Soccer Odds - Spain La Liga Week 25 Fixtures Featuring Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla

  • Thursday, February 26th, 2015

    By  Ej Garr


    Soccer Betting: March will certainly come in like a lion for Spanish football, with the Copa Del Ray, the European competitions, and La Liga campaigns all in the mix in the next four weeks.

    Atletico and Sevilla highlight the weekend, with both involved in European competitions. Atletico comes off a poor performance in their front leg of the tie with German side Bayer Leverkusen, losing 1 - 0. Sevilla takes a 1 - 0 lead into their Europa League second leg with Moenchengladbachon Thursday. They will each have to regroup quickly and meet at La Bombonera for an all-important battle with two clubs in the top five of the table, only separated by 8 points.

    Barcelona will look to rebound from their first loss in La Liga sinceJanuary 4, and the club hopes to regroup from the Manchester City match in Champions LeagueWednesday.Some will argue that despite a 2 - 1 away win, Messi's last thought of the match had him missing out on a golden opportunity to give the Spaniards a 3 - 1 lead, but he let himself and the club down as he missed an extra time penalty kick.

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    Villarreal has the assignment of taking on Real Madrid this weekend as well, with another matchup of two clubs currently sitting in European spots for next year. Real Madrid has a 3-match win streak between La Liga and Champions League, and has held 3 clean sheets each time.

    We have four days of football to discuss, so let's see what we can expect out of top flight Primera this weekend.

    Friday, February 27- 1 Match

    Cordoba vs Espanyol

    3-Way: 1: Cordoba +585 Away ; X: +280 Draw ; 2: Espanyol -170 Home

    Spread: Cordoba +1 -130 ; Espanyol -1 +110

    Total 2: Over -135 ; Under +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Cordoba heads north to Cornellà-El Prat to take on Espanyol in Barcelona, and Cordoba has slowly put themselves deeper in threat to be sent to Segunda Division after losing their fifth straight match last weekend.

    Naturally, the line setters set a high line on the home side, expecting them to find the ability to keep Cordoba in the basement. Espanyol is not even close to a comfortable 7 points away from the third spot in relegation, so they too need results against clubs at the bottom of the table.

    We are going to suggest this Over 2 and 2.5 handicap, in preference to the -135 on the straight two on the total. Espanyol better be aggressive at home, coming off a loss in their last home appearance to Valencia on February 8.

    Saturday, February 28- 4 Matches

    Barcelona vs Granada

    3-Way: 1: Barcelona -530 Away ; X: +650 Draw ; 2: Granada +1450 Home

    Spread: Barcelona -2 -120 ; Granada -2 +100

    Total 3: Over -135 ; Under +115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Barcelona probably did not want Lionel Messi missing that penalty kick as the final whistle blew in their Champions League matchon Wednesday. He had the opportunity to put a dagger in a 3 - 1 aggregate going home for the second leg, but instead they now have to regroup for Granada. Well, we are talking about Granada, who are in quite a relegation battle, sitting in 19th spot as we enter the round.

    This is certainly a match you should have your opening lineup in hand before you start making bets on the action. These next two weeks for Barcelona will be their toughest test yet, as they come off a tough mid-week match in Europeon Wednesday, then head to the Copa Del Ray match at VillarrealMarch 4. They return home on the 8th for Vallecano, travel to Eibar on the 14th, and are back home for Champions League on the 18th. Then, there is this little thing we call 'El Clasico' on the 21st at Camp Nou.

    Granada has one thing to do, and that is to fight and claw for any point they can find week by week. We know they are not in any other competitions and need to keep concentration on getting out of the bottom of the table.

    Levante vs Vallecano

    3-Way: 1: Levante +440 Away ; X: +275 Draw ; 2: Vallecano -145 Home

    Spread: Levante +0.5 +125 ; Vallecano -0.5 -145

    Total 2.5: Over +115 ; Under -135

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    The hardest thing to get over here is the 85 combined goals they have allowed between them this campaign.

    Levante has won two of their last three matches, with a 5 - 0 loss to Barcelona sandwiched in there, but they still have an incredible amount of work to do at the bottom of the table.

    These two are only separated by 4 points, and with these two defenses always suspect to make mistakes, that +115 to expect 3 goals here is more than reasonable. The Over 2.5 goes on the board.

    Dep La Coruna vs Almeria

    3-Way: 1: Deportivo +250 Away ; X: +220 Draw ; 2: Almeria +125 Home

    Spread: Deportivo Pk +145 ; Almeria Pk -170

    Total 2: Over -130 ; Under +110

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Even though that Almeria 3 - 0 loss to Atletico looks ugly, they really didn't play as lopsided a match as it appeared. They did a great job controlling the pace for segments of the game, but obviously could not convert something onto the score board.

    Deportivo comes off consecutive losses, and has been outscored 16 - 6 in their matches away from home this campaign, but luckily for them, Almeria is, statistically, the worst home club in La Liga.

    Whatever passing effectiveness Almeria had last weekend may carry over here, and we do expect both of these two to score, even though the 'No' side of the prop bet is juiced at -135 at most sites that offer it.

    We are going to suggest this Over moved to 2 and 2.5 at even money from the straight 2 offered on the total. One of these two clubs is walking out of here with a 2 - 1 win, so that will do just fine thank you.

    Getafe vs Malaga

    3-Way: 1: Getafe +385 Away ; X: +245 Draw ; 2: Malaga -120 Home

    Spread: Getafe +0.5 +100 ; Malaga -0.5 -120

    Total 2: Over -130 ; Under +110

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Four of the last five meetings between these two have ended 1 - 0 for the home side. Malaga will certainly need these home points to keep pace with the rest of the pack currently above them in European spots for next year. It doesn't hurt that the last time they took the pitch, they went in to Camp Nou and took all three points from Barcelona. Yes, you read that correctly, Malaga just took an away win, and shut out Barcelona in their building, which is a huge confidence builder.

    Now they take on a Getafe club who just can't seem to get a break in their road trips. They have alternated home wins and away losses.

    Trying to decide on whether to take Getafe +0.5 at +100 or Malaga to win at -120 is the trick here, and we do not have the confidence in Getafe away from home to get any type of result. The 3-Way Malaga home line of -120 suits us fine, expecting them to walk out of La Rosaleda with 3 points.

    Sunday, March 1 - 4Matches

    Featured Match Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla

    3-Way 1x2 Lines:

    Atl Madrid +145

    Sevilla +210

    Draw +220


    Atl Madrid Pk -135

    Sevilla Pk +115

    Total 2:

    Over -145

    Under +125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Both clubs have to play a lot of football in the month of March, depending, of course, on how they do in their other competitions they are still fighting in.

    Atletico comes off a disappointing 0 - 1 loss in Champions Leagueon Thursday, after not finding the net at all on the away side of the tie with Leverkusen.Sevilla also has to regroup quickly after aThursdaymeeting with German side Moenchengladbach in Europa League, and we will not have the knowledge of the results as we preview this match.

    We saw Coach Simeone for Atletico take out Mandzukic and Griesmann at the hour mark of the 3 - 0 win over Almeria over the weekend, knowing he was going to ask them to put forth a strong outing in Europe. That simply did not work out at all, and it was surprising that when they brought in Fernando Torres. Simeone left the front line intact, and they responded with decent pressure, but not enough, and playing with 10 men when Tiago got sent off after a second yellow didn't help either.

    Keep in mind, Sevilla is the only club left without a home defeat on the campaign, and we can assume they will not give that up lightly.

    Sevilla 2 - Atletico 1 is the call of the match, so we will go with Sevilla on the Pk, Draw no Bet scenario, since it is +115. Let's also suggest the Over 2 and 2.5 handicap, moved from 2 to extract the -145 juice on the total.

    Real Sociedad vs Valencia

    3-Way: 1: Sociedad +500 Away ; X: +295 Draw ; 2: Valencia -165 Home

    Spread: Sociead +1 -130 ; Valencia -1 +110

    Total 2.5: Over -110 ; Under -110

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Simple analysis for this match up and, if the line setters do not want to show their hand on this total, than we will show ours. Who out there does not see this as a back and forth, 2 - 2 type of match at the very worst?

    That is all we can see, and that is really all that needs to be said here, because over analyzing why these two should score does not seem farfetched to say the least. Over 2.5 it is at a simple -110.

    Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar

    3-Way: 1: Bilbao +135 Away ; X: +210 Draw ; 2: Eibar +240 Home

    Spread: Bilbao Pk -155 ; Eibar Pk +135

    Total 2: Over -105 ; Under -115

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Well we called it to happen, and it has certainly gone the way we expected for Eibar. They over achieved a bit in the first half of the campaign, and have figured nothing out since we got restarted after the holiday break.

    Even though Bilbao will have to quickly turn their attention to the Copa Del Rayon Wednesday, we see them being simply the better squad, so that +135 seems lovely enough to get the nod, and we will slap the 3-Way action on the away side here to keep Eibar struggling.

    Villarreal vs Real Madrid

    3-Way: 1: Villarreal +1150 Away ; X: +600 Draw ; 2: Real Madrid -455 Home

    Spread: Villarreal +2 -130 ; Madrid -2 +110

    Total 2.5: Over +105 ; Under -125

    Analysis and Prediction:

    Villarreal will get a good taste of top flight football the next few days, with having to face Real Madrid today, and Barcelonanext Wednesday in the Copa Del Ray. They also have aThursdayEuropa League match with Salzburg, so we will see exactly what Villa is worth over the next 8 days or so.

    It was a bit surprising to see the +2 on the handicap offered here, because Villarreal usually can step up their game when they need to, and we will actually suggest a play on Villa and the +2 handicap, even if it is a bit juiced at -130.

    Monday, March 2- 1 Match

    Elche vs Celta de Vigo

    3-Way: 1: Elche +650 Away ; X: +315 Draw ; 2: Vigo -200 Home

    Spread: Elche +1 -105 ; Vigo -1 -115

    Total 2.5: Over +110 ; Under -130

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    Analysis and Prediction:

    Can you believe we once again get a matchon Mondayto end the round that is just a strange match up? Celta has been playing much better lately as we know, with 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 fixtures.

    Elche has played 2 of the last 3Mondaymatches, and has won each time, so let's see if they can come out of Balaídos with some type of result.

    The +1 on Elche here at -105 is reasonable to expect them to hang around and not get blown out by two or more goals. If we have to settle for a 2 - 1 score line, no harm, no foul, and we live to bet another day.

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