Spain La Liga Week 32 Valencia vs Barcelona

  • Wednesday, April 15th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: Once again, Spanish football was highlighted in Champions League this week with a Madrid Derby of epic proportions, where both clubs played to a scoreless draw. Now, everyone turns their attention to league play, where we enter match day 32 with precious points left in the campaign and only seven fixtures left in the season.

    Three clubs are locked in a battle to avoid relegation and that makes theFridaymatch with Levante and Espanyol paramount for Levante to get a home win. They are tied at 28 points with both Deportivo and Almeria, each only four points clear of Granada, who sits with 24 points in the table.

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    While the relegation battle ensues at the bottom of the table, there are two separate fights atop the table, with Barcelona trying to stave off Madrid for the top spot and Atletico, Valencia and Sevilla vying for the third Champions League group stage entry that comes with third place.

    Our featured match of the weekend comeson Saturdayat Camp Nou, with Barcelona hosting fourth place Valencia. It’s the the only fixture with clubs in the top of the table. Barcelona will have a Champions League encounter with Paris Saint-GermainWednesdayin France for the first leg of their European tie.

    Let's see what we can expect around La Liga this weekend, in hopes to find some action on the pitch.

    Friday, April 17- 1 Match

    Espanyol vs Levante

    3-Way: 1: Espanyol +185 Away ; X: +220 Draw ; 2: Levante +165 Home

    Spread: Espanyol Pk -105 ; Levante Pk -115

    Total 2: Over -115 ; Under -105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Espanyol has had a tough go away from home, with only 12 of their 41 points in the campaign coming when they leave Estadi Cornellà-El Prat, or Power8 Stadium for sponsorship naming rights, but we can call it El Prat as long as we like!

    Levante was playing well at Ciutat de València until the recent two matches they lost to Sevilla and Celta de Vigo, although we have been taking advantage of their Overs for weeks now, as we did to finish last weekend's round against Valenciaon Monday.

    Why leave the well, when the well keeps throwing our nickels back at us? With a mere 2 on the total at -115, that surely leaves us some room to simply push the action if the match should end 1 - 1. The Over 2 goes on the board for us once again when it involves Levante.

    Saturday, April 18- 4 Matches

    Featured Match Valencia vs Barcelona

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Valencia +1400

    Barcelona -540

    Draw +670


    Valencia +2 -125

    Barcelona -2 +105

    Total 3.5:

    Over +100

    Under -120

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Valencia head to Camp Nou on the heels of a 3 - 0 win over Levante away from home last weekend, and are riding a 10-match streak without a loss in league play.

    Barcelona will be playingin France on Wednesday against Paris Saint-Germain in Champions League, and we will not have the knowledge of that result as this article is turned in. That, of course, will make it difficult to make a recommendation for action on this match, depending on any injuries the club might have coming back from France.

    At this point, we all know what both clubs are made of and even if Barcelona didn't have a mid-week match with Paris SG, that +2 on Valencia sure is inviting.We did see Neymar come off the pitch this past weekend rather disgruntled in a 2 - 1 game that he obviously was not ready to come out of, but we will let the other outlets analyze the hell out of that story, since we know they will.

    Check the lineups of course, but with tired legs from the Champions League match and a bit of travel involved, this +2 at -125 on Valencia seems like reasonable action here.

    Atletico Madrid vs Dep La Coruna

    3-Way: 1: Atletico -120 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Deportivo +360 Home

    Spread: Atletico -0.5 -120 ; Deportivo +0.5 +100

    Total 2: Over -140 ; Under +120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    If you read our preview for the match, you know that we called the draw in the Champions League encounter with Real, and wow, wasMario Mandžukic a bloody mess for Atletico in that one. We know the yellow card he picked up was simply out of frustration, but now we move on to Deportivo.

    What else can we expect here, but to see Atletico take out that same frustration on Deportivo, and we have been reading Atletico matches spot on of late.Give us that -120 on Atletico to walk out of this match with three points to maintain their third position on the table.

    Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao

    3-Way: 1: Getafe +460 Away ; X: +280 Draw ; 2: Bilbao -150 Home

    Spread: Getafe +0.5 +130 ; Bilbao 0-.5 -150

    Total 2.5: Over +125 ; Under -145

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Getafe certainly did not look like a club who has lost 15 matches this year in their match with Villarreal this past weekend. They put up more attempts on net and didn't panic when they went a goal down early in the second half. They managed a nice point and are now riding a 3-match stretch without a loss.

    Bilbao continued to struggle last weekend, losing 1 - 0 to Espanyol in a match where we didn't see many quality attempts on net. Espanyol scored on the only shot they registered on goal, while Bilbao only managed two themselves, so the term uneventful certainly works there. With Getafe getting some results lately and Bilbao continuing to struggle, let's see if the +130 on the +0.5 with Getafe can come our way this weekend.

    Malaga vs Real Madrid

    3-Way: 1: Malaga +1300 Away ; X: +740 Draw ; 2: Madrid -600 Home

    Spread: Malaga +2 +120 ; Madrid -2 -140

    Total 3.5: Over -140 ; Under +120

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    We got what we expected in the Champions League match as we mentioned, so now Real gets to travel home a few miles and set up for Malaga this weekend. Malaga is still alive in the chase for Europe, but as these weeks go on, they are losing time and matches left on the schedule to get there.

    Facing Madrid, after all their pent up frustration from the mid-week Champions League match with Atletico, is likely not a good spot to be in, and we would expect that most people would see that -2 handicap as an option.

    You know from our previews that -140 is just out of our comfort range when it comes to suggesting action, and the Over 3.5 sits right alongside that high price, so where do we go here?

    Ironically, Malaga drew 2 - 2 with Atletico last weekend, and that was not something many saw coming, so let's see if we can move this total to a straight 4 to go Over, and get closer to even money.

    Sunday, April 19- 4 Matches

    Cordoba vs Villarreal

    3-Way: 1: Cordoba +900 Away ; X: +445 Draw ; 2: Villarreal -310 Home

    Spread: Cordoba +1.5 -110 ; Villarreal -1.5 -110

    Total 2.5: Over -140 ; Under +120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Villarreal is certainly not playing like a club that is in contention for a place for Europe next year, and we know that Cordoba is not playing well enough to even stay in the league and are almost assured of being sent down to Segunda Division.

    We are actually surprised the line setters are pointing to the over as they are, with the -140 on that action, so we will go in the opposite direction, and expect a low scoring draw type of match, and grab the Under 2.5 at +120.

    Sevilla vs Granada

    3-Way: 1: Sevilla -115 Away ; X: +270 Draw ; 2: Granada +330 Home

    Spread: Sevilla -0.5 -115 ; Granada +0.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Sevilla is most likely safe at the fifth spot in the table, and that would be enough to find themselves in the Europa League group stage next year, but there is certainly room for improvement.

    Sevilla is 3 - 0 against Granada this year with the Copa Del Ray meetings and the first meeting in league play in the books, while they are also 7 - 0 - 1 in the eight of their nine all-time meetings in top flight since 2011.

    This might be the last time they meet for a while, since Granada is on their way towards relegation, and this match won't make that right any easier.

    Once again, we mention that if this match were at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla would be so overwhelmingly favored that we would have no room for a 3-Way bet. If the line setters want to give Granada that much respect at home and offer us a -115 on Sevilla to get three points, than who are we to argue!

    Sevilla 3-Way action goes on the board.

    Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano

    3-Way: 1: Almeria +335 Away ; X: +290 Draw ; 2: Vallecano -125 Home

    Spread: Almeria +0.5 +105 ; Vallecano -0.5 -125

    Total 3: Over +115 ; Under -135

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Six goals to Celta de Vigo last weekend? So we guess that Vallecano is complacent with 38 points in the 12 position in the table, because that shows us that this club doesn't have much to give.

    We know that Almeria is desperate, as we mentioned they are among the three clubs with 28 points trying to avoid relegation, so who better to get at this point in the campaign than a club who just gave up six goals to Vigo!

    Let's just move on to the next match, and take this Over 3 at a lovely +115.

    Celta de Vigo vs Eibar

    3-Way: 1: Vigo +115 Away ; X: +250 Draw ; 2: Eibar +245 Home

    Spread: Vigo -0.5 +115 ; Eibar +0.5 -135

    Total 2.5: Over +120 ; Under -140

    Analysis and Prediction:

    So, we just mentioned what Vigo did to Vallecano, and now they get to play our favorite fade of the second half, Eibar. We are still convinced that Eibar will find a way to be sent back to Segunda, so to see Vigo at +115 to take these three points is fine with us!

    Monday, April 20- 1 Match

    Real Sociedad vs Elche

    3-Way: 1: Sociedad +185 Away ; X: +230 Draw ; 2: Elche +155 Home

    Spread: Sociedad Pk +100 ; Elche Pk -120

    Total 2.5: Over +125 ; Under -145

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Another opportunity to take advantage of a great line of +125 to expect some goal scoring to take place, comes at Martinez Valero to round out the weekend schedule.

    Sociedad will certainly be able to find the back of the net three times themselves, and we expect Elche to have some of their own success at home as well, so this 2.5 to go Over the total makes our final play of the weekend.

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