MLS Soccer: Philadelphia vs New York City FC

  • Wednesday, April 15th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    MLS Odds: Philadelphia and New York City face off for the second time in six days, as we switch venues, from PPL Park to Yankee Stadium. In the first of three meetings that the two will have this season, Philadelphia found their first win of 2015 last weekend when Vincent Nogueira found the net in the 92nd minute of extra time.

    New York looked to have a point in hand with a draw, but the referee put up four extra minutes of added time, but Philadelphia only needed two of them to secure three points. After a cross in the box that NYCFC keeper Josh Saunders failed to clear, Nogueira saw an open net and drove home the game winner, sending the Philly fans into a frenzy.

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    It was certainly a must result for the Union, who was looking at potentially starting the season without a win in their first six outings of the season.

    The Union had an early 1 - 0 lead in the 27th minute when Zach Pfeffer took a feed off the base line from Mbu, but Eric Ayuk’s the quad backflip goal celebration was the highlight of the match, after most thought he was the one who scored the goal.

    New York tied the game at one, when the Philadelphia back line failed to clear the ball out of their zone, and David Villa simply needed to direct the ball in to an empty net.

    Villa was making his return to the team, and made some spectacular passes which showed off his European talent. He had two back heel passes in the game, showing his quality and confidence with the ball at his feet.

    The loss for New York puts them in 8th place in the Eastern Conference with five points and, after getting off to a decent start in their inaugural campaign in MLS, they now have one win, and have to rebound from two consecutive losses.

    Last 10 MLS Meetings:

    The two met for the first time ever on April 11 at PPL Park, with Philly coming away with a 2 - 1 win.

    1x2 3-Way Lines:

    Philadelphia +245

    New York City +115

    Draw +240

    Handicap/Spread Odds:

    Philadelphia +0.5 -135

    New York City -0.5 +115

    Total O/U 2.5:

    Over +110

    Under -130

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    Quick Analysis & Prediction

    Quick Analysis:

    Yankee Stadium obviously makes the pitch a bit tighter, as it is about 10 yards shorter than most fields in the MLS and only 70 yards wide, which naturally makes it harder to expand and utilize the outside of the field.

    That also makes it easier for defenses to huddle up the middle, with the limited ability to work with the sidelines, which could also account for why we have seen two low-scoring games that have been held here in 2015.


    Naturally, the line setters have caught on to the fact that it is simply harder to put 22 people on this field, with hopes to have much success offensively, and we have seen the Under 2.5 juiced at -130 or better all three times now.

    Let's also remember that when New England came here in New York's home opener, they were plenty banged up and Lee Nguyen, among other absences, was just starting to get his feet wet again. Now that does not mean that we will be seeing the Under come in all season, but we will of course need to be careful picking our spots to go against the line setters.

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    The fact that these two met last weekend will also factor into how this game will flow, and we did just come up short with the Under suggestion in the last meeting. That goal in the 92nd minute came at an inopportune time, to say the least.

    Let's see if we can exact our own type of revenge here, and play this Over at Yankee Stadium, hoping they can manage the small field and surprise us with some goal scoring, especially with a +110 price on the action.