MLS Soccer: San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo

  • Monday, May 4th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    MLS Odds: Houston! We have a problem!

    For those old enough to remember that famous quote from the NASA program years ago, you know why we can use it in this case. Houston hosts San Jose at BBVA Compass Stadium for the first of three meetings in 2015, and to say that Houston is struggling keeping balls out of their net is a huge understatement.

    In the Dynamo's last two outings they surrendered four goals to Kansas City and four goals to Dallas, after only surrendering four goals through the first seven games of the year. The fourth goal that was scored against them in the Kansas City match was the hardest to take, as it came in the 95th minute with a 4 -3 lead, but the four goals Dallas put up against them were simply not the best way to renew a Texas rivalry, now that Houston is back in the Western Conference.

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    San Jose has scored three goals in their last five outings and, as we mentioned in the preview for their last match with Real Salt Lake, the team is continuing the carryover effect from a dismal 2014 season.Returning as head coach, Dominic Kinnear had everyone thinking that he was going to turn all that around, and the new stadium along with a new outlook would change the dynamic of the team.

    Of course, the history of these two teams goes back to the 2005-06 seasons, when San Jose folded up shop and relocated to Houston, which led to the Dynamo's only two championships in their first two years in Texas under Kinnear. Kinnear returns to Houston for the first time since departing last year, where the two will meet again onAugust 8for their third meeting of the season.

    The Earthquakes actually scored both goals in the Salt Lake game that ended 1 - 1. Chris Wondolwoski scored in the 19th minute to give them the lead, and defender Víctor Bernárdez put a ball in to his own net in the 71st minute, leaving each team with a point.

    Last 12 MLS Meetings:

    The two have met 12 times in MLS action, with Houston leading the series having 6 wins, 5 losses and a draw.

    1x2 3-Way Lines:

    San Jose +255

    Houston +115

    Draw +235

    Handicap/Spread Odds:

    San Jose +0.5 -135

    Houston -0.5 +115

    Total O/U 2.5:

    Over +125

    Under -145

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    Quick Analysis & Prediction

    Quick Analysis:

    Dominic Kinnear was the only coach in Houston's history before this season, as he is now back in San Jose again for his second stint with the team.

    Owen Coyle certainly has an extensive history as a player and a coach, and was a perfect solution for Houston when Kinnear announced he was moving on. Now, the Dynamo has to figure out how to stop so many balls from finding the back of their net, as eight goals in two games is simply unacceptable.

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    Houston obviously knows that they need to address the defensive side of the ball, and you would think that having three straight home games would benefit the team. Both teams only have a few days to prepare for each other, as they each had gameson Fridaynight.

    Expecting San Jose to score is tough for us to suggest, as we have played the San Jose Under on plenty of occasions, as we did again this past weekend, cashing the Under ticket in their game with Salt Lake. With that said, the Houston defense has no idea what they are doing as a unit, and there is simply no reason to suggest that the Dynamo suddenly figured it all out in three days.

    The Over 2.5 is a lovely +125, and the value is enough to expect a 2 - 1 type of match to cash the ticket.