MLS Soccer Betting at BetDSI New York vs DC United
Friday, November 7th, 2014By Ej Garr
MLS Odds: DC United finds themselves 2 goals behind as they host New York on the back half of the home and home leg of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. MLS and the New York Red Bulls leading scorer Bradley Wright-Phillips scored his 3rd goal of the playoffs in the first half at 40' right before the halftime whistle to give them a 1 - 0 lead.
Peguy Luyundula took an assist from Thierry Henry in the 73' to give NY a 2-goal lead and that was all they needed.
It was impressive considering New York has been suspect on defense most of the season, with many clubs exposing inside runs and failed coverages, but a clean sheet was held nonetheless.
Now DC knows what they need to do at home, and it will not be easy.
With the new adaption of Road Goals being the tie-breaker, as it has been in Europe for years, it now gives the Red Bulls full advantage with a 2-goal aggregate lead. If NY even scores one goal, DC will need to score 4 goals to move on, because if it is tied 3 - 3 on Aggregate, New York will have the lone road goal in the series and that will be enough for them to move onto the Conference Finals.
1st Leg in NY : NY Won 2 - 0
1x2 3-Way Lines:
New York +210 DC United +125 Draw +225
New York Pk +125 DC United Pk -145
Total O/U 2.5:
Over -110 Under -110
Quick Analysis & Prediction
This new rule to MLS, which I personally love since I have followed European football for 30+ years, makes this match much more interesting now. Naturally, New York will press as often as possible to get an all-important road goal and make it close to impossible for DC United to move onto the Conference Finals.
DC can win this match 2 - 1 and it won't mean a thing to New York and they will be moving on.
I do think New York will score that goal, as Wright-Phillips has been on the scoring sheet seemingly every night. With 27 regular season goals, and 3 more in the playoffs, he has been in the right spot at the right time again and again.
Of course DC will try to keep NY off the score sheet to even hope a 2 - 0 win would send us to extra time, if not a shootout.
I cannot see a low-scoring match here. I know New York has secured the defense lately and I know they held KC scoreless and DC scoreless in their last 3 matches. New York did also hold DC to two clean sheets this season actually, with a 1 - 0 win in NYSept 10.
I am not about to think DC is going to sit back and hope to find 2 goals while keeping New York off the score board. New York will attempt to keep as many bodies back as they can to prevent the 2 goals, but they also know they are an aggressive team with scorers and don't need to simply rely on the hopes of their defense for 90 minutes. As risky as it might be, I will take the Over 2.5 at minimal juice of -110.