MLS Soccer Betting: Toronto vs New England

  • Friday, May 15th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr

    Toronto-at-New-England odds

    MLS Odds: After getting knocked out of the Canadian Championships by Montreal this week, Toronto must regroup in preparation for a trip to Gillette Stadium, to face a New England team that has not lost since the first two games of the season.

    Toronto finally returned home against Houston last weekend but gave up two goals, although the first was as tough to swallow as the second. Michael Bradley is certainly responsible for both goals being scored, as hecommitted a stupid foul in the box by trying to slide tackle with his boots up high. Garcia blew his chance from the spot, but put in his own rebound to make it 1 - 0 just before the half in favor of the Dynamo.

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    Houston found a second goal when Bradley made a bad decision in the offensive zone that lead to the break by Gilles Barnes. Barnes made one gorgeous pass to Will Bruin just outside the six, in classic counter attack form, and finished with a mighty strike to make it 2 - 0 Houston in the 53rd minute.

    Jozy Altidore managed a goal of his own in the 77th minute to make it 2 - 1, while leading the Reds attack that included 22 shots in the game.

    As we mentioned, New England hasn't lost since the 0 - 2 start, a rough beginning that some thought would haunt them if it continued. They gave New York City FC their first and only win in MLS to date, and got the season started at Seattle with a 3 - 0 defeat out of the gate.

    They had a similar start to the 2014 season, but we know that didn't stop them from reaching the MLS Cup final last year.

    While Nguyen and Jones were not able to provide a lift because they were still recovering from injuries, it all got going in the right direction against Montreal. The draw was seen as a positive, being that they were on the road and still without Jones, while Nguyen was just getting back to spending the entire game on the field.

    The Revs are now in an eight-game stretch without a loss, gaining 15 points from five wins and 3 more points from draws.They faced an Orlando City team at the Citrus Bowl and kept the Lions winless at home, after a 2 - 2 draw.Losing a two-goal lead, however, is certainly seen as a negative, when it seemed that the goal by Kelyn Rowe in the 71st minute to make it 2 - 0 would result in the Revs taking three points. They only got one point, as Cyle Larin pulled the game to 2 - 1 in the 75th minute, andAurélien Collin put the Citrus Bowl crowd in a frenzy, scoring in the 90th minute to level the game at two.

    Last 10 MLS Meetings:

    Since Toronto came in to MLS in 2007, the two have met 19 times. New England leads the all-time series with 8 Wins, 4 Losses, while the two have played to 7 Draws. The Revolution has a 4 Win, 2 Loss and 4 Draw record in the last 10 MLS meetings.

    1x2 3-Way Lines:

    Toronto +325

    New England -115

    Draw +265

    Handicap/Spread Odds:

    Toronto +0.5 -105

    New England -0.5 -115

    Total O/U 2.5:

    Over -110

    Under -110

    MLS Betting @ Diamond Sportsbook

    Quick Analysis & Prediction

    New England swept the three game set last year, and as we noted, has had success in the series as a whole since Toronto came into MLS.

    Toronto finally made it home to BMO Field last weekend, and lost their MLS game and despite winning 3 -2 in the Canadian Championship, Montreal took the series with a 3 – 3 aggregate with the two road goals.We know they went 3 - 4 in the seven-game road trip to open the season, as a result of the two wins in Orlando and Philadelphia to finish out the trip, but New England is an entirely different animal than each of those teams.

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    Surprised to see a -110 on either side of this total, because there is no doubt in our minds that this Over 2.5 is the play to suggest. New England has played five games at home in 2015, and has not lost while scoring eight goals and only giving up two.

    We know New England is healthy again, and Gillette Stadium is a place they love to take advantage of.

    The Over 2.5 goes in the books, simply because a 2 - 1 score could easily hit the board with these two offenses going at it for 90 minutes.