 1: Tottenham +120 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Hull City +245 Home

    Spread: Tottenham -0.5 -120 ; Hull City +0.5 -140

    Total 2.5: Over +100 ; Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Hull City has the distinction of letting Burnley win their first match of the year against them. If you can not handle Burnley, the odds of being able to stop Tottenham just went to a lovely +120 for us. Plenty of value fading a Hull City team that looked that bad against the worst club in the league.

    Monday, November 24- 1 Match

    Southampton vs Aston Villa

    3-Way: 1: Southampton -130 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Aston Villa +425 Home

    Spread: S. Hampton -0.5 -130 ; Aston Villa +0.5 +110

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Do not need much analysis here. Southampton is simply not going to let Aston Villa do much. The line of -130 is not exactly a perfect scenario for an away team to win, but Aston Villa is certainly not going to score, and even if they do, it might be the one goal. It just isn't enough, so Southampton will have to go on the board at -130.

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