Soccer Odds - Spain La Liga Week 35 Real Madrid vs Sevilla

  • Friday, May 1st, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: With only four fixtures remaining in the La Liga campaign, positioning at both the top and the bottom of the table make the headlines this weekend. Barcelona and Real Madrid are still only separated by two points for the title race, and each club also prepares for their Champions League semi-finals ties this week.

    The round kicks offon Fridayat Anoeta with Sociedad hosting Levante, as both clubs have played to a draw in their last four meetings.The match with Real Madrid and Sevilla highlight the round, as both will faceoffSaturdayamong the four matches on the day.

    Bet on La Liga at BetDSI

    Real is looking to not fall any further away from Barcelona, while Sevilla battles­­­ Valencia for the last Champions League qualification position in the table. They will each have mid-week matches in Champions and Europa League on deck as well.

    On Sunday we also see four matches on the schedule, with a loneMondaymatch to wrap up the round.

    Let's get to the pitch, and break it down match by match.

    Friday, May 1 - 1 Match

    Levante vs Real Sociedad

    3-Way: 1: Levante +320 Away ; X: +255 Draw ; 2: Sociedad -110 Home

    Spread: Levante +0.5 -110 ; Sociedad -0.5 -110

    Total 2.5: Over +100 ; Under -120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Levante has likely done enough to keep themselves out of the danger zone, and it took quite a bit of work to pull it off. They have now won their last two games, which is the first time this campaign that they have managed to win back-to-back matches.

    Sociedad has to simply finish out the year, maintain a middle position in the table, and start thinking about next campaign. Consistency continues to be an issue as they have not won any of their last six outings, after winning four of five. This match should be wide open and full of goals, and all we need is three of them to cash this Over 2.5 at even money.

    Saturday, May 2 - 4Matches

    Featured Match Real Madrid vs Sevilla

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Madrid +105

    Sevilla +255

    Draw +270


    Madrid -0.5 +105

    Sevilla +0.5 -125

    Total 3:

    Over -105

    Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Real Madrid has a Champions League appointment with Juventus onMay 5th and 13th, and Sevilla also has an Italian battle on deck as they face Fiorentina in Europa Leagueon May 7th and 14th.

    The two clubs still have plenty of work to do to maintain their La Liga positions, although Sevilla can do no worse than the Europa League group stage that comes with fifth place in the table.

    Real is, of course, chasing Barcelona atop the table, as two points is all that separates the two Spanish powerhouses from another league title. However, they will likely be without Benzema, Bale and Modric, but they will likely hope to be back in time for Champions League action.

    With so much at stake in league play, we can assume they would love to sit back and rest for their European competitions, but there is too much to lose if either club lets three points simply go by the wayside.

    We are suggesting this Under 3, simply due to the fact that no one wants to get hurt and risk themselves for their ties in Europe. It is likely that we could see a 2 - 1 match regardless, so there is no reason to invest much in this one, so play it at minimum stakes.

    Villarreal vs Dep La Coruna

    3-Way: 1: Villarreal +115 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Deportivo +255 Home

    Spread: Villarreal -0.5 +115 ; Deportivo +0.5 -135

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

    Bet on La Liga at BetDSI

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Villarreal must now finish the campaign without their starting goalkeeper Sergio Asenjo, after he tore his ACL in last weekend's match with Atletico Madrid.

    Villa must simply stave off Athletic Bilbao, who is six points back of the last Europa League entry, because we know that Malaga will pose no threat to anyone in European contention.

    Deportivo still has a chance to stay in the league, because Eibar and Almeria are simply tanking their campaigns and falling down the table on a weekly basis.We see a bit of a fight here, as both clubs need these points for entirely different reasons, and a draw serves no purpose at this point of the campaign.

    The Over 2.5 at a lovely +115 makes the board for this match.

    Barcelona vs Cordoba

    3-Way: 1: Barcelona -1300 Away ; X: +1125 Draw ; 2: Cordoba +3200 Home

    Spread: Barcelona -2.5 -120 ; Cordoba +2.5 +100

    Total 3.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Ok, let's not get too overwhelmed here, because there is not much of a preview to be had. Cordoba is done, and will not be in the league next year, and Barcelona has to simply keep Cordoba off the score sheet and secure three points as early as possible.

    Simply grab the first half Over 1.5 at a reasonable even money line, because Barcelona will surely be up 2 - 0 at the half, as we saw them score four alone in the first half last weekend.

    Athletic Bilbao ; Atletico Madrid

    3-Way: 1: Bilbao +735 Away ; X: +355 Draw ; 2: Atl Madrid -235 Home

    Spread: Bilbao +1.5 -150 ; Atl Madrid -1.5 +130

    Total 2.5: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Bet on La Liga at BetDSI

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Atletico has nothing left to do but finish out the campaign, having no competitions outside of La Liga to play. They are six points clear of Valencia, and most likely do not see Madrid and Barcelona as approachable, but they could steal one of their spots should either club fall apart down the stretch.

    Bilbao has six points to make up in the last four matches if they hope to catch a Europa League entry, which makes this match rather meaningful for both clubs.

    We are taking this Over 2.5, as dangerous as Atletico Overs can be, simply due to the fact that neither club can afford to simply sit back and let nothing happen for 90 minutes.Atletico still needs to find results to keep Valencia behind them, and also can hope Real or Barcelona run into a rough patch to end the year.

    Sunday, May 3 - 4Matches

    Granada vs Getafe

    3-Way: 1: Granada +285 Away ; X: +235 Draw ; 2: Getafe +110 Home

    Spread: Granada +0.5 -130 ; Getafe -0.5 +110

    Total 2.5: Over +125 ; Under -145

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Granada couldn't stop 11 people in the Diamond studio from scoring two or three goals against them, and Getafe comes off a lovely 6 - 0 thrashing by Barcelona, so the line setters put the juice on the Under?

    There is way too much value at +125 to expect a 2 - 1 type of match here, so hopefully these two find the net, since we know Granada leads the league in goals allowed this year with 63.

    Elche vs Malaga

    3-Way: 1: Elche +525 Away ; X: +300 Draw ; 2: Malaga -170 Home

    Spread: Elche +1 -125 ; Malaga -1 +105

    Total 2.5: Over +100 ; Under -120

    Bet on La Liga at BetDSI

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Gladly and proudly accept this +1 on Elche, knowing that Malaga is a garbage club, who will not be catching anyone in European positions in the table. We can talk all we want about what Malaga could do, but what they could do and what they will do are two completely different stories.

    Eibar vs Valencia

    3-Way: 1: Eibar +1330 Away ; X: +565 Draw ; 2: Valencia -455 Home

    Spread: Eibar +1.5 +125 ; Valencia -1.5 -145

    Total 2.5: Over -140 ; Under +120

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Another Eibar loss last time out, and another cashed ticket around here when we threw the -1 on Sevilla in their 3 - 1 win. Now they have to deal with Valencia, and the trek to the bottom of the table continues.

    Move the Valencia handicap to -2, and move this total to the 2.5 and 3 handicap, because Valencia is winning this match 3 - 0, and those two plays are the only way to find value in this match.

    Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol

    3-Way: 1: Vallecano +355 Away ; X: +285 Draw ; 2: Espanyol -125 Home

    Spread: Vallecano +0.5 +105 ; Espanyol -0.5 -125

    Total 2.5: Over -145 ; Under +125

    Bet on La Liga at BetDSI

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Let’s once again not get too over analytical, as Espanyol should simply take all three of these points at home against Rayo. Rayo did a nice job of finding a draw against Valencia at homeon Thursday, but the road has not been a friendly place for them this year, and Espanyol is not likely to lose their second straight home match.

    The -125 on the home side 3-Way line goes in the books.

    Monday, April 4 - 1 Match

    Celte de Vigo vs Almeria

    3-Way: 1: Vigo +105 Away ; X: +240 Draw ; 2: Almeria +275 Home

    Spread: Vigo -0.5 +105 ; Almeria +0.5 -125

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    So the line setters are asking us to pick our poison on the total, and we will go in the direction of goals being scored in this one. Vigo could possibly score all three of the goals we need to cash this over ticket, and Almeria at home should actually be able to muster up some offense in front of their fans. The Over 2.5 at a reasonable -110 is the last play of the weekend.

    View the latest La Liga Soccer Betting Odds @ Diamond Sportsbook