MLS Soccer Betting: Columbus vs Toronto
Friday, July 24th, 2015By Ej Garr
MLS Odds: The Columbus Crew look to improve on their four-game streak with points at home, as Toronto visits MAPFRE Stadium for the last time in the regular season.The two teams will finish out the season series at BMO Field on the next to last weekend of the season in October.
Toronto enters the weekend having played a friendly with Sunderland in the middle of the week, although at the half-hour mark, the Reds substituted eight of the 11 players on the field and let their second squad get some experience against an English Premier opponent.
Toronto's starters, albeit without Jozy Altidore who did not even dress for the outing against his former Sunderland team, left after the half-hour mark with a 1 - 0 lead, and Sunderland's Jermain Defoe scored twice in the second half to capture the win for Sunderland in their friendly affair at BMO Field.
Toronto leads the entire Eastern Conference in road points with 14, although they have been relatively inconsistent lately. In their last six games, they have finished with a W-L-D, W-L-D.
The Reds have given up four goals in each of their last two road MLS matches, losing 4 - 0 to the LA Galaxy, while playing in a crazy 4 - 4 draw result with NYCFC at Yankee Stadium. Toronto went down 2 - 0 after an own goal just before the half-hour mark, and Sebastian Giovinco scored a natural hat trick to give Toronto a 3 - 2 lead before the half time whistle blew.
David Villa tied the game at three with a second penalty kick opportunity in the 65th minute, after missing his first chance from the spot earlier in the first half. Toronto again took a 4 - 3 lead in the 84th minute, quickly gave up the equalizer just two minutes later, and a point was given to both clubs for their efforts.
Toronto's Michael Bradley will not be in action despite the U.S National Team losing to Jamaica this week. Defense man Nick Hagglund had an emergency appendectomy and will be out of action this weekend as well.
The Columbus Crew enter the weekend hoping to extend their home winless streak to five, while adding to the streak last weekend in their 3 - 1 win over Chicago at MAPFRE Stadium. The Crew are also riding a two-game win streak overall after winning their first road game of 2015 before the win over Chicago, and find themselves in second place alone with 30 points in the Eastern Conference. DC United still sits on top of the East table with 35 points.
Columbus will spend the next two weekends testing their road issues again, making stops in Orlando City and Colorado before returning home for two at MAPFRE Stadium with NYCFC and Sporting KC.
In their 3 - 1 win over Chicago last weekend, Kei Kamara scored the goal that broke a 1 - 1 tie with his league leading 14th goal of the season in the 17th minute. The day started with a goal in the second minute of the game from a Federico Higuain penalty kick conversion, although Chicago's David Accam managed to level the score at one just before the 10 minute mark.
Chicago's Jack Johnsonwas booked for a second time in the 50th minute and was sent off with a red card as a result. Ethan Finlay scored in the 83rd minute, and there was no further reply from the Fire.
Last 10 MLS Meetings:
Columbus leads the recent series over Toronto with 6 Wins and 4 Loses in the last 10 MLS meetings
1x2 3-Way Lines:
Columbus -0.5 -125
Toronto +0.5 +105
Total O/U 2.5:
Quick Analysis & Prediction
All too often we can take advantage of Columbus at home, as they just turn it up a level when the MAPFRE Crowd is behind them.
We certainly would like to consider a play on this total, but we do expect a 2 - 1 type of home win and the -145 on the Over 2.5 simply does not have the value behind it.
Bradley will return to the lineup against New England onAugust 1, and that will finally put the trio of Giovinco, Altidore and Bradley on the field for the first time since the Gold Cup kicked off in early June.
We might suggest a line movement on the total to a straight 3 to get a value line in our favor, because that line appears at +120 as it stands upon submission of the article.
We will suggest the -125 on the 3-Way line for the Crew to take all three points however, so maybe utilizing both plays could be the way to go if Columbus finds a third goal to make it 3 - 1, or if we unfortunately see a 2 - 2 score. At least the total will offer plus money on the action, and the split in that case would not be the worst result we could see happen.
So, the Over 3 at +120 and the Crew to win outright on the 3-Way line at -125, makes our board to get theSaturdayslate started in MLS action with two plays.