MLS Soccer Betting: Portland vs Colorado
Saturday, October 24th, 2015By Ej Garr
MLS Odds: As they host their final home game against last place Colorado at Providence Parkon Sunday, the Portland Timbers enter #DecisionDay facing multiple post-season scenarios. Portland enters their final home game with 50 points, which is good enough for the fourth position in the Western Conference standings, tied with Vancouver, and one point behind the Galaxy. That 2 seed is the best any of the clubs chasing Dallas can achieve, as the Texas club has already clinched home field through the conference finals, six points clear of the pace.The all-important two slot that holds home field advantage in the semifinals could also turn around to completely shut them out of the playoffs all together.
Despite being in fourth place, Portland has not clinched a post-season appearance, so they could potentially go as high as second, and as low as completely out of the playoff picture, so there is nothing to leave on the field this weekend for the Timbers.
A draw would be enough, however, as the Timbers face the luxury of having a home game against the last place team in the conference.
Now the question is whether or not Portland can take advantage of the situation, as they will likely be getting updates to the match in progress against Los Angeles and Sporting KC that will also affect their status in the playoff landscape.
Colorado, as we know and have well documented this season here at DSI, has been an offensive mess all year, and the Under stats in their road games were hard to not notice.
The Rapids hit 13 of their first 14 Unders when they were away from Dick's Sporting Goods Park, which includes one appearance in the U.S Open Cup to go along with the 13 MLS affairs. Only three times all season in their travels have they gone over the number.
Only DC United with 9, and Houston with 12 road goals are less than the Rapids output of 13 goals with one game remaining this weekend in Portland.
Portland will likely rely on their defense as most would expect, using a set piece or corner kick to take some chances and keep 9-10 men behind the ball for as long as possible.
It's been their theme all year, and it is no mystery that Caleb Porter has no issue with a defensive battle at Providence Park. The Timbers themselves have hit 12 of their 16 Unders at home as well, so they are no strangers to low scoring affairs as mentioned.
Last 12 MLS Meetings:
The two teams have played 12 times in their MLS history, and the series is tied entering the final meeting of the year.They each have 5 Wins to go along with 2 Draws.
1x2 3-Way Lines:
Portland -1 -145
Colorado +1 +125
Total O/U 2.5:
Quick Analysis & Prediction
The difference here, of course, is the fact that this isn't just another regular season game in June or July.
Not to say that we don't emphasize the importance of points in every outing, but this is Colorado's chance to spoil the Timbers party, and possibly go as far as keeping them from a playoff appearance all together.
That folks is what we call a budding rivalry, because games like these don't get forgotten when they meet in their two or three regular season games next year.
We see this as a 2 - 1 projection, which in the grand scheme is certainly not considered a high-scoring affair.
The point is that the line setters are asking us for 2.5 at -125, with all the Under stats that we have mentioned factoring in to their placement of the number.
With someone creating a magic moment to break a 1 - 1 tie late in the game, we offer a play on the Over 2.5, so when that ball hits the net, we can celebrate our own victory with whomever scored that third goal. Unless of course you are supporter of one of the teams, than in that case we wish you good luck in having that third goal be yours to enjoy as well.