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MLS Soccer Betting: Toronto vs Montreal

  • Friday, August 28th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr

    Toronto-vs-Montreal Odds

    MLS Odds: The Montreal Impact have only a couple of days to rebound from their loss to Vancouver in the Canadian Championships, and they have to do it against a familiar opponent the likes of Toronto FC this weekend.

    This is the second time this year that Montreal has to deal with the agony of defeat in a major competition, as they made it to the CONCACAFChampions League final against Club America, only to lose the second leg and come away with a souvenir second place award.

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    Montreal advanced to the Canadian Championship final by handing Toronto an exit in the semifinals if you recall, and now the two play their second of three regular season MLS meetings, with the last meeting to come on the last day of the regular season at Montreal's Stade Saputo.

    The Impact have the benefit of only having played 22 games in MLS action thus far, which leaves them 12 games remaining to keep hold of their playoff position, which at the moment has them tied with NYCFC and Orlando City for the sixth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

    The road woes for the Impact continue to be a crutch, as they have two wins from all competitions this year when they leave Montreal. It is what made the 2014 so difficult for them when they did not win a single road game a year ago.

    Montreal will play seven of those remaining 12 games away from home, which includes four of their five October games that will be played away from Stade Saputo.

    Toronto has 10 games remaining in the regular season, but will have the luxury of hosting seven of those games at BMO Field.

    We can assume that you all recall the beginning of the season when Toronto played their first seven games on the MLS season on the road due to the renovations of their stadium.

    The Reds will travel all the way to Seattle for their first September outings, and will remain on the East coast to finish out the season. The only stops they will make outside of BMO Field will be in New York to face NYCFC and the season finale at Montreal as mentioned.

    Toronto pretty much had last weekend’s 5 - 0 win handed to them by Orlando City, as the Lions had two men sent off in the game, while allowing the Reds five second half goals in front of their BMO Field crowd.

    Orlando City's Rafael Ramos was the first to be sent off with a straight red card in the 36th minute of a scoreless game, and it took only one minute in to the second half for Toronto to start the onslaught.

    Toronto's Jozy Altidore did not start the game, but upon entering the game as a sub in the 72nd minute, he added the fourth and fifth goal to add his name to the scoresheet.

    Altidore scored his first goal after converting a penalty kick as a result of Adrian Winter picking up his second yellow card in the box, leaving Orlando City down two men to finish out the trouncing.

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    Last 9 MLS Meetings:

    The two teams have met on 9 occasions in MLS action, with Toronto holding the edge having 4 Wins, 2 Losses and 3 Draws in 9 MLS meetings.

    They have also met the last four years in the Canadian Championships, with each team having three wins and two draws in the eight matches played.

    1x2 3-Way Lines:

    Toronto -130

    Montreal +350

    Draw +300

    Handicap/Spread Odds:

    Toronto -0.5 -130

    Montreal +0.5 +110

    Total O/U 3:

    Over +100

    Under -120

    MLS Betting @ Diamond Sportsbook

    Quick Analysis & Prediction

    Quick Analysis:

    Toronto has never lost to Montreal in Toronto, as the two have played here nine times between MLS and the Canadian Championships, with Toronto having five wins and four draws.

    It is amazing that Toronto clings to a fourth place tie with New England on 34 points in the Eastern Conference, because Toronto is arguably one of the most inconsistent teams in the league. Losers of three of their last five contests, and only once being able to win back-to-back home outings this season, we now have to wonder what Toronto team will show uptonight.

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    Prediction:

    Regardless of what team shows up for Toronto, we are still questioning the move that let Jack McInerney leave the Impact to join a team above them in their own Conference. We mentioned Columbus already took advantage of the move, when McInerney scored the game winning goal for the Crew last weekend, as discussed in the Crew preview with NYCFC.

    This would be surprising if we did not find the three goals that would at worst push our action on an Over play on the straight 3 offer.

    In pondering how the pace and flow would be, in a rival game with two teams that are not exactly fond of each other, we could see another sending off with some physical action, and who know what goals could come in late situations with any Toronto game lately.

    Late goals, a physical game and an Over 3 recommendation come in as the play at BMO Fieldon Saturday, with even money on the action at +100.