MLS Soccer Betting: Philadelphia vs New England
Friday, August 28th, 2015By Ej Garr
MLS Odds: The Union and the Revolution will square off on the last Saturday in August, and the last Saturday in September to decide their three-game series in the regular season. The first meeting that played out here at PPL Park in April saw the Revolution come away with a big 2 - 1 road win that contributed to a hot start to the season for New England.
Those times did change a bit, however, as the Revs only won a single outing in any competition fromMay 8 to July 11. In the span of 13 games and having to overcome a five-game MLS losing streak, while also being booted from the U.S Open Cup during that run, the Revs have finally snapped out of the funk.
Winners of three of their last four outings and a draw included, the 10 points earned have New England sitting alongside Toronto with 34 points, as the two scuffle for the 4th and 5th positions in the standings entering the weekend.
The return of Jermaine Jones who is now starting again, should help the Revolution down the stretch, as the veteran helped lead a similar run towards last year's playoffs which guided New England all the way to the MLS Cup Finals against Los Angeles.
Philadelphia is far from out of the playoff picture, and it is amazing that they are only one point behind the three teams tied with 28 points for the last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.
A big road win against Montreal last weekend helped the Union gain ground on one of the teams they are chasing in the table. In fact, the Union are only seven points behind the Revolution, making this another heads-up pivot game as will be the case for their third meeting still to come if the Union can prevail at home this weekend.
One thing the Union can now say, however, is that they do not have the worst defense in the league anymore. After Orlando City gave up five goals to Toronto last weekend, the expansion side now leads the MLS with 46 goals allowed to the Union's 43.
Can any of us even handle the fact that in the Union's last four outings which includes a win over Chicago to make their second straight U.S Open Cup Final, they have held three of their four opponents scoreless?
That bodes well for them as they face a New England team that has been terrible away from home this year, with only two wins in 12 games away from Gillette Stadium.
Last 14 MLS Meetings:
The two teams have met 14 times in MLS action, and Philadelphia holds the edge with 7 Wins, 4 Losses and 3 Draws in the series.
1x2 3-Way Lines:
Philadelphia -0.5 +115
NE +0.5 -135
Total O/U 2.5:
Quick Analysis & Prediction
If the Union can continue to hold down the fort defensively, they can certainly become a factor down the stretch, and are undoubtedly in the thick of a playoff race now.
We do not see this Union defense holding down the Revolution for 90 minutes, however, and that is what will determine a play here.
As much as we respect what the Union defense has done to turn things around, we are talking about a two-week stretch where they just bottled it up and got some nice results, and we know how things can quickly change in MLS.
This Over 2.5 is -135 for a reason, and we could imagine the line setters even though about just throwing a straight 3 on this total, instead of juicing up the Over as they have done.
We are going to be the ones to move that line to the straight three in defiance of knowing that it could have been the offer to begin with.
The +125 on that action is valuable enough that if a 2 - 1 result comes, the push would affect us nil, and the play becomes null and void, so boost that line to the Over 3, unless you don't mind settling for the -135 action on the 2.5 if you must.