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English Premier League Week 14 Fixtures Featuring Southampton vs. Arsenal

  • Monday, December 1st, 2014

    By  Ej Garr

    Southampton-vs-Arsenal odds

    English Premier League Betting: We prepare for mid-week fixtures on the English pitch, as each club will have 3 matches spread out over two weekends. Chelsea still sits 6 points clear of the pack, but surrendered some points with a 0 - 0 draw on Saturday at Sunderland, who only has 2 wins on the campaign.

    Our featured match for the mid-week matches features Southampton and Arsenal, with Southampton coming off a miserable 3 - 0 loss to Manchester City over the weekend. Man City was down to ten men after a Mangala Red Card, but still scored 2 of their 3 goals, 11 v 10, to take all three points away from home.

    Arsenal used a Danny Welbeck goal on the hour mark to secure a 1 - 0 win at West Brom, and is looking to finish strong before the holiday break. Manchester United is suddenly the only club with a current 3-match winning streak in Premier League, and they look to stay on track when they host Stoke City at Old Trafford. We have ten big matches to discuss, so let's see where we can find some action on the English pitch.

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    Tuesday December 2 - 6 Matches

    Newcastle vs Burnley

    3-Way: 1: Newcastle +155 Away ; X: +220 Draw ; 2: Burnley +175 Home

    Spread: Newcastle Pk -110 ; Burnley -110

    Total 2.5: Over -120 ; Under +100

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Newcastle had a disappointing performance over the weekend in a 1 - 0 loss to West Ham, and lately Burnley is actually playing their best football of the campaign. Of all the clubs near the bottom of the table, Burnley is playing to get out of the danger zone as we approach the holiday break.

    I will take Newcastle again, after trusting them over the weekend. I see them rebounding and getting back on track themselves, but I will use the Pk at -110 so if we do see a draw, no harm done with the Draw no bet in place.

    Liverpool vs Leicester

    3-Way: 1: Liverpool -110 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Leicester +290 Home

    Spread: Liverpool -0.5 -110 ; Leicester +0.5 -110

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well they did it. Finally a win for the Reds and, wouldn't you know, there was not a single Balotelli sighting on the pitch. However, we did see him at the Manchester Fashion show on Sunday, so maybe he is looking for another career! He is certainly on his way out of Liverpool amid all the reports coming out of camp, so when will we see him again? The club might do better without him, and they proved it over the weekend.

    Hoping he does not come close to being on the pitch again, they should surely be able to get past Leicester, so the -110 on the 3-Way with the Reds is good enough for me.

    Stoke City vs Manchester United

    3-Way: 1: Stoke City +700 Away ; X: +350 Draw ; 2: Man U -245 Home

    Spread: Stoke +1 +140 ; Man U -1 -120

    Total 2.5: Over -135 ; Under +110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    As mentioned, Man U is the only club in Premier with a current 3-win streak, and it looks like they are comfortable and playing with a cerebral togetherness.

    Stoke has lost to Burnley and Liverpool the last 2 outings, and now they need to face an intact Man U club hungrier than they’ve been all campaign. In Old Trafford, I just don't see Stoke mustering up enough to get a result here, so I will take the -1 handicap on Man U to get by Stoke.

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    Queens Park vs Swansea

    3-Way: 1: QPR +400 Away ; X: +260 Draw ; 2: Swansea -140 Home

    Spread: QPR +0.5 +120 ; Swansea -0.5 -140

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    It has already been a long campaign for QPR, but they do seem to get results here and there and they removed themselves from the bottom of the table with 3 points over the weekend. We enjoyed that Over with QPR and Leicester, and we are going to try to repeat the action and take this Over 2.5 with mild juice as well.

    Swansea can score, and should be able to use home pitch to contribute to our over, and the way QPR is playing, they should be able to find the net as well. The Both to Score prop bet is -140 at most European sites, and we know why it is juiced. Over is the play.

    Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

    3-Way: 1: Aston Villa +270 Away ; X: +230 Draw ; 2: Crystal Palace -105 Home

    Spread: Aston Villa +0.5 -105 ; Crystal Palace -0.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over +120 ; Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Aston Villa's scoring issues continue to be the reason why they will not get far this campaign. With only 7 goals scored, they and Burnley are the only two clubs to not be in double digits yet with goals scored. Giving up 18 goals and only scoring 7 will most likely not make it any easier to travel to Crystal Palace, who is coming off their last home win over Liverpool, and a draw this weekend with Swansea.

    I cannot resist the -105 on the 3-Way with the Palace at home to grab 3 points to get closer to the middle of the table.

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    West Ham vs West Brom

    3-Way: 1: West Ham +200 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: West Brom +130 Home

    Spread: West Ham Pk +120 ; West Brom Pk -120

    Total 2.5: Over +110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    West Ham is going one way, and West Brom is going another way, and the line setters give us these kind of prices?

    I see this Pk at +120 on West Ham and cannot believe my eyes. There is so much value in them to get a result here, and if this match were in West Ham, we would never get a price near this. They are the better team and I will gladly accept +120 on West Ham here.

    Wednesday, December 3 - 4 Matches

    Featured Match Southampton vs. Arsenal

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Southampton +350

    Arsenal -120

    Draw +250

    Spread:

    Southampton +0.5 +100

    Arsenal -0.5 -120

    Total 2.5:

    Over -110

    Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    This match made it as our featured match before we saw Southampton get completely humiliated at home this weekend. How often do you see a team down 1 - 0 at home, go up a man after a red card and then give up two more goals 11 v 10?

    Arsenal sits with 20 points on the campaign, and amazingly, this group, from 4th place to 16th place is only separated by 9 points.

    Arsenal found a goal from Danny Welbeck to win 1 - 0 over the weekend vs West Brom, and now needs to really clamp down to stay within the race near the top of the table. The Top 3 clubs of Chelsea, Man U and Southampton could run away from everyone, and now Arsenal gets one of these clubs to tighten things up in the race.

    I personally like this Over 2.5 for some reason. The defensive stats, being what they are for both clubs, still does not deter me from expecting goals here. Remember, when you break down the campaign, you have to factor in who they played and when, but you also have to factor in what is at stake in this particular match above all things stat related.

    I will play this Over expecting both of them to understand that these 3 points are pretty important in a stretch of 3 matches over two weekends.

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    Tottenham vs Chelsea

    3-Way: 1: Tottenham +750 Away ; X: +380 Draw ; 2: Chelsea -270 Home

    Spread: Tottenham +1 +140 ; Chelsea -1 -140

    Total 2.5: Over -120 ; Under +120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    So how shocking was it to see 0 - 0 this weekend in a Chelsea match? Clean sheet for both squads, and what was it that made Chelsea struggle with Sunderland? Maybe all the Champions League and competitions that they have played week in and out is finally catching up. It is not easy to play football 2, sometimes 3, days a week, no matter how good you may be.

    Tottenham took out an Everton club last weekend 2 - 1, and that was impressive to watch actually. They went down 1 - 0 and held Everton frustrated for the last 75 minutes of the match to find all 3 points at home.

    We do not expect a low scoring 0 - 0 type match here. This total to go over will only cost us $20 of juice, and I will pay that all day to take this Over 2.5.

    Hull City vs Everton

    3-Way: 1: Hull City +550 Away ; X: +300 Draw ; 2: Everton -200 Home

    Spread: Hull +1 -110 ; Everton -1 -110

    Total 2.5: Over -120 ; Under +100

    Analysis and Prediction:

    As we mentioned previously, Everton looked to stay in the uptrend, and scored first, but lost 2 - 1 to Tottenham away from home. Now they get to return home and take on a struggling Hull City squad desperate for results. With QPR and Burnley seemingly picking things up, Hull might just find themselves at the bottom of the table sooner than expected.

    I will take this Over 2.5 again at minimal -120 juice.

    Manchester City vs Sunderland

    3-Way: 1: Man City -200 Away ; X: +320 Draw ; 2: Sunderland +550 Home

    Spread: Man City -1 +100 ; Sunderland +1 -120

    Total 2.5: Over -130 ; Under +110

    English Premier League Live lines @ BetDSI

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well if that win didn't impress you over the weekend, than what does impress you? Up 1 - 0 and losing a man to a red card, Manchester City proceeded to dump in two more goals, and win 3 - 0 to both hold the second spot in the table, and keep Chelsea in screaming distance only 6 points back.

    At least Sunderland leads the league in one thing - draws! Three straight draws coming in to this match, and 8 overall on the campaign, which leads all of Premier League. Points are points at this point though, so there is nothing terrible about draws, especially away from home, but trying to move up the table 1 point at a time will not get you all that far.

    The three straight draws are not enough for me to overlook the 19 goals they have allowed this campaign, and Manchester City is certainly not going to struggle taking advantage of it. I will end the mid-week action with 2 plays. The -1 on Man City and the Over, which I will hope to see the 2.5 and 3 handicap at about even money, instead of the -130 on the straight 2.5.

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