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MLS Soccer Betting: Houston vs San Jose

  • Friday, August 7th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr

    Houston-vs-San-Jose Odds

    MLS Odds: Both the Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes find themselves outside of the Western Conference playoff picture, as the two meet for the final time in the regular seasonthis Saturdayat BBVA Compass Stadium.

    As we know, San Jose bailed California for Houston at the end of the 2005 season and did not return to the league until 2008. Dominic Kinnear led the move to Houston from San Jose, and was with the Dynamo for nine years until the end of last season when he announced he would be returning to San Jose to coach this season. In the two meetings thus far between the teams, each has taken three points on the road, with San Jose winning in Houston in May, and Houston taking the win at Avaya Stadium in July.

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    San Jose has officially reverted to the team that completely fell apart to finish the 2014 season, after losing all seven of their games in July between three different competitions.

    The Quakes were unable to score at home last weekend, playing to a scoreless draw with Portland, and only managed three shots on goal against the Timbers, although only one of them was seen as a serious opportunity to find the back of the net. San Jose will play three of their next four games on the road, as they will return home to face Colorado next weekend, before departing for two games at Sporting Kansas City and DC United.

    Houston enters the weekend only two points ahead of San Jose in the Western Conference standings, with 28 points to the Quakes 26.

    Tyler Deric had an interesting match last weekend, as he was involved in both incidents that led to Dom Dwyer being suspended this weekend, as well as being involved with the play where Roger Espinoza fractured his leg in the game with Kansas City that ended in a 1 - 1 draw.

    Dom Dwyer scored early to make it 1 - 0 with a splendid header that beat Deric clean to his right side, and has now scored in six straight games against the Dynamo in all competitions. Houston found the equalizing goal from Ricardo Clark in the 78th minute, although upon landing after his header, he came up lame with a hamstring pull, and is out this weekend for the Dynamo.

    Also out for Houston this weekend is Nathan Sturgis, who clumsily tried to slide tackle a Kansas City player in the 90th minute, and was sent off the field with a red card.

    Jermaine Taylor, Rob Lovejoy and Boniek Garcia all appear on the MLS injury report this weekend, and are not expected to be on the field against the Quakes.

    Let's face facts here, because whoever loses this match will find themselves even further on the outside of the playoff picture in a difficult Western Conference and, with only 11 or so games remaining in the season for each team, every point is essential down the stretch.

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    Last 14 MLS Meetings:

    The two teams have met 14 times in MLS action, and Houston leads the series with 7 Wins, 6 Losses and a Draw.

    1x2 3-Way Lines:

    Houston -115

    San Jose +330

    Draw +250

    Handicap/Spread Odds:

    Houston -0.5 -115

    San Jose +0.5 -105

    Total O/U 2.5:

    Over +100

    Under -120

    MLS Betting @ Diamond Sportsbook

    Quick Analysis & Prediction

    Quick Analysis:

    Houston has gone four straight at home without a loss, and six straight if we include their two wins in the U.S Open Cup over the Austin Aztex and Colorado Rapids.

    San Jose did earn one of their three road wins on the season here at BBVA Compass Stadium back in early May, but that was a much different point of the season when San Jose was playing playoff type of soccer early in the year, which all turned around when the calendar turned to July.

    Prediction:

    We are taking the Under 2.5 in this match.

    San Jose looks completely inept even with their full complement of players back in the starting XI. As we mentioned, of the three shots on goal they took against Portland, there was really only one threat in the entire 90 minutes of action and, until they snap out of it, we cannot expect anything to change against Tyler Deric and the Houston defense.

    Granted the Houston defense hasn't been all that stellar, but they have outscored their last six opponents at home 14 - 4 in all competitions.

    We are suggesting a Houston Win at home as well, and the -115 3-Way action is feasible enough to recommend along with the Under 2.5 at -120.

    At least if we do see a 1 - 1 draw, we would split the action, and live to tell the tale.