MLS Soccer: San Jose vs Seattle

  • Friday, March 13th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    MLS Odds: The San Jose Earthquakes have to rebound after a tough, extra time loss on opening day, and regroup to face Seattle at CenturyLink Field. Seattle comes off a resounding 3 - 0 victory over New England and has a nice little advantage of starting the 2015 MLS season with two home games and a bye week to follow. The Sounders will play a friendly onMarch 24with Club Tijuana, and then head to Dallas for their next game on March 28.

    To be sure how Seattle sees that friendly will certainly depend on how physical this game ends up being with San Jose. These two know each other rather well, having played 4 games overall including 3 MLS meetings and a U.S Open Cup encounter, with all four matches coming in Under the 2.5 in regulation.

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    This game does not have that feel of a low-scoring, tight defensive battle, as Seattle could have scored 5 goals against New England, but settled for only 3. Chris Wondolowski is supposed to be producing up front for San Jose, but we know that is not always a success. San Jose is produced the fewest goals in the league last year outside of Chivas, who no longer even exists.

    San Jose got caught late in last weekend’s match, giving up a goal in the 92nd minute in a 1 - 0 loss at Dallas in their first game of the season. They have yet to play in their new building, which is waiting for them in San Jose. The Quakeswill make Avaya Stadium one of the newest additions to the Major League Soccer scene next week, when they host Chicagoon March 22.

    San Jose did host one pre-season game there against the Galaxy and won 3 – 2. It was one of their final prep matches towards the beginning of 2015, and they hope to use it to get out of the Western Conference basement that they finished in last year. They have no points yet, but that is next week's story.

    Can San Jose keep up with Dempsey, Pappa, Martins, and Pineda? That’s the question, although it looks likely that Neagle is out for Seattle after coming out of last week’s game with an injury.

    Can Seattle hold down the San Jose front two of Wondolowski and Garcia? The 4 - 4 - 1 - 1 offense San Jose is running is certainly not an offensive-minded strategy for someone with Dominic Kinnear’s experience, who has plenty of his own history stamped on this organization.

    We will see if stirring up the Earthquake’s lineup comes sooner rather than later, because they cannot afford to keep getting into low-scoring games where a last-second something or other can deny their good performance, which is exactly what happened last weekend.

    Last 10 MLS Meetings:

    San Jose is up in the last 10, with a 6W - 3L - 1D record in the recent series.

    1x2 3-Way Lines:

    San Jose +600

    Seattle -200

    Draw +315

    Handicap/Spread Odds:

    San Jose +1 -110

    Seattle -1 -110

    Total O/U 2.5:

    Over -105

    Under -115

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    Quick Analysis & Prediction Quick Analysis:

    San Jose only had two shots on goal in their season opener at Dallas, but at least they were the more physical of the two teams, accumulating 4 cards and 15 fouls. They were certainly stingy on the back line, except for one mishap that simply came at the wrong time of the game.

    Chris Wondolowski will most likely score again, as he has a knack of doing against Seattle, even though he is really not going to have a ton of success throughout the evening.

    Slowing down the Sounders at home is probably not going to be much a reality for the Quakes, because we all saw how easy they made it look on opening weekend with a 3 - 0 win over a wounded New England team, without Nguyen and Jones. Prediction:

    If this is how Kinnear thinks he can approach the season, he will be on the hot seat sooner than is expected. Putting a 4 - 4 - 1 - 1 formation in today's MLS will make it difficult to see a lot of wide open matches, with so much defense clogging the middle of the field.

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    Seattle should sneak out of here with, at worst, a 2 - 1 win, so the Over 2.5 at a more than reasonable -105 makes our suggestion list this weekend, and the Both to Score prop is close to -110 on either side of the 'yes' or 'no' action.