Spain La Liga Week 29 Fixtures Featuring Villarreal vs Valencia

  • Wednesday, April 1st, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: With only 10 matches left in the La Liga campaign, it is clear what every club needs to do down the home stretch to finish the campaign. Eight clubs are only 11 points apart in the relegation battle at the bottom of the table, with the battle for European contention heating up at the top of the table.

    Euro 2016 group stage matches gave everyone last weekend off in league play, but now there is no rest for the weary as everyone must buckle down for a 3-match stretch over the next two weekends. Round 29 startsFriday, with struggling Eibar hosting Vallecano at Ipurúa, and the home side looking to salvage the good start to the campaign that now sees them facing possible relegation.

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    We will see four matcheson Saturday and our featured match, Villarreal visiting Mestalla to take on Valencia, will be among the 4 matcheson Sunday. It’s a meeting of two clubs currently holding European spots in the table.Elche will visit Estadi Cornellà-El Prat to take on Espanyol, and we then run right in to Round 30 just a day later.

    So much football, so little time, so let's get to the pitch, and see what we can expect this weekend.

    Friday, April 3- 1 Match

    Rayo Vallecano vs Eibar

    3-Way: 1: Vallecano +185 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Eibar +160 Home

    Spread: Vallecano Pk -110 ; Eibar Pk -120

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Once again, we discuss the Eibar situation and we have covered it all too well. The good start to the year is almost erased, and the second half has not been kind to the young club in their first season in top flight Primera League.

    Vallecano has won three of their last four, and probably did not want to see a stoppage for the Euro 2016 break after getting 9 points from the last four outings. We are not about to change our attitude now, just because Eibar found a way to take a point from the draw with Granada two weeks ago.

    Vallecano has lost their last four matches away from home, but Eibar has also lost their last four at home, so they both need to stop ugly streaks.

    We will simply take Vallecano's Pk at -110. So, if we do see a draw here, we can simply take that money back and throw it somewhere else later.

    Saturday, April 4 - 4Matches

    Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

    3-Way: 1: Bilbao +395 Away ; X: +275 Draw ; 2: Sevilla -135 Home

    Spread: Bilbao +0.5 +105 ; Sevilla -0.5 -135

    Total 2.5: Over -115 ; Under -115

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    In a sense, this could almost be seen as a featured match in some eyes, as we have been riding Bilbao's success for weeks. It’s the only club in the entire league with a 5-match win streak. Yes, the only, and it may sound strange, but they have simply gotten it together at the perfect time of the year.

    Can they continue to get results? They have not exactly struggled against Sevilla recently. Bilbao took the first meeting at home earlier in the campaign, and has gotten a result in the last three meetings dating back to last season.

    Sevilla has not exactly been slumping lately, moving on in Europa League taking their tie with Villarreal, and there is nothing to take from the loss this week to River Plate, since just about everyone on the starting XI took the match off.

    This total at 2.5 has plenty to offer to see it go Over at -115, with a well-rested Sevilla side looking to stay in that 5th spot, and even attempt to catch both Atletico and Valencia, both a mere handful of points in front of them.

    Neither team is just going to go quietly, and we see 2 - 1 at the very worst, hopefully sitting at 1 - 1 at the half and just waiting for a third goal to cash our Over 2.5 tickets.

    Atletico Madrid vs Cordoba

    3-Way: 1: Atl Madrid -235 Away ; X: +350 Draw ; 2: Cordoba +715 Home

    Spread: Atl Madrid -1 -135 ; Cordoba +1 +105

    Total 2.5: Over -115 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well, we finally snapped our weird streak of hoping Atletico would beat someone they were supposed to beat, and we cashed our -1.5 tickets and actually called the 2 - 0 score if you recall.

    Now they get Cordoba, who simply will not be in this league next year even if they are not officially out of it yet. We do not see them climbing out of the hole they are in, so we have to see if Atletico can win another 2 - 0 match, and cash out -1.5 tickets on the handicap, despite the marginal juice of -135.

    Levante vs Almeria

    3-Way: 1: Levante +265 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Almeria +115 Home

    Spread: Levante +0.5 -135 ; Almeria -0.5 +115

    Total 2: Over -135 ; Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Does that say 2 on the total? Ok, Levante struggled last time out in the 1 - 0 loss to Celta De Vigo, and didn't score against Real Madrid the time before that, but this match has a few goals in store for us.

    Levante has not won a road game since September, and have given up 29 goals in their last 14 matches from all competitions since then. We can't play Almeria at home, even though that +115 is semi-valuable, so the Over 2 makes out board at the line we draw at -135 when it comes to juice.

    Real Sociedad vs Malaga

    3-Way: 1: Sociedad +305 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Malaga -105 Home

    Spread: Sociedad +0.5 -125 ; Malaga -0.5 -105

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Even though Sociedad sits eight points back of Malaga in the table, they are not really that far out of reach with 10 matches left in the campaign. Is it likely they will catch them or pass them? It might not matter much, since neither club is likely going to end up in the top 6 spots in the table that hold European contention anyway.

    Malaga is only five points back of Villarreal, but we don't expect Villa to fall apart and see Malaga catch them.

    We just do not respect Malaga enough to play them at even money at home to get all three points, especially after how bad they looked in the 1 - 0 loss to Vallecano 2 weeks ago. Two shots on goal is not going to cut it, and they were supposedly trying to get in the race for Europe, but have now lost two of their last three to Vallecano and Granada.

    This handicap on Sociedad with the +0.5 at -125 makes some sense here to us, so we will offer that up as a suggestion for a play here.

    Sunday, April 5- 4 Matches

    Featured Match Villarreal vs Valencia

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Villarreal +265

    Valencia +100

    Draw +265


    Villarreal +0.5 -130

    Valencia -0.5 +100

    Total 2.5:

    Over -115

    Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    While both clubs are trying to stay in European contention as we get closer to the end of the campaign, Villarreal just recently got knocked out of their Europa League run, at the hands of fellow La Liga club Sevilla.

    Villa now holds a five-point clearance on Malaga in hopes to, at worst, make their way back to another Europa League appearance.

    Valencia has been on an absolute tear sinceNovember 30, with only one loss in league play spanning 15 matches, which does not include the loss to Espanyol in the Copa Del Day that ended up knocking them out of that competition. With Atletico Madrid hot on Valencia's tail and only a point back, there will be no room for disappointing results down the stretch of the campaign while they also are a mere four points behind Real Madrid for the second position in the table.

    With Villarreal struggling since the beginning of March, and Valencia already having won their first meeting onNovember 2, this has the feeling of a 2 - 1 home win for Valencia, so we will suggest both the 3-Way line of +100 and the Over 2.5 at -115.

    Granada vs Real Madrid

    3-Way: 1: Granada +2000 Away ; X: +1155 Draw ; 2: Madrid -1111 Home

    Spread: Granada +2.5 +195; Madrid -2.5 -135

    Total 3.5: Over -150 ; Under +120

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    If Real struggles with Granada, then we can certainly start to buy into the conversations about Ancelotti's job as manager of the club. Although we do still find it hard to fathom that someone of that stature has to struggle for job security, this should be the perfect opportunity to put at least some of that conversation to rest with three potentially easy points to be had.

    There is no reason to settle for some of these truly obnoxious lines we see on both the handicap and the total, so let's move this total to a straight 4 at +100, expecting a beat down of epic proportions by a club that desperately needs a big result to shut up the critics in Madrid.

    Dep La Coruna vs Getafe

    3-Way: 1: Deportivo +260 Away ; X: +225 Draw ; 2: Getafe +120 Home

    Spread: Deportivo +0.5 -145 ; Getafe -0.5 +120

    Total 2: Over -135 ; Under +105

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Again, we have to ask ourselves why this total is only 2, with two of the worst defenses in all of La Liga on the same pitch. Whether or not they have been scoring lately is not really the issue, as much as it is having the inability to stop anyone.

    A 1 - 1 draw here lets us live to see another day and, even though this line is -135, you know by now that we set our juice limit right at the cutoff point. We could also understand even moving the line to the Over 2 and 2.5 handicap to get a more respectable +100 or so here. We really should end up seeing the three goals that would cash either ticket.

    Barcelona vs Celta Vigo

    3-Way: 1: Barcelona -250 Away ; X: +400 Draw ; 2: Vigo +670 Home

    Spread: Barcelona -1.5 +115 ; Vigo +1.5 -135

    Total 3: Over -145 ; Under +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Let's not get too over analytical here and just understand that Vigo simply has not one chance in this match, despite the 1 - 0 win they somehow found a way to win in Barcelona back on the first day of November.

    We saw Messi sit out of his Argentina friendly match because of the injury, or so the report says, but this is not one he will be sitting out, that's for damn sure. We can imagine someone out there will try to predict this as a letdown spot for Barca, since El Clasico was exactly that, classic!

    There is no such thing as a letdown spot from here on out for this club, and 4 points may be nice atop the table, but we all know that Madrid is not about to simply lick their wounds and lay down over the next 10 matches.

    This -1.5 seems peculiar enough to make one wonder why that line is there, and maybe some outlet will say they called for struggles. We won't be that outlet, and Barcelona should end this match early, with a comfy 2 - 0 lead at the half and a couple of more in the second stanza. They should easily come out of Balaídos with three more points.

    Monday, April 6- 1 Match

    Elche vs Espanyol

    3-Way: 1: Elche +485 Away ; X: +270 Draw ; 2: Espanyol -150 Home

    Spread: Elche +0.5 +125 ; Espanyol -0.5 -150

    Total 2: Over -140 ; Under +120

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    What a price of +120 to watch these two play another uneventfulMondaymatch in La Liga. Time and again, theseMondaymatches have just been awful, and neither of these two clubs have a clue as to how to find the net lately.

    Again, no need to over analyze this one, because we will be lucky to see one goal, much less that would see us rip up our tickets. The Under 2 here goes on our board to end the round, and we will see you right back hereon Tuesdayto begin Round 30.

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