English Premier League Week 37 Arsenal vs Manchester United

  • Thursday, May 14th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: We are down to the final two fixtures of the campaign, and there is still plenty left to play for many of the Premier League clubs this season. We know that Chelsea has the double in hand, but the two and three spots are only separated by three points, while the Europa League battle has four clubs vying for two available entries.

    Burnley and Queens Park will be sent down to Champions Division next campaign, and Hull City is hoping to get out of the 18 hole that joins them in second tier. The featured match of the weekend happens at Old Traffordthis Sunday, as Man United looks to make up the two-point deficit with Arsenal, with a group stage entry to Champions League on the line.

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    Arsenal currently sits in third place, with Man U holding on to fourth, although they have both likely done enough to end up in some type of Champions League entry, be it group stage or qualifying rounds.

    So much to discuss, so little time left to take the pitch, so let's get to the board, and break down Round 37.

    Saturday, May 16- 7 Matches

    Aston Villa vs Southampton

    3-Way: 1: Villa +400 Away ; X: +255 Draw ; 2: Southampton -125 Home

    Spread: Villa +0.5 +105 ; Southampton -0.5 -125

    Total 2.5: Over +100 ; Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Aston Villa has most likely done enough to pull themselves out of the hole they were in just a couple of months ago. Remember, we were discussing the managerial move when Tim Sherwood took over on a permanent basis to finish the campaign, and it worked just enough to likely stay afloat in top flight.

    How they finish these next two matches could decide if there are jobs next year around the organization, despite the finish that was good enough to survive. Catching Southampton at the right time won't hurt their cause, because now the Saints have fallen out of European contention with two matches left to go.

    Southampton's defense was the rock that held this campaign together, and they have now given up two goals in four straight outings, the last of which came last weekend to Leicester, in a 2 - 0 loss and valuable points again disappearing. They do only have a single point to make up behind Tottenham for Europa League qualification next season, but only managing one point in their last 4 outing and giving up 8 goals will not get it done.

    This Over is lovely at even money on the 2.5, expecting an easy three goals to hit the board within the hour mark, much less in 90 minutes.

    Stoke City vs Burnley

    3-Way: 1: Stoke +170 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Burnley +180 Home

    Spread: Stoke Pk -115 ; Burnley Pk -105

    Total 2.5: Over +125 ; Under -145

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Nothing much happening here as Stoke has nothing to gain or lose with 50 points, while Burnley is being sent down come the end of the campaign.

    That is about all the analysis we need really, since the win over Tottenham last weekend was impressive enough for us to take a chance on this Stoke Pk Draw no bet action. Let there be a draw if they must, it will do nothing but see our money returned, so leaving the -115 on the play is the way to go.

    Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

    3-Way: 1: C. Palace +670 Away ; X: +355 Draw ; 2: Liverpool -220 Home

    Spread: C. Palace +1 +115 ; Liverpool -1 -135

    Total 2.5: Over -140 ; Under +120

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Liverpool has Palace and Stoke left on the schedule, and neither of those two has a purpose left on the campaign. The middle of the table will be the best they can do, and managing to stay afloat is about as good as it will get.

    Liverpool might feel secure enough with the 5 spot that comes with Europa League group stage entry, although they do have to at least get a result in their last two matches to ensure the path.

    The only play to offer here, has to be the -1 on Liverpool at -135. They are home, they have the need, and we can see by the four-game losing streak that Palace doesn't have any bark left in that dog.

    Newcastle vs Queens Park

    3-Way: 1: Newcastle +125 Away ; X: +255 Draw ; 2: QPR +215 Home

    Spread: Newcastle -0.5 +125 ; QPR +0.5 -145

    Total 2.5: Over -125 ; Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We have a fugly alert! Sound the alarm, because these two are playing ugly football, and whomever wins this match will be snapping an extensive drought on either side of the pitch.

    Newcastle has now gone nine matches without a win, but at least have a draw to show for their last outing, which snapped an eight-game losing streak. QPR has one win in their last 11 outings, so once again, if ugly is your type of football, this is your match to enjoy.

    Obviously, we will not suggest a play on the 3-Way action here, because how do you honestly suggest either of these two to suddenly win a match out of nowhere? Take the total, and lean towards this Under 2.5 at +105, assuming that the line setters put the juice on the wrong side of the action.

    Leicester City vs Sunderland

    3-Way: 1: Leicester +170 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Sunderland +170 Home

    Spread: Leicester Pk -110 ; Sunderland Pk -110

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Leicester City has won six of their last seven, and Nigel Pearson even said in his weekly news conference that his guys must be getting tired of fighting as hard as they have been to get these results. Remember, we are talking about a Leicester club that was destined for second tier, and now has a three-point separation from demotion after this amazing run they are on.

    As we mentioned previously, Sunderland will be making up their match with Arsenal on the 20th, and will play three matches in eight days to everyone else's two. They are going to need some results in these last few matches to stay alive in top flight, as they are nowhere near safe at 36 points. They will meet Chelsea to finish out the campaign at Stamford Bridge after the make-up game with Arsenal, so that puts that much more emphasis on this match to get a result.

    We are suggesting this Over 2.5 at +105, simply expecting them to go at it for 90 minutes, with neither being able to afford a loss and only a point apart this close to the bottom of the table.

    Hull City vs Tottenham

    3-Way: 1: Hull +355 Away ; X: +300 Draw ; 2: Tottenham -135 Home

    Spread: Hull +0.5 +115 ; Tottenham -0.5 -135

    Total 2.5: Over -135 ; Under +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well, we predicted Tottenham would fall apart, and they did exactly that last weekend against Stoke City in a 3 - 0 loss. Now they have one home game left this weekend to attempt to hold on to the last Europa League qualification position. Swansea and Southampton are hot on their tail, so any further debacle could potentially cost them a spot in European club competition next campaign.

    Hull has their own issues right now, sitting in the 18 hole in the table that brings demotion to Championship Division.To continue to the fade of Tottenham down the stretch, we are suggesting Hull City and the handicap of +0.5 at +115.

    Everton vs West Ham

    3-Way: 1: Everton +160 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: West Ham +175 Home

    Spread: Everton Pk -115 ; West Ham Pk -105

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Again, it is matches like this with no significance that make things tough to find solid suggestions.

    Neither club can gain or lose positioning. Both are simply finishing out the campaign with next year in mind.

    The only realistic option to consider here is the Draw. Take your minimum bet approach, and be willing to either take a mini chance, or simply lay off it if need be. No one will yell at you for moving on to our featured match of the weekend.

    Sunday, May 17- 2 Matches

    Featured Match Arsenal vs Manchester United

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Arsenal +215

    Man U +135

    Draw +245


    Arsenal +0.5 -160

    Man U -0.5 +135

    Total 2.5:

    Over -120

    Under +100

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Arsenal does indeed have a game in hand, as they will make up their Sunderland fixture on the 20th after this match with Man U. That will put the Gunners on the pitch three times over eight days, as they close out with West Brom in the final match of the campaign, leaving 9 points dangling in front of them to ensure Champions League group stage entry.

    However, they did lose to Swansea this past weekend at home, when they were in a position to be tied at 73 points with Man City instead of three behind them. Not to mention that they were coming off their first loss sinceFebruary 7thagainst Tottenham in league play, spanning nine matches. The Gunners had also not lost in their last 11 outings over all three competitions they are taking part of as well.

    Man United have earned 43 of their 68 points this campaign at Old Trafford, while finally getting back in the win column last weekend, ending the 3-game skid.

    This is obviously a big heads-up match with two points separating the two clubs, especially since there is a big difference between 3rd and 4th place in the table. We suggest the draw here, on a hunch that nothing will be settled in this meeting with so much on the line for each club. The +245 on the action is certainly worth the opportunity.

    Manchester City vs Swansea

    3-Way: 1: Man City -145 Away ; X: +300 Draw ; 2: Swansea +400 Home

    Spread: Man City -0.5 -145 ; Swansea +0.5 +125

    Total 3: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    We know that Manchester City wants that two spot in the table, and what a feat that would be with such a turmoil-filled campaign that this has been -- mixed results and a lot of disappointing outings that saw their defense give away so many points this year.

    Swansea is still chasing Europe as well, only needing to make up two points to catch Tottenham. Their defense has been playing well lately, and it came through big again this past weekend, shutting down Arsenal away from home last time out.

    We are suggesting the +0.5 handicap on Swansea here, playing their last home game of the season, while riding a 3-match win streak.

    Monday, May 18- 1 Match

    Chelsea vs West Brom

    3-Way: 1: Chelsea +100 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: West Brom +300 Home

    Spread: Chelsea -0.5 +100 ; West Brom +0.5 -120

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Tough way to end the campaign for West Brom at home, although we know that Chelsea has not a single reason to be concerned with the result here.

    The line setters seem to think that Chelsea wants this match, offering even money on the 3-Way line.

    We would expect this to simply be an easy win for Chelsea of course, although they are seemingly going to field a squad that would take three points from most clubs anyway.

    Just go ahead and finish your round on a Chelsea play at even money, to take another three points against a club playing for nothing as well.

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